Betting against the public in heavily
bet college games has always been profitable and betting against a top - 3 team in particular has also been quite lucrative, hitting at nearly a 55 % ATS rate when getting 25 % or less.
Not exact matches
Both the Masters and March Madness are among the most popular annual events with sports bettors, with an estimated $ 9.2 billion collectively
bet on this year's
college playoff
games.
The logic: Almost 80 % of
bets are on Louisville in this one, and it's no surprise bettors are eager to back Lamar Jackson in the last
game of his
college career.
With four conference championship
games on tap this afternoon, let's take a moment to examine the line movement for these key matchups using our
College Basketball
Betting Trends.
With over 2500
bets, this is easily the most
bet game on the
college slate so far and shocker, the bettors like the Boilermakers.
As a result, we are keeping a close eye on tonight's
game and could include Arizona State as a Best
Bet or Square Play, depending on how our
College Football
Betting System Picks react to line movement and changes in the Public
Betting Trends throughout the day.
As a result, we are keeping a close eye on tonight's
game and could include Louisiana Tech as a Best
Bet or Square Play, depending on how our
College Football
Betting System Picks react to line movement and changes in the Public
Betting Trends throughout the day.
As a result, be sure to login to your Sports Insights account, check the
College Basketball
Betting System Plays and shop for the best line before taking a side in this
game.
At the time of publication, this
game is the second most heavily
bet college basketball
game of the day (trailing only NC State - UNC) and with a 9 o'clock start time it's reasonable to expect more movement before tip - off.
The team here at SportsInsights has circled a handful of these
games due to these discrepancies, so let's take a moment to examine the line movement for these key matchups using our
College Basketball
Betting Trends.
In
College Football: The NC State - Georgia Tech
game is seeing the heaviest
betting action.
At the time of publication, this
game is the most heavily
bet (in terms of total number of
bets)
college basketball
game of the day.
Here, we give an update on upcoming big
games during the
college bowl season and also focus on the heaviest -
bet game...
Our analysis includes closing lines from Pinnacle and
College Basketball
Betting Trends since the start of the 2008 season (over 14,000
games).
Investors don't care whether their money is down on a nationally - televised NFL matchup or a random weeknight
college basketball
game in December as long as the wager represents a valuable
betting opportunity.
Because there are so many
games each
college basketball season, focusing on more heavily
bet games (by adding Bet Labs» Number of Bets filter to the research above) increases win percentage even mo
bet games (by adding
Bet Labs» Number of Bets filter to the research above) increases win percentage even mo
Bet Labs» Number of
Bets filter to the research above) increases win percentage even more.
At the time of publication, this
game is the most heavily
bet (in terms of total number of
bets)
college basketball
game of the day and with the late start time, it's reasonable to expect more movement before tip - off.
We will continue to monitor these
games, but make sure to check in by viewing our
College Basketball
Betting Trends.
We wanted to revisit this match - up because it is currently the heaviest -
bet college football
game of the day.
Sports Insights»
college football betting database for College Football now includes more than 5,500 games over the past eight s
college football
betting database for
College Football now includes more than 5,500 games over the past eight s
College Football now includes more than 5,500
games over the past eight seasons.
In this week's podcast, David and Dan analyze MLB playoff
betting trends, highlight value in NFL Week 9
games, handicap the MVP race, offer contrarian
college football picks and much more.
Similar to our 80/20 NFL
Betting Against the Public System, our contrarian approach is applied to college football and shows you how to boost your bankroll betting bowl
Betting Against the Public System, our contrarian approach is applied to
college football and shows you how to boost your bankroll
betting bowl
betting bowl
games.
Although the
college basketball handles in November, December and January are smaller due to the ongoing football season, there's still value
betting against the public in the most heavily
bet games.
The opening lines are out for this coming week's
college football
games, and what does the early
betting action say?
The line history graph below, which is available to all Premium and All - Pro Combo members, shows how the
College Basketball
Betting Trends and line have moved for this
game at Pinnacle.
Not to mention,
betting against the public is much better in heavily
bet college basketball
games.
We will continue to monitor this
game as a potential
college basketball
betting system play — especially if public money moves Virginia to an underdog.
One cautionary note about this potential play is that the
betting action has been fairly light, with just 363
bets for a Friday night
game, the only
college football
game of the evening.
Interestingly, this is the least
bet (in terms of overall number of
bets)
college football
game of the day, providing another example of how sharp bettors don't
bet for solely for action, but focus on value and value alone.
Although monitoring the ticket count is more important in
college athletics where the number of
bets ranges dramatically from
game to
game, there's still increased value fading the public in the day's most heavily
bet games.
This is currently the heaviest -
bet game in early
college football action.
In this week's podcast, David and Dan break down NFL Week 7 trends, explain how weather can affect
betting totals, look at the value of underdogs in divisional
games, break down the Heisman race, offer their best
college football value picks, highlight an awesome MLB playoff
betting system and much more!
In other words,
college basketball bettors can't blindly
bet against the public — they need to target the most heavily
bet games of the day.
They discuss the most profitable March Madness
betting strategies, important criteria when handicapping
college basketball
games, how to exploit lines in smaller tournaments, the best time to place your wagers, and why bettors need to have realistic expectations when buying picks.
The most lopsided -
bet college football
game of the day is the Maryland - Clemson
game, where less than 10 % of bettors (including teasers and parlays) are taking Maryland as home dogs.
We have also written at length about how it is profitable to
bet against ranked
College Football teams, fade NFL teams in «must - win» situations, take NBA underdogs after a blowout loss and pound the over in bad weather NFL
games.
The value of
betting against the public is directly correlated with the number of
bets placed on each
game — especially in
college sports where the number of
bets varies dramatically.
That's especially true in
college basketball and
college football where the number of
bets varies greatly from
game to
game, but it's also true for MLB bettors.
NCAAF — In just 3 weeks there'll be dozens of
college football
games to
bet on, so we've added a couple new systems to the Think Tank to get you prepared:
This is especially true in
College Football, where the number of
bets varies tremendously from
game to
game.
In
college football, the heaviest -
bet game of the day is the Texas A&M vs. Baylor
game...
In yesterday's
college football action, no
games fit this model, but the most lopsided -
bet game of the day (and one of the heaviest -
bet games), a
bet on UL - Lafayette — would have covered the point - spread.
College Football Week 2
Betting Recap: - The Thursday night
game wasn't a marquee matchup but was an interesting one for bettors.
For updated real - time odds and
betting percentage data for the Iron Bowl as well as all of today's
college football games, please visit our free College Football Live Odd
college football
games, please visit our free
College Football Live Odd
College Football Live Odds page.
College Football Week 7
Betting Recap: - Thursday night's slate of
games weren't spectacular, but each saw a close
game in regards to the spread (Stanford, SDSU, UNLV).
Last year, 10 of the 14 most heavily
bet college football
games of the year were Bowl
games, including the top 5 most
bet games of the season.
College Football Week 4
Betting Recap: - Thursday night's
game featured a crucial Top - 25 matchup between public favorite Auburn and home dog Kansas State.
As we have previously stated, the value derived from
betting against the public is directly correlated with the number of
bets placed on each
game and marquee bowl
games (like BCS Bowls or
College Football Playoff
game) receive nearly six times more
bets than the average regular season
game.
There's still more than three days for action to come in on this
game, so we invite everyone to periodically check - in with our Free
College Basketball Live Odds page for real - time NCAA Tournament odds and
betting percentage updates.
Bet Labs subscribers can receive current
game matches for this system or create winning
college basketball systems of their own, however, for a limited time we are giving everybody access to a limited version of NCAAB
Bet Labs.