David and Dan discuss this weekend's NFL Divisional Round with
the best sharp money indicators, betting systems, public betting trends, value picks and more.
With our system still failing to prove profitable, it was time to bring out the big guns and examine the impact of reverse line movement — one of
the best sharp money indicators.
Over the years, reverse line movement has been one of
the best sharp money indicators in the NFL.
By using the tools available to Sportsbook Insider members, I have pinpointed the factors driving line movement and highlighted some of
the best sharp money indicators.
Their analysis includes a break down of historical betting trends, dissecting the major line moves, and pinpointing
the best sharp money indicators.
Our best sharp money indicator came from the betting trends at the Las Vegas based William Hill sportsbook, where a majority of bettors were taking the Saints but more money had been bet on the «Skins.
That loan steam move isn't
the best sharp money indicator, but there are other factors which point towards value on the Warriors.
It's also worth noting that
our best sharp money indicator on this game (a smart money alert at CRIS) was triggered when Bookmaker momentarily adjusted the line from Cleveland -7.5 to -8.
This reverse line movement is one of
the best sharp money indicators.
This is one of
our best sharp money indicators, and it's clear that sharps were eager to take Nashville at that price.
That assessment was validated by Cooley, who stated there's «pretty
good sharp money on the under.
Not exact matches
But in the last few episodes of
sharp stock market drops, bonds went up (US government bonds are a safe haven asset and appreciate in crisis periods) so the only thing
better than 3 months worth of expenses in a
money market fund is having 3 + x months worth of expenses in the bond portfolio due to higher bond yields and negative correlation between bonds and stocks.
This game fits into our betting against the public philosophy, but there have been a number of other
sharp money indicators as
well.
A Steam Move was triggered on the Tigers at Pinnacle (+13.77 units) as
well as a Smart
Money move at SBG (+6.06 units), indicating sharp money has already come down on the home
Money move at SBG (+6.06 units), indicating
sharp money has already come down on the home
money has already come down on the home dog.
We always stress the importance of knowing where the square and
sharp money is and Betting against the Public during the college football bowl season has performed
well every year without any big swings or valleys in the results.
As noted in an earlier article, the Pinnacle MLB steam move has been incredibly profitable for bettors and it's one of the
best identifiers of
sharp money.
Premium and Pro members can track all the latest line moves,
sharp money,
best bets, breaking news and more.
We've discussed at length how square bettors typically overvalue ranked teams, how bettors can diagnose
sharp money indicators like reverse line movement, and how
good rushing teams are typically undervalued in low - scoring games.
This is a
good indicator of
Sharp money holding the line steady.
Given the discrepancy between the betting percentages and
money percentages as
well as the line movement,
sharper bettors believe that Oregon State will cover the spread.
As readers of this column know, I always attempt to lay a
good number and follow the
Sharp money.
Though the line movement and
money would suggest that
sharp bettors are on the 76ers, our old pal David Solar points out that teams in this situation have not fared
well.
Many sportsbooks are still hanging the total at 215, so make sure to shop for the
best line if you're planning to follow this
sharp money on the under.
Not only has the spread taken a beating from professional bettors, but
sharp money has pounded the opening total of 54 as
well.
You can get our
sharp money Bet Signal alerts along with a slew of other features including our
Best Bets by signing up for a 4 - day trial of Sportsbook Insider Pro.
It includes real - time odds from over 50 different sportsbooks, public betting trends, betting and dollar percentages, the number of bets on every game,
sharp money Bet Signals, including steam and reverse line movement alerts, our in - house contrarian plays, plus our exclusive
Best Bet picks for all sports — NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NBA, NCAAB.
That is a
good stat, which is why it's important to see if the public moves this line back up to 14 or if
sharp money holds it steady, or even pushes the line down under 13.
One of the
best ways to identify
sharp money is by looking for reverse line movement, which is when the spread moves in the opposite direction of our public betting trends.
It's clear that
sharp money is taking Clemson at +7 in Monday's game, but it's important for bettors to shop for the
best line before placing any bets.
Once again, that's a
good indicator of
sharp money on the under.
Since all of our
sharp money indicators point towards value on Alabama -9.5, it's important to shop for the
best line.
This reverse line movement signals that
sharp money likes the Wildcats, who currently are receiving 58 % of spread dollars as
well as over half of spread
money throughout the week.
We always preach the importance of getting the
best line possible, following the
sharp money and going contrarian.
Not only did
sharp money take a position on the College Football Playoff National Championship spread earlier in the week, but now professionals have targeted the total as
well.
While tracking steam is important, combining betting trends data,
sharp money triggers (Steam Moves and Smart Money Plays) and shopping for the best line will maximize value while not leaving your bankroll exposed with too many wagers pending at
money triggers (Steam Moves and Smart
Money Plays) and shopping for the best line will maximize value while not leaving your bankroll exposed with too many wagers pending at
Money Plays) and shopping for the
best line will maximize value while not leaving your bankroll exposed with too many wagers pending at once.
Early
sharp money and tickets pounded the Wolverines on the road and for
good reason — unless you're Alabama, it's extremely difficult to stay undefeated through the season.
There's also been some reverse - line movement so far on the draw at both CRIS and Pinnacle, another
good indicator of
sharp money on the draw.
Although the only picks we fully endorse are our
Best Bets,
sharp money indicators like reverse line movement help offer insight into which teams are offering value and whether public perception is creating artificial line value.
It would be fair to say that we are leaning towards Miami +3 in this game due to the contrarian value and
sharp money indicators, however, the only plays we endorse are our
Best Bet picks.
Knowing which side
sharp money likes is important, but getting the
best number is a huge part of being a profitable sports bettor.
Interestingly, 69 % of spread bettors have laid the points with the Ducks, yet the reverse - line movement continues to indicate that early
sharp money has showed up to take the Buckeyes at +7 and now at some +6.5's at
well.
Following the
sharp money is great, but unfortunately you won't find lines as
good as Alabama -3.5 or -4 anymore.
Although contrarian favorites didn't perform too
well in Week 8, Auburn moved from -7.5 to -10.5 by close as there was clearly
sharp money all over the Tigers.
Limits were bumped to 25K early, and we do have a
good bit of
sharp Falcons
money, but we're just waiting this marinate a bit before considering a move off the key number.»
This week, we'll bet against a big public favorite, follow the
sharp money and, as always, shop for the
best line.
They spend a
good deal of
money on the staples: One elegant skirt; one
sharp - fitting blazer; one pair each of slacks and jeans; one fine purse; one set of heels.
The
money was
well spent, though, with the show's visual effects similar to that of a movie — 10 years later, they still look crisp and
sharp on repeat viewings.
Teachers make about $ 25 an hour during home visits, but elementary school Principal Carol
Sharp considers the
money well - spent.
The previous Cayman was already one of the sweetest sports cars
money could buy at this level, and this new 718 is significantly
sharper and
better in all these crucial areas.
«A BMW M2 is
sharper to drive and a Ford Focus RS
better value for
money, but the RS 3 remains a thoroughly capable and
well - resolved package that blends pace, poise and practicality in equal measure.»