Bottom line: Investors can access a portfolio of 25 top P&C insurance companies trading at
below average earnings multiples with the PowerShares KBW Property & Casualty Insurance Portfolio at a cost of just.35 % per year.
Not exact matches
It notes the option market is pricing in an
earnings - related move of 3.4 %, which is
below its recent
average realized move of 3.9 %.
Based on 2016
earnings of $ 16.2 billion, it's selling at a price - to -
earnings multiple of just 15, well
below the market
average in the mid-20s.
Our 2013 year - end target of 1600 implies a 10 % price return, where most of the appreciation can be attributed to
earnings growth of 7 % next year, along with modest multiple expansion from 14.2 x to 14.7 x on trailing
earnings, still
below an
average PE of 16x.
A recent report from Bank of America Merrill Lynch said that households with an annual income
below $ 50,000 spent an
average of 21 % of their
earnings on energy costs, from home heating oil to filling their gas tanks.
In general, so - called value stocks — often defined as those trading at
earnings multiples
below the market
average or their own historical norms — have tricked a lot of investors in the most recent phase of the current bull market, which has worn on nearly seven and a half years.
On a per share basis, Valeant's
earnings were 78 cents per share,
below the
average estimate of 82 cents, according to Thomson Reuters I / B / / E / S.
«We believe if JPM can successfully resolve its regulatory and legal headline risk in a timely manner, the stock could reverse its recent underperformance that has resulted in trading at a
below - peer forward (price to
earnings ratio) of 8.8 times despite our expectations of above -
average profitability in 2014,» Matthew Burnell, an analyst at Wells Fargo Securities, wrote in a research note Thursday following the fine.
He notes that the stylized individual with
earnings that track the YMPE closely over an entire working career are rare and that replacement rates for people who have lifetime
average earnings close to the YMPE often have replacement rates from OAS and CPP well
below 40 %, as a result of fluctuations in their
earnings in relation to the YMPE.
Based on data from the American Community Survey, there is a racial and ethnic pay gap as well: Asian Americans reported the highest
average earnings in STEM occupations, while non-Hispanic whites also had above
average earnings; black and Hispanic professionals earned
below average wages in 2012.
Some European equity indices — Germany's DAX and France's CAC 40 — are at long - term price - to -
earnings ratios of around 10 times, well
below their historic
average.
Average hourly
earnings rose just 0.1 % m / o / m,
below the 0.2 % expected increase.
Of course, in recent years, stock prices have grown much faster than
earnings and dividends, driving the P / E far above its historical
average and the dividend yield (D / P) far
below its historical
average.
With U.S. stocks trading for more than 20x trailing
earnings, credit spreads tight and volatility roughly 35 %
below its long - term
average, it is difficult to argue that investors are overly pessimistic (source: Bloomberg).
With a PE of 12, several points
below the historic
average, you can get away with being right about either future
earnings or future PE.
Longer - term metrics, such as cyclically adjusted price - to -
earnings, or CAPE, ratios, are even more troubling, suggesting that U.S. stocks are likely to produce, at best,
average to
below -
average returns over the next five years.
These conditions comprise the following: S&P 500 overvalued with the Shiller P / E (the ratio of the S&P 500 to the 10 - year
average of inflation - adjusted
earnings) greater than 18; overbought with the S&P 500 within 3 % of its upper Bollinger band (2 standard deviations above the 20 - period
average) at daily, weekly, and monthly resolutions, more than 7 % above its 52 - week smoothing, and more than 50 % above its 4 - year low; overbullish with the 2 - week
average of advisory bullishness (Investors Intelligence) greater than 52 % and bearishness
below 28 %; and yields rising with the 10 - year Treasury bond yield higher than 6 - months earlier.
At my time of purchase the Price /
Earnings (PE) ratio was 16.75,
below the 5 year
average of 18.18.
The Price /
Earnings (P / E) ratio is 19.07,
below the 5 year
average of 23.72, and well
below the Insurance industry's 5 year
average of 28.36.
The share price has fallen considerably from when we eliminated the position in the second quarter of 2014 when the business was valued at over 15x 2014
earnings, and we believe the business is now attractively valued at a
below -
average multiple of 11x expected 2015
earnings.
Bill's main point here is that with the exception of the 1973 - 1974 bear market, the downturns that ended at single - digit price - to - peak
earnings multiples also started at
below -
average multiples.
The only significant problem is that the maximum CPP benefit is very modest, just $ 1092.80 per month, and the
average benefit is less than one half of that amount due to years of
earnings below the maximum amount and years spent outside of the paid workforce.
Looking at periods where the price to peak
earnings was above 19 and inflation and bond yields were
below 2.5 percent and 4.5 percent, respectively, stocks had an
average seven - year return of 6 percent.
