Not exact matches
As calm markets pushed volatility to
record lows, some strategies increasingly accepted
bets against calm markets in order to fund equity positions.
The tables below display the
records and units won that bettors would have earned by
betting against the Cy Young winner in the season after taking home the award.
While
betting against Bielema in a bowl game is scary given his strong track
record, I do not believe Arkansas has the juice.
The table below shows the
against the spread (ATS)
record at specific
betting percentage levels when
betting on only visiting underdogs.
I know Lukaku was awful
against Italy but I would still take him as our best
bet, he's young but proven in the EPL with an admirable goal scoring
record!
Immediately, I saw that simply
betting against any ranked team had produced a 1495 - 1465 ATS (
against the spread)
record since the start of the 2005 season.
After posting a 4 - 12
record in 2010, Buffalo received 46 % of spread
bets and 37 % of parlay wagers in their Week 1 matchup
against Kansas City.
This loss dropped the Bills» overall
record to 3 - 1, but dropped the
betting public to 0 - 4 when taking a side for or
against Buffalo in 2011.
That
record doesn't even include earlier
betting systems such as the one detailed in our 2014 MLB Betting Against the Public report which has gone 27 - 18 with +23.02 units won since it was shared nearly two yea
betting systems such as the one detailed in our 2014 MLB
Betting Against the Public report which has gone 27 - 18 with +23.02 units won since it was shared nearly two yea
Betting Against the Public report which has gone 27 - 18 with +23.02 units won since it was shared nearly two years ago.
Behind a slow start from the newly acquired Albert Pujols -LRB-.217 batting average and zero home runs in April), Los Angeles sat in last place with an 8 - 15
record after the first month of the season and were the best team to
bet against in the league.
On the season, underdogs have gone 266 - 228 ATS (53.8 %)
against conference opponents including a 208 - 172 ATS (54.7 %)
record when they're receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets.
We quickly saw that
betting against the public has been profitable at the 30 % level, posting a 3,674 - 5,212
record for +26.14 units won and a 0.3 % ROI.
When we add our «
betting against the public» filter to road teams getting < 40 % of moneyline
bets, the ROI excels to over 40 % and nearly +28 units won (overall
record of 34 - 35).
By applying
Bet Labs» «Days Between Games» filter, we were able to determine that teams playing in the second game of a back - to - back have an
against the spread (ATS)
record of 2058 - 2118 (49.3 % win rate) in regular season games dating back to 2005.
It'd take a brave person to
bet against him breaking Chilton's
record next time out in Austin, and based on his career up to this point so far, you'd think he has a good chance of breaking Nick Heidfeld's
record for the most consecutive finishes ever - 33.
The way he's playing at the moment, you wouldn't
bet against him scoring again and adding to his
record this weekend.
Although
betting against the public produced a winning
record for second half bettors, it was still well below the 52.38 % break - even point.
Although teams receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets have posted a winning
record, the optimal threshold for
betting against the public comes at the 40 % level.
This season, our marketwatch selections have gotten off to a slow start, but the contrarian approach has been highly effective as evidenced by our 37 - 25 combined
record Against the Spread (ATS) with square plays and best
bets.
While you would expect it to be more profitable to
bet against the Cubs during day games, this system actually falters with a 238 - 254
record and just 19.42 units won as well as an ROI of just 3.9 % — a nearly 50 % drop off from all home games.
That said, there has been some value
betting against the public with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets posting a 90 - 78 ATS
record.
Although
betting against the public has a winning
record at the 35 % threshold, this system doesn't actually become profitable until we examine teams receiving less than 30 % of spread
bets.
It's going to be extremely hard to get out of the group now but I would not
bet against us
against bayern as we have a good
record against them so let's back our team, and you Wenger haters, leave it till the end of the season to moan as getting knocked out of the cl might even give us the best chance to win the title that we al crave!
In one of the most lopsided
bet games of the week, more than eight out of ten spread wagers are going with # 8 Houston to keep their undefeated
record intact and win by at least four points on the road
against the 8 - 3 Golden Hurricane.
However, when we utilize our
betting against the public philosophy and focus on teams receiving less than 30 % of spread
bets, we produce an 83 - 64 ATS
record with +15.09 units won and a 10.3 % ROI.
And for the
record, if you read our other
betting against the public articles, we don't use ROI as the only factor in judging a system.
Betting against the public favorites at a 70 % threshold yielded an 8 - 4
record for games played on September 4th:
-- It was an awful week for
betting against the public, with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets posting a 4 - 11 ATS
record.
Betting against the public continued to be a profitable strategy, as teams receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets posted a 7 - 5 ATS
record.
Since tankers care about their actual
record, not their ATS
record, perhaps we can find some more potential profits by
betting against them straight up.
Our most recent NFL
Betting Against the Public report details a system that has gone 118 - 68 ATS (63.44 %) including a 7 - 2 ATS (77.78 %)
record this season.
Not only did the ratings blowing away previous BCS games, but our
betting against the public philosophy thrived as teams receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets posted a 38 - 23 ATS
record (+12.96 units).
It's also interesting to note that Toledo fits the criteria for our 2014 College Football
Betting Against the Public report which has produced a 215 - 177 ATS
record (54.8 %) with +27.33 units won and a 7 % ROI.
-- Our 2015 NFL
Betting Against the Public system had its first system matches of the season and posted a 2 - 0 ATS
record (Oakland +6 and Jacksonville +5).
Betting against the public has not fared well this season, with teams receiving less than 30 % of spread
bets posting a cringe - worthy 36 - 52 ATS
record.
This system, which examines the sweet spot for
betting against the public, has gone 147 - 84 ATS (63.6 %) all - time including an 11 - 7 ATS (61.1 %)
record this season.
Our contrarian
betting strategy had a slow Week 4, finishing 1 - 2
against the spread (ATS), dropping our overall season
record to 9 - 7 ATS.
To answer that question, using the
Bet Labs database, I pulled the first half and second half
against - the - spread
records for every team since 2003.
Spread
betting trends (all
records are
against the spread): Kentucky 7 - 1 in nonconference games, 8 - 2 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 16 - 5 to Big East, but 3 - 7 off straight up win.
Spread
betting trends (all
records are
against the spread): VCU 9 - 0 is as an underdog, 9 - 0 in NCAA Tournament, 6 - 0 nonconference, 5 - 0 as an underdog.
Note: This system doesn't just
bet teams with losing ATS
records against teams with winning ATS
records.
The most profitable situation is to
bet against low ranked Non-Power 5 teams that don't have a perfect
record.
We have to look at a home win as part of the
bet here, as the Pensioners should have little trouble adding to Brighton's awful away
record against the league's best.
I listed their team's
record in their starts the following season along with how many units were won or lost
betting on and fading (
betting against) each pitcher the season after winning the Cy Young award.
«ATS» signifies the
record based on
bets placed
against the spread.
Spread
betting trends (all
records are
against the spread): Minnesota is 3 - 8 their last 11 road, 4 - 15 as a road underdog of 0.5 - 3.0, 1 - 8 as underdog.
Spread
betting trends (all
records are
against the spread): The Wildcats have gone over 16 - 5 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spread
betting trends (all
records are
against the spread): East Carolina has gone over 8 - 2 after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and over 7 - 2 outside the conference.
Spread
betting trends (all
records are
against the spread): Jacksonville 5 - 0 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 4 - 11 after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Spurred by the Sports Insights tweet and using the
Bet Labs database, I pulled each team's
against - the - spread
record since 2003 (that is how far back our data goes) looking for the number of games they were underdogs of 5 or more points.