Sentences with phrase «become models of climate»

Not exact matches

I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.
And the evidence of change has mounted as climate records have grown longer, as our understanding of the climate system has improved and as climate models have become ever more reliable.
Climate models predict that the hottest seasons on record will become the norm by the end of the century — an outcome that bodes ill for feeding the world
And climate models predict wet regions will become wetter and dry regions drier, which means more rain for all of the UK, not just the coasts.
Landerer and his colleagues modelled the changes that would occur if the most realistic estimates made by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — a doubling of carbon dioxide levels by 2100 compared with 2000 — were to become reality.
Recent modelling by researchers from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, as well as studies of past climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm Climate Impact Research in Germany, as well as studies of past climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm enough.
They are running two sets of climate models, one with and one without the effects of humanity's greenhouse gas emissions, to see whether drought in east Africa becomes more likely in a warming world.
Coastal defenses are becoming more important as sea levels rise, he notes, and climate models suggest some parts of the planet will become stormier.
«As healthcare systems and professionals worldwide become more aware of and concerned for the public health implications of climate change and excessive resource use, efficient care delivery models must be better understood and promoted,» says Dr. Thiel.
Most climate models suggest these storms will become less frequent but more intense, says Alexander Gershunov, a climatologist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego.
One challenge with storms in Germany is that climate models have trouble accurately depicting such small - scale features, but a new generation of models that should come into wider use within the next year or two do a much better job, meaning that attribution analyses on such events should become more feasible, van Oldenborgh said.
Researchers at Chalmers University of Technology have studied new ways of measuring sea level that could become important tools for testing climate models and for investigating how the sea level along the world's coasts is affected by climate change.
Some of the researchers who once led the company's modeling became vocal climate contrarians, among them Brian Flannery and Roger Cohen.
Climate models suggest that hurricane intensity should increase as the world warms, and that the most intense storms will become a bigger proportion of the total.
An adjustment is necessary because as climate models are continually evaluated against observations evidence has become emerged that the strength of their aerosol - cloud interactions are too strong (i.e. the models» «aerosol indirect effect» is larger than inferred from observations).
This point might become clearer once it's realised that climate models are not developed just to the climate change problem, but as much more general tools to quantify the net effects of all the different processes we know about.
A model bill for the «Parent Trigger Act» and much of school choice and privatization legislation is designed and promoted by the American Legislative Exchange Council or ALEC, which coordinates with the State Policy Network and has become notorious for promoting «stand your ground» legislation and propagating climate change denial.
Quality, taste, and relationships drive farm - to - table trends, and have become an example of how food culture is a successful model for climate change solutions on a city - wide scale.
This point might become clearer once it's realised that climate models are not developed just to the climate change problem, but as much more general tools to quantify the net effects of all the different processes we know about.
He went to to become an internationally renowned climate science modeller who I belive invented (or helped to) invent the technique called ensemble modelling which seems to incorporate some of chaos theory into this complex system.
Analysis by Collins of climate model simulations indicated that increased CO2 may result in ENSO events becoming larger in amplitude and more frequent than under present conditions.
I would also keep in mind the fact that the more physics we include in the models, the more accurate they become — at least in terms of being able to model the climate system.
But Christopher Essex, a professor of applied mathematics at the University of Western Ontario, who has become a prominent critic of climate models, said Wednesday that more research on climate simulation, while a useful enterprise, was unlikely to produce much more clarity than these efforts provide now.
As some, the Creative Department at Porter Novelli, for example, have been putting a credible face on climate models for 21 years or more, the scientific input may be secondary, for as was remarked even earlier, with the advent of television, advertising has become more important than products.
A couple of years ago, when it was starting to become obvious that the average global surface temperature was not rising at anywhere near the rate that climate models projected, and in fact seemed to be leveling off rather than speeding up, explanations for the slowdown sprouted like mushrooms in compost.
About 1980ish, some old ideas like the greenhouse effect were brought out of mothballs and re-examined with new tools and techniques; simultaneously several researchers and theoreticians released their notes, published, or otherwise got together and there was a surprising consilience and not a small amount of mixing with old school hippy ecologism on some of the topics that became the roots of Climate Change science (before it was called Global Warming); innovations in mathematics were also applied to climate thought; supercomputers (though «disappointing» on weather forecasting) allowed demonstration of plausibility of runaway climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather Climate Change science (before it was called Global Warming); innovations in mathematics were also applied to climate thought; supercomputers (though «disappointing» on weather forecasting) allowed demonstration of plausibility of runaway climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather climate thought; supercomputers (though «disappointing» on weather forecasting) allowed demonstration of plausibility of runaway climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather models.
