Not exact matches
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's annual letter to shareholders recently gained a lot of attention when he
pointed out one very important
point about the future of America: don't
bet against U.S. innovation.
New York Times columnist and «World is Flat» author Thomas Friedman, makes the
point in his that while China is certainly exhibiting signs of over-inflated markets, he wouldn't want to
bet against it too soon.
Gross
pointed to the long - term success of the Total Return Fund, while acknowledging the tough year the fund saw in 2011, when it experienced significant net outflows after he
bet against the bond market.
Before the season we wrote our annual College Basketball and
Betting Against the Public article, which found that road underdogs of 10 - 20
points had won at a 54.6 % clip since 2008.
The best - value
bets can often be found by going
against these teams because the oddsmakers adjust the line to reflect the expected weight of public money; so that the underdog is often quested at better odds or receives a larger
point spread than is warranted.
This year's NHL
Betting Against the Public article details the profitable points for contrarian betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on inve
Betting Against the Public article details the profitable
points for contrarian
betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on inve
betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline
bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on investment.
It's also worth
pointing out that the public rarely
bets against Jim Harbaugh.
Sacramento also fits into a key filter of ours mentioned in this season's
Betting Against the Public article, getting 10 +
points on the road while receiving less than 35 % of
bets.
Two days later in Lin's first start, the Knicks received just 52 % of public
bets as 3 -
point favorites
against the Jazz.
Tuesday's St. Petersburg Bowl was the first game of this bowl season to fit the system and saw Marshall, a 5 -
point underdog
against Florida International, close with 30 % of all spread
bets.
As a result, just over six out of ten spread
bets are riding the wave and taking the
points in hopes of Philadelphia keeping it within a field goal in Dallas
against the Jekyll and Hyde «Boys.
It is difficult to
bet against the U.S.'s Lepchenko at this
point, isn't it?
It's a fool's errand to
bet against Bruce Arians at this
point, but I think his magic has run out now that he has to resort to Ryan Lindley.
Despite the Patriots nearly imploding last week at home
against the winless Colts, nearly nine out of ten spread
bets are sticking with New England to cover in DC, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a pivotal 1.5
points away from the home dog «Skins.
With both teams coming off 3 -
point losses to division rivals, the
betting public is giving the slight edge to the visiting Broncos who put up 63 big
points last week
against Toledo only to lose by a field goal in the final minute.
However, with the Jets coming off a 37 - 16 shellacking at home
against the hated Pats, the
betting public is fading the Tebow hype and sticking with Rex Ryan's bunch to bounce back and escape Mile High with at least a five
point victory in the lone Thursday night game in the NFL.
The Pats opened as a 17
point favorite
against their divisional opponent, but have since moved to a mere -16.5 despite 70 % of
bets.
Even with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half -
point away from road dog New York, the
betting public remains heavily in favor of the G - Men covering on the road
against the Jeckyll and Hyde Cowboys.
Nevertheless, the public remains in favor of Kellen Moore and Co. bouncing back in a big way, with just over seven out of ten spread
bets in favor of Boise posting a 19
point victory or more on the road
against the Mountain West rival Aztecs.
The Table below shows the results for «
Betting Against the Public» and selecting Visiting Dogs getting at least 1
point, 3
points, 5
points and 7
points.
The Mountaineers have only one loss on the season, a 6 -
point defeat
against undefeated LSU in Baton Rouge, so it's not a surprise to see the
betting public heavily favoring West Virginia.
As a result, nearly six out of ten spread
bets remain committed to Eli and the G - Men picking up at least a four -
point victory at the Meadowlands
against the 10 - 6 Falcons.
It'd take a brave person to
bet against him breaking Chilton's record next time out in Austin, and based on his career up to this
point so far, you'd think he has a good chance of breaking Nick Heidfeld's record for the most consecutive finishes ever - 33.
Even so, nearly nine out of ten
bets are sticking with them to bounce back and cover the spread
against Ohio State, especially after the sportsbooks took a valuable half
point away from the home dog Buckeyes.