And yet the
averages are
below where they were when
earnings season started.
In effect, this combination has pushed the price /
earnings valuation on forward
earnings down to 13.6 which is significantly
below its long - term
average of 16.
For example, since 1950, the S&P 500 has enjoyed total returns
averaging 33.18 % annually during periods when the S&P 500 price / peak
earnings ratio was
below 15 and both 3 - month T - bill yields and 10 - year Treasury yields were
below their levels of 6 months earlier.
Using data on hours worked and
earnings, one can craft a labor income proxy that is up 1.8 percent, well
below its 20 - year
average of 3 percent.
The index's trailing price - to -
earnings (P / E) ratio sits at around 12, significantly
below the historical
average of 16.
The S&P 500 trades today at just 15.6 times
average estimated
earnings — well
below the
average P / E of 18.6 times
earnings during periods when inflation was at similarly muted levels in the past 57 years...
The last time bearish sentiment was
below 20 %, at a 4 - year market high and a Shiller P / E above 18 (S&P 500 divided by the 10 - year
average of inflation - adjusted
earnings — the present multiple is 23) was for two weeks in May 2007 with the S&P 500 about 1525.
The Price /
Earnings (P / E) ratio is 12.2, slightly above the 5 year
average of 10.5, but well
below the Insurance industry's 5 year
average of 20.8.
Not only are the
earnings and revenue growth rates for the companies
below what they achieved in Q3 and the 4 - quarter
average, but the beat ratios are weaker as well.
The least lucrative STEM field by far is biology, which has lifetime
earnings significantly
below those of the
average non-STEM college graduate.
Raj Chetty, a professor of economics at Harvard, in 2010 published a study that estimates that having an above -
average kindergarten teacher in a classroom of 20 will generate about $ 320,000 more in total lifetime
earnings for each of his or her students, compared to the same class with a
below -
average teacher.
Perhaps slightly more useful, since
averages can be skewed by outliers: MEDIAN
earnings per author: $ 20,000 (half of earnings fell above, half below this amount) Earnings reported ranged from a low of $ 4 (which might possibly have been a typo) to a high of $ 2.1
earnings per author: $ 20,000 (half of
earnings fell above, half below this amount) Earnings reported ranged from a low of $ 4 (which might possibly have been a typo) to a high of $ 2.1
earnings fell above, half
below this amount)
Earnings reported ranged from a low of $ 4 (which might possibly have been a typo) to a high of $ 2.1
Earnings reported ranged from a low of $ 4 (which might possibly have been a typo) to a high of $ 2.1 million.
The two eventually compromised and used 60 %
below the
average price -
earnings ratio high.
With U.S. stocks trading for more than 20x trailing
earnings, credit spreads tight and volatility roughly 35 %
below its long - term
average, it is difficult to argue that investors are overly pessimistic (source: Bloomberg).
A stock should have a price -
earnings ratio that is 60 %
below its previous two - year
average high.
In the example
below, an investor paying 0.85 % in
average management fee actually lost 21 % of his
earnings over the 22 years he was saving for retirement.
Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, said the S&P / TSX composite index, excluding energy stocks, is now trading at a price - to -
earnings ratio
below its long - run
average after its third - quarter decline -LSB-...]
Based on the latest 10 - year
earnings average, to reach a P / E10 in the high single digits would require an S&P 500 price decline
below 540.
At the same time, wage growth has been tepid with
average hourly
earnings, having increased by only 0.1 % MoM and 2.6 % YoY; both measures are
below economists» projections,
Between 1995 and the financial crisis, the
average price - to -
earnings (P / E) ratio of the S&P 500 utilities sector was roughly 25 percent
below the P / E of the broader market, as Bloomberg data indicates.
Both of these conditions, as they are now, have historically led to
below -
average earnings growth.
This would bring valuations down from 20.7 times
earnings to well
below the historic
average of 18.7, while the competitive returns from banks and government bonds will remain derisory by historic standards.
In addition, at 14.3 - times estimated next - twelve - month
earnings, the price - to -
earnings ratio of the S&P 500 ® is only slightly
below the historical
average.
If the company starts missing
earnings quarter after quarter, the stock can quickly lose value and remain
below your
average cost.
In the graph
below I've plotted the
average correlation between changes in local
earnings and changes in the local country index for developed markets; the
average correlation between changes in local GDP and the local country index; and the
average correlation between changes in the local country index and the MSCI US index.
The chart
below shows the per - share inflation - adjusted
earnings of the S&P 500 as well as its 10 - year moving
average.
So we have high quality companies that are compounding their book values, cash flows,
earnings, and sales over long periods of time, and they are selling at
below average valuations.