The so - called 100 - year flood is likely to become more frequent.4 Because transportation planners use such events to determine infrastructure needs, future plans based on the past are likely to become less reliable — and planners will need to develop models that reflect the effects of climate change.7
Pinatubo happened and Jim Hansen calibrated his models and became a motivated desciple of climate action.
Scientists use the proxies to «see» what the climate in the region was like millions of years ago and try to model what the Arctic climate might become in future.
Furthermore, methanesulfonic acid generated simultaneously in OSC oxidation will become a significant contributor to particle formation, which should be taken into account in predictive models of air pollution and climate and may be especially important in agricultural areas with significant OSC sources.
A top - down climate effect that shows long - term drift (and may also be out of phase with the bottom - up solar forcing) would change the spatial response patterns and would mean that climate - chemistry models that have sufficient resolution in the stratosphere would become very important for making accurate regional / seasonal climate predictions.
The Swedish professor tells the BAZ that he became a skeptic of alarmist climate science early on because «the [UN] IPCC always depicted the facts on the subject falsely» and «grossly exaggerated the risks of sea level rise» and that the IPCC «excessively relied on shaky computer models instead of field research.»
As the relatively new science of climate dynamics evolved through the 1980s and 1990s, it became quite clear from observational data, both instrumental and paleoclimatic, as well as model studies that Earth's climate never was and is unlikely to ever be in equilibrium.
The arguments put forward are that climate models, which produce output at a wide range of spatial and temporal scales, but it is claimed that the only become skillful at global scale with 30 - year temporal resolution.
And the evidence of change has mounted as climate records have grown longer, as our understanding of the climate system has improved and as climate models have become ever more reliable.
When I found that changes in observed precipitation were largest in autumn, and did not find the same patterns of precipitation in climate models outputs, I really became skeptical about the use of climate models.
Norwegian Minister of Climate and Environment Tine Sundtoft commended Brazil's progress and said it has become a model for efforts to combat climate Climate and Environment Tine Sundtoft commended Brazil's progress and said it has become a model for efforts to combat climate climate change.
I experienced the horror of how old, convoluted and in need of a rethink / refactor climate models had become.
Soon after I engaged some climate propagandists on the issue of solving models for meaningful answers and realized how aggressive and ill founded (in science) climate scare enthusiasts had become.
His end of the tutorial focused on the changes we can anticipate as average temperatures go up around the world, noting that models have become more robust and that scientists are zeroing in on the harms that will be caused by unmitigated changes to the global climate.
«Coupled models are becoming increasingly reliable tools for understanding climate and climate change, and the best models are now capable of simulating present - day climate with accuracy approaching conventional atmospheric observations,» said Reichler.
The disagreement was always about the scope and depth of natural variability, on the point where data adjustments become statistical manipulations, on gaps and uncertainties in data, on the proper use and limitations of climate models and on chaos in climate and models.
Model projections suggest that weather extremes may become even more intense, more frequent, and longer in the climate of the future (4).
- The climate models have become more sophisticated, but the range of warming predictions is as wide as in 1990.
Computer models of a warming climate indicate that conditions may become more conducive to severe thunderstorms in some regions.11 Thunderstorms provide a favorable environment for tornado formation; but tornadoes also require wind shear, a highly uncertain element in climate models.
The institute's early study of the Earth and planetary atmospheres using data collected by satellites, space probes, and space probes eventually led to GISS becoming a leading center of atmospheric modeling and of climate change.
In terms of longer timescales (decadal to century), once the focus becomes regional rather than global, historical and paleo data becomes more useful than global climate model simulations (no matter what type of «right - scaling» methods are attempted).
The widespread trend of increasing heavy downpours is expected to continue, with precipitation becoming less frequent but more intense.13, 14,15,16 The patterns of the projected changes of precipitation do not contain the spatial details that characterize observed precipitation, especially in mountainous terrain, because the projections are averages from multiple models and because the effective resolution of global climate models is roughly 100 - 200 miles.
Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
Just like the climate models of today, there is no basic problem with this method — it just becomes problematic when you begin believing the forecasts.
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