Unforeseen circumstances as
well as unfavourable
outcomes of the parliamentary
elections in India and leadership shift in the Pakistani army within the
next months could quickly derail the rapprochement.
This chimes with the views
of others that AV would make only a modest difference to
outcomes, likely to leave the Lib Dems at the
next election somewhat
better off at the expense
of the Tories, especially in the South - West.