Not exact matches
I confess that I have
become somewhat blasé about the range
of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration
of long — term and multilocation trials with crop
models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face
of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature
of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges
of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing
climate; and, our extraordinary array
of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront
of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.
And the evidence
of change has mounted as
climate records have grown longer, as our understanding
of the
climate system has improved and as
climate models have
become ever more reliable.
Climate models predict that the hottest seasons on record will
become the norm by the end
of the century — an outcome that bodes ill for feeding the world
And
climate models predict wet regions will
become wetter and dry regions drier, which means more rain for all
of the UK, not just the coasts.
Landerer and his colleagues
modelled the changes that would occur if the most realistic estimates made by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change — a doubling
of carbon dioxide levels by 2100 compared with 2000 — were to
become reality.
Recent
modelling by researchers from the Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research in Germany, as well as studies of past climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm
Climate Impact Research in Germany, as well as studies
of past
climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already become warm
climate, suggest that the planet will soon have warmed enough to melt Greenland's ice sheet entirely — if it hasn't already
become warm enough.
They are running two sets
of climate models, one with and one without the effects
of humanity's greenhouse gas emissions, to see whether drought in east Africa
becomes more likely in a warming world.
Coastal defenses are
becoming more important as sea levels rise, he notes, and
climate models suggest some parts
of the planet will
become stormier.
«As healthcare systems and professionals worldwide
become more aware
of and concerned for the public health implications
of climate change and excessive resource use, efficient care delivery
models must be better understood and promoted,» says Dr. Thiel.
Most
climate models suggest these storms will
become less frequent but more intense, says Alexander Gershunov, a climatologist at the Scripps Institution
of Oceanography in San Diego.
One challenge with storms in Germany is that
climate models have trouble accurately depicting such small - scale features, but a new generation
of models that should come into wider use within the next year or two do a much better job, meaning that attribution analyses on such events should
become more feasible, van Oldenborgh said.
Researchers at Chalmers University
of Technology have studied new ways
of measuring sea level that could
become important tools for testing
climate models and for investigating how the sea level along the world's coasts is affected by
climate change.
Some
of the researchers who once led the company's
modeling became vocal
climate contrarians, among them Brian Flannery and Roger Cohen.
Climate models suggest that hurricane intensity should increase as the world warms, and that the most intense storms will
become a bigger proportion
of the total.
An adjustment is necessary because as
climate models are continually evaluated against observations evidence has
become emerged that the strength
of their aerosol - cloud interactions are too strong (i.e. the
models» «aerosol indirect effect» is larger than inferred from observations).
This point might
become clearer once it's realised that
climate models are not developed just to the
climate change problem, but as much more general tools to quantify the net effects
of all the different processes we know about.
A
model bill for the «Parent Trigger Act» and much
of school choice and privatization legislation is designed and promoted by the American Legislative Exchange Council or ALEC, which coordinates with the State Policy Network and has
become notorious for promoting «stand your ground» legislation and propagating
climate change denial.
Quality, taste, and relationships drive farm - to - table trends, and have
become an example
of how food culture is a successful
model for
climate change solutions on a city - wide scale.
This point might
become clearer once it's realised that
climate models are not developed just to the
climate change problem, but as much more general tools to quantify the net effects
of all the different processes we know about.
He went to to
become an internationally renowned
climate science modeller who I belive invented (or helped to) invent the technique called ensemble
modelling which seems to incorporate some
of chaos theory into this complex system.
Analysis by Collins
of climate model simulations indicated that increased CO2 may result in ENSO events
becoming larger in amplitude and more frequent than under present conditions.
I would also keep in mind the fact that the more physics we include in the
models, the more accurate they
become — at least in terms
of being able to
model the
climate system.
But Christopher Essex, a professor
of applied mathematics at the University
of Western Ontario, who has
become a prominent critic
of climate models, said Wednesday that more research on
climate simulation, while a useful enterprise, was unlikely to produce much more clarity than these efforts provide now.
As some, the Creative Department at Porter Novelli, for example, have been putting a credible face on
climate models for 21 years or more, the scientific input may be secondary, for as was remarked even earlier, with the advent
of television, advertising has
become more important than products.
A couple
of years ago, when it was starting to
become obvious that the average global surface temperature was not rising at anywhere near the rate that
climate models projected, and in fact seemed to be leveling off rather than speeding up, explanations for the slowdown sprouted like mushrooms in compost.
About 1980ish, some old ideas like the greenhouse effect were brought out
of mothballs and re-examined with new tools and techniques; simultaneously several researchers and theoreticians released their notes, published, or otherwise got together and there was a surprising consilience and not a small amount
of mixing with old school hippy ecologism on some
of the topics that
became the roots
of Climate Change science (before it was called Global Warming); innovations in mathematics were also applied to climate thought; supercomputers (though «disappointing» on weather forecasting) allowed demonstration of plausibility of runaway climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather
Climate Change science (before it was called Global Warming); innovations in mathematics were also applied to
climate thought; supercomputers (though «disappointing» on weather forecasting) allowed demonstration of plausibility of runaway climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather
climate thought; supercomputers (though «disappointing» on weather forecasting) allowed demonstration
of plausibility
of runaway
climate effects, comparison of scales of effects, and the possibility of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather
climate effects, comparison
of scales
of effects, and the possibility
of climate models combined with a good understanding of the limits of predictive power of weather
climate models combined with a good understanding
of the limits
of predictive power
of weather
models.
