Since there is controversy over the subject of climate change, it is important to study
the behaviour of ice sheets in the past, in order to predict what may happen in the futureThe study focused on «erratic» rocks, which are rocks that differ totally from the local sedimentary rocks and have been transported there by moving ice.
As well as using a model to predict the future, we can also use it to reconstruct ice sheets in the past, giving clues as to
the behaviour of the ice sheet in different climate settings.
This could help predict
the behaviour of the ice sheet in the future.
Not exact matches
These predictions are limited by a poor understanding
of the recent changes observed in the Antarctic and Greenland
ice sheets, and a lack
of knowledge about the variability
of ice sheet behaviour under a warming climate.
Diagnostic modelling can be used to improve the understanding
of the processes controlling the
behaviour of a particular
ice stream, or to study the importance
of one or more physical process in an
ice sheet in general.
Constraints such as these are important for numerical models that attempt to replicate and predict the past and future
behaviour of the Antarctic
Ice Sheet.
Terrestrial glacial geologists (such as ourselves) can gain information
of past glacial
behaviour from mapping and dating former
ice sheet extents, and determining the rates at which they receded and thinned, [e.g., 16, 17 - 19].
Pine Island Glacier (PIG) in West Antarctica is a good example
of the value
of both prognostic and diagnostic modelling in understanding and predicting
ice sheet behaviour.
``... an understanding
of the
behaviour of the marine - based West Antarctic
ice sheet (WAIS) during the «warmer - than - present» early - Pliocene epoch (approx5 — 3 Myr ago) is needed to better constrain the possible range
of ice -
sheet behaviour in the context
of future global warming....
the non linear has only recently with the advent
of powerful computers started recieving proper scientific scrutiny but it is unclear to me that the science
of the past 300 years is as useful because the non linear response to forcings etc is messy and not as predcitable it would be fair to say and therefore not scienttifically rigourus enough and hence we end up with known unknowns
of being unable to predict future
behaviour of such things as
ice sheets.
For example, Hansen's recent paper on Scientific Reticence is quite explicit that much
of important physics
of ice sheets is not included in the models, hence his raising
of matters to do with nonlinear
behaviour (eg disintegration)
of ice sheets.
However, Rick found that in more recent years, more articles discussed the uncertainty
of glacier and
ice -
sheet behaviour and reported a greater range
of sea - level rise for 2100, reflecting the greater uncertainty in the scientific literature.
Compare the SAR and the TAR for example, and since then we have many more proxy reconstructions to consider, the satellite analyses corrected, new data about energy imbalances, better observations
of ocean currents and temperature,
ice sheet behaviour in Greenland and Antarctica and much much more.
Insight into past
ice -
sheet behaviour also will aid predictions
of future
ice -
sheet stability.
Cook, Carys, Flierdt, Tina van de, Williams, Trevor, & et al. (2013) Dynamic
behaviour of the East Antarctic
ice sheet during Pliocene warmth.
A similar
behaviour might be occurring on the Amundsen Sea sector
of the west Antarctic
Ice Sheet (WAIS), where Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers have lost significant portions of their fringing ice shelves, and show signs of recent accelerati
Ice Sheet (WAIS), where Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers have lost significant portions
of their fringing
ice shelves, and show signs of recent accelerati
ice shelves, and show signs
of recent acceleration.
But in Bamber's second calculation the relatively sophisticated energy balance model, which he believes better represents
ice sheet behaviour, gave a threshold
of 8 degrees for irreversible melting
of Greenland — double the previously published threshold.
But in Bamber's second calculation the relatively sophisticated energy balance model, which he believes better represents
ice sheet behaviour, gave a threshold
of 8 degrees for irreversible melting
of Greenland - double the previously published threshold.
A major limitation is the fact that the calibration phase for these semi-empirical models does not cover the range
of climate - system
behaviour that might be expected for the 21st century, i.e., significant loss
of ice from the large polar
ice sheets.
Dynamic
behaviour of the East Antarctic
ice sheet during Pliocene warmth.