Despite FIU losing three of their last four games, the public remains heavy on the 4 - 3 Golden Panthers, with slightly more than 8 out of 10
bets confident that FIU can win by at least 7
points at home
against a 2 - 4 Troy team with one of the worst statistical defenses in the nation.
In one of this weekend's most heavily
bet games, Tennessee opened as 8 -
point home favorites
against Florida.
Stoke are rough and would have been told to stop Ozil, same with Sanchez, I
bet he was ready but no
point putting him
against a team that love taking out players.
Back in 2008, the line movement was actually quite similar when the previously undefeated Patriots received just 39 % of spread
bets as 14 -
point favorites
against the New York Giants.
Although
betting against the public produced a winning record for second half bettors, it was still well below the 52.38 % break - even
point.
-- The Miami Heat, who suffered a 107 - 96 loss in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, are currently receiving 77 % of spread
bets as a 2.5 -
point favorite tonight
against the Indiana Pacers.
Based on our contrarian strategy, we believed that it would be profitable to
bet against the public and take teams — specifically those getting
points — that are winning at halftime.
NBA - The Miami Heat, who suffered a 107 - 96 loss in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, are currently receiving 77 % of spread
bets as a 2.5 -
point favorite tonight
against the Indiana Pacers.
The following night they received just 52 % of spread
bets as 3 -
point favorites
against the Jazz.
Last week in this space I examined the public
betting trends for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals and determined that the Warriors were offering tremendous value as 7.5 -
point favorites
against the Thunder.
The NBA, MLB, and PGA Tour also support proposed legislation in Indiana that would include a one percent «integrity fee,» which would go to the leagues being
bet on and ostensibly spent to ensure proper oversight
against issues like
point shaving or match fixing.
The highest seed in action on Thursday is the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines, who are 2.5 -
point betting favorites
against the No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies.
At the time of publication, Kentucky is receiving 60 % of spread
bets as a 19 -
point favorite for Thursday's game
against Georgia, so be sure to keep an eye on the
betting trends and spread for this game for a possible contrarian
betting opportunity.
It appears that sharp bettors are
betting against that trend at this
point.
Based on these trends it's tough to
point towards any value
betting against the public.
As a result of the sportsbooks giving road dog New York an additional
point, the
betting public is giving the slight edge to Rex and the Jets either winning straight up or losing by two or less in Philly
against Vick and the Eagles.
-- For early Super Bowl
betting, the NFC is currently a 3 -
point favorite
against the AFC with a total of 51.5.
Back on February 4th, the Knicks were receiving 55 % of spread
bets as 6.5 -
point favorites
against the Nets.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take an important half -
point away from the road dog Bucs, nearly seven out of ten spread
bets are sticking with Tampa Bay to win by four or more
against the maddeningly inconsistent Titans.
By last Friday, if there was a common cause left in town, it was the Knicks; after all, with Willis Reed hurt, there was no
point spread and no one to
bet against.
The Pacers are currently 4 -
point underdogs
against the Magic, but check out our NBA
Betting Trends page for consensus odds and public betting trends from our seven contributing sport
Betting Trends page for consensus odds and public
betting trends from our seven contributing sport
betting trends from our seven contributing sportsbooks.
Even after the two -
point line move, Wake Forest currently fits the criteria for our 2014, 2015 and 2016 College Football
Betting Against the Public system.
We will «
bet against the public» and go along with the smart, big money by taking the Colts, plus the
points.
With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half -
point away from road dog Denver, the
betting public is just slightly in favor of San Diego winning by seven
points at home
against Tim Tebow and the Broncos.
Betting on Home Dogs
Against the Public (at the 30 % level) resulted in just a 42 % winning percentage at various
point spreads in 2008.
As a result, three out of four spread
bets remain committed to Philip Rivers and the underachieving Chargers winning by at least four
points against MJD and the 3 - 8 Jags.