Sentences with phrase «better confidence estimate»

Not exact matches

Given the absence of a public trading market of our common stock, and in accordance with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately - Held Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation, our board of directors exercised reasonable judgment and considered numerous and subjective factors to determine the best estimate of fair value of our common stock, including independent third - party valuations of our common stock; the prices at which we sold shares of our convertible preferred stock to outside investors in arms - length transactions; the rights, preferences, and privileges of our convertible preferred stock relative to those of our common stock; our operating results, financial position, and capital resources; current business conditions and projections; the lack of marketability of our common stock; the hiring of key personnel and the experience of our management; the introduction of new products; our stage of development and material risks related to our business; the fact that the option grants involve illiquid securities in a private company; the likelihood of achieving a liquidity event, such as an initial public offering or a sale of our company given the prevailing market conditions and the nature and history of our business; industry trends and competitive environment; trends in consumer spending, including consumer confidence; and overall economic indicators, including gross domestic product, employment, inflation and interest rates, and the general economic outlook.

At such junctures one should keep in mind that it is actually irrelevant whether the economy is doing well, or «forward» earnings estimates are strong, or confidence is high, and so forth.

Reliability is typically captured using reliability coefficients as well as confidence intervals that help to situate and contextualize VAM estimates and their measurement errors.

«Three million units is certainly aggressive, and it is rare to see any organization toss out unit estimates well before launch, but I believe it just speaks to the high confidence level within Microsoft,» he said.

The bottom line is that multiple studies indicate with very strong confidence that human activity is the dominant component in the warming of the last 50 to 60 years, and that our best estimates are that pretty much all of the rise is anthropogenic.

The IPCC stated with 95 % confidence that most of the global warming since 1950 is human - caused, with a best estimate that 100 % is due to humans over the past 60 years.

The contributions to different reconstructions are indicated by different line styles (Briffa et al.: solid, fat; Esper et al.: dotted; Moberg: dashed; CH - blend: solid, thin; with shaded 90 % confidence limits around best estimates for each detectable signal).

Meanwhile, below is a selection of approximate «best» estimates (and their associated approximate 95 % confidence intervals) for some species and areas.

Thus, the first error range or — spread ‖ is akin to the range of model SRs, and the second error range describes our knowledge of the — best estimate ‖ representing the confidence in determining the central value of a theoretical complete population of the model SRs.»

Well, we have to combine the two sets of estimates in AR4 Table 8.2, which gives us 38 estimates with a mean of 2.5 C and a standard deviation of 0.9 C, and 95 % confidence limits of 0.7 C and 4.3 C.

For each model, there is an ad hoc change to this parameter that produces the best fit — but the confidence interval on the parameter estimate is extremely large, and correlated with all other parameter estimates.

As a result, IPCC authors must rely on their subjective assessments of the available literature to construct a best estimate and associated confidence levels.»

The overall result of the analysis is similar to the real - time analysis with a best estimate of a 59 % increase in event frequency, but a larger confidence interval that does include no change.

If you are estimating Y that is where your confidence limits are computed and if you then divide by Y you can transform those limits in well - known ways.

The standard deviation between the «best estimate» predictions of all groups (the dots in Fig. 2) is 0.73 million km2, thus a + / - 2 - sigma confidence interval based on all predictions would have a width of 2.92 million km2.

To better assess confidence in the different model estimates of climate sensitivity, two kinds of observational tests are available: tests related to the global climate response associated with specified external forcings (discussed in Chapters 6, 9 and 10; Box 10.2) and tests focused on the simulation of key feedback processes.

All the variables are largely unknown but it's more useful to the agenda to guess with confidence than talk about the fact that humans emit less than 5 % of co2 compared to nature (we actually have a good estimate on that).

Simon Abingdon, do I really have to explain to you the difference between a confidence interval and a best estimate?

We recently discussed this subject during our dialogue with Dr. Pielke Sr., and showed that using the CO2 radiative forcing estimate of Skeie et al. (2011) and the Padilla et al. (2011) 90 % confidence range for the transient climate sensitivity parameter, we can estimate a CO2 contribution of 0.64 to 1.28 °C, with a best estimate of 0.79 °C warming of average global surface temperature over the past ~ 150 years.

Besides, given the plainness of the specification and the fact that it was estimated on 55 observations, I think managing to project with 95 % confidence where the temperature levels are going to be at 73 years later, and succeed, is pretty good for a 4 parameter model.

For 5 years now I have had the confidence with Lam Nguyen and Alpha Mortgage to consult my clients in the process and effectively provide my clients with the best rates, lowest cost, and the most accurate «good faith estimates»!

RVM pulls from the same data as the AVM as well as MLS data, providing estimates of confidence scores based on its accuracy level.