The so - called 100 - year flood is likely to
become more frequent.4 Because transportation planners use such events to determine infrastructure needs, future plans based on the past are likely to
become less reliable — and planners will need to develop
models that reflect the effects
of climate change.7
Pinatubo happened and Jim Hansen calibrated his
models and
became a motivated desciple
of climate action.
Scientists use the proxies to «see» what the
climate in the region was like millions
of years ago and try to
model what the Arctic
climate might
become in future.
Furthermore, methanesulfonic acid generated simultaneously in OSC oxidation will
become a significant contributor to particle formation, which should be taken into account in predictive
models of air pollution and
climate and may be especially important in agricultural areas with significant OSC sources.
A top - down
climate effect that shows long - term drift (and may also be out
of phase with the bottom - up solar forcing) would change the spatial response patterns and would mean that
climate - chemistry
models that have sufficient resolution in the stratosphere would
become very important for making accurate regional / seasonal
climate predictions.
The Swedish professor tells the BAZ that he
became a skeptic
of alarmist
climate science early on because «the [UN] IPCC always depicted the facts on the subject falsely» and «grossly exaggerated the risks
of sea level rise» and that the IPCC «excessively relied on shaky computer
models instead
of field research.»
As the relatively new science
of climate dynamics evolved through the 1980s and 1990s, it
became quite clear from observational data, both instrumental and paleoclimatic, as well as
model studies that Earth's
climate never was and is unlikely to ever be in equilibrium.
The arguments put forward are that
climate models, which produce output at a wide range
of spatial and temporal scales, but it is claimed that the only
become skillful at global scale with 30 - year temporal resolution.
And the evidence
of change has mounted as
climate records have grown longer, as our understanding
of the
climate system has improved and as
climate models have
become ever more reliable.
When I found that changes in observed precipitation were largest in autumn, and did not find the same patterns
of precipitation in
climate models outputs, I really
became skeptical about the use
of climate models.
Norwegian Minister
of Climate and Environment Tine Sundtoft commended Brazil's progress and said it has become a model for efforts to combat climate
Climate and Environment Tine Sundtoft commended Brazil's progress and said it has
become a
model for efforts to combat
climate climate change.
I experienced the horror
of how old, convoluted and in need
of a rethink / refactor
climate models had
become.
Soon after I engaged some
climate propagandists on the issue
of solving
models for meaningful answers and realized how aggressive and ill founded (in science)
climate scare enthusiasts had
become.
His end
of the tutorial focused on the changes we can anticipate as average temperatures go up around the world, noting that
models have
become more robust and that scientists are zeroing in on the harms that will be caused by unmitigated changes to the global
climate.
«Coupled
models are
becoming increasingly reliable tools for understanding
climate and
climate change, and the best
models are now capable
of simulating present - day
climate with accuracy approaching conventional atmospheric observations,» said Reichler.
The disagreement was always about the scope and depth
of natural variability, on the point where data adjustments
become statistical manipulations, on gaps and uncertainties in data, on the proper use and limitations
of climate models and on chaos in
climate and
models.
Model projections suggest that weather extremes may
become even more intense, more frequent, and longer in the
climate of the future (4).
- The
climate models have
become more sophisticated, but the range
of warming predictions is as wide as in 1990.
Computer
models of a warming
climate indicate that conditions may
become more conducive to severe thunderstorms in some regions.11 Thunderstorms provide a favorable environment for tornado formation; but tornadoes also require wind shear, a highly uncertain element in
climate models.
The institute's early study
of the Earth and planetary atmospheres using data collected by satellites, space probes, and space probes eventually led to GISS
becoming a leading center
of atmospheric
modeling and
of climate change.
In terms
of longer timescales (decadal to century), once the focus
becomes regional rather than global, historical and paleo data
becomes more useful than global
climate model simulations (no matter what type
of «right - scaling» methods are attempted).
The widespread trend
of increasing heavy downpours is expected to continue, with precipitation
becoming less frequent but more intense.13, 14,15,16 The patterns
of the projected changes
of precipitation do not contain the spatial details that characterize observed precipitation, especially in mountainous terrain, because the projections are averages from multiple
models and because the effective resolution
of global
climate models is roughly 100 - 200 miles.
Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds
of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave
becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming
of 2 °F over Europe and increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer
models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds
of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer
of 2003.6
Just like the
climate models of today, there is no basic problem with this method — it just
becomes problematic when you begin believing the forecasts.