If we could do this, this could help meteorologists to make dramatically
better weather predictions.
Not exact matches
In some other races as
well, political forecasting has been as reliable as
weather predictions.
These far - flung, interconnected
weather processes are crucial to making
better, longer - term
weather predictions than are currently possible.
The discovery of a separate but hard - to - spot
weather pattern could help give
better storm
predictions.
The Storm
Prediction Center is responsible for forecasting (identifying, describing, and quantifying) the risk of severe
weather caused by severe convective storms (specifically, those producing tornadoes, hail 3/4» or larger, and winds 58 MPH or greater), as
well as winter and fire
weather.
The gamers were notably
better in combining the cue cards with the
weather predictions than the control group.
Both teams did the so - called
weather prediction task, a
well - established test to investigate the learning of probabilities.
Performing experimental
weather forecasts using the Stampede supercomputer at the Texas Advanced Computing Center, researchers have gained a
better understanding of the conditions that cause severe hail to form, and are producing
predictions with far greater accuracy than those currently used operationally.
Armed with that swelling ocean of information, nav systems are getting
better at guessing at traffic - beating routes, sometimes also taking into account sporting events,
weather predictions, parades, construction, and school vacations.
When compared to standard
weather prediction modeling, Roebber's evolutionary methodology performs particularly
well on longer - range forecasts and extreme events, when an accurate forecast is needed the most.
Researchers used a popular
weather model to gauge the wind for
better predictions of its clean energy
While it is unclear how those factors might shift as the season progresses, the wetter California
weather is favored to hold for the next few weeks — as
well as the season as a whole — because of El Niño's influence, Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate
Prediction Center, said in an email.
1967 The International Global Atmospheric Research Program is established, mainly to gather data for
better short - range
weather prediction, but climate research is included.
This is quite subtle though —
weather forecast models obviously do
better if they have initial conditions that are closer to the observations, and one might argue that for particular climate model
predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.
Thus for
weather forecasts, a
prediction is described as skillful if it works
better than just assuming that each day is the same as the last («persistence»).
Specific examples of additional impacts include a reduction in capital equipment acquisitions across the entire lab with computing alone sliding from $ 7 million to $ 3 million, the elimination of NCAR's lidar research facility as
well as the extra-solar planet program, delays in computer modeling and
prediction efforts for both
weather and climate, reductions in the solar coronal observing program, a reduction in the number of post doctoral appointments, reduction of the societal impacts program, and widespread deferred maintenance and delays in equipment and instrument acquisition and replacement.
Re # 104 — «
Well,
weather prediction is much less certain than climate
prediction, since even small «butterflies beating their wings in South America» can effect change in short - term atmospheric processes.»
Unlike
weather, the if we know the physics, know the inputs and their influences, it seems that we can make pretty
good predictions, as has already been fairly
well demonstrated (albeit not absolutely conclusively).
Well,
weather prediction is much less certain than climate
prediction, since even small «butterflies beating their wings in South America» can effect change in short - term atmospheric processes.
So in a way, if adding in GHGs helps in
weather prediction, one negative outcome would be that weathermen will be able to say, ``... as predicted...,» giving viewers a false sense that everything is normal & under control & GW is not happening, since I doubt they will mention that GHGs were used to help them make such
good predictions.
These results are driven by
best - in - class analytics coupled with our proprietary, hyper - local and energy - specific
weather service (Nostradamus), that delivers 10 - minute interval
weather predictions up to 96 hours in advance at each solar park location and each wind turbine location and hub height.
For Tacoli (2009) the current alarmist
predictions of massive flows of so - called «environmental refugees» or «environmental migrants», are not supported by past experiences of responses to droughts and extreme
weather events and
predictions for future migration flows are tentative at
best.
Weather prediction depends upon a solid initial condition, and given accurate observations, we are quite
good at predicting
weather out for several days.
As far as
weather (and hence climate)
predictions are concerned, it is difficult to achieve
better results than the persistence
prediction in the short term
Luke, What does getting
good weather info have to do with wrecking economies over climate
predictions?
'' Moreover, recent conditions are entirely consistent with the
best scientific
predictions: as the world warms so the
weather becomes wilder [no evidence — Ed], with big consequences for people's health and
well - being.»
I come from a place with a long history of nutty sunspot - based
weather prediction, so I'm
well aware of the pitfalls.
We believe that more accurate and reliable
weather predictions will be of tremendous benefit to society, in everything from people being able to make
better day - to - day plans to improved agricultural planning to being
better able to predict and cope with extreme
weather disasters.
Improved understanding of regional
weather systems and
better predictions have obvious benefits.
As these models through research and development, become more skilled at higher and higher resolution and gain the capability of replicating increasingly complex
weather phenomena, the public, through the
predictions of the National
Weather Service, will be
better served through more precise
weather predictions for places and times where you are.
It does apply to climate
predictions as
well as long term
weather predictions.
In the context of
weather prediction, the generic property of sensitive dependence is
well understood (4, 5).
Short term
weather prediction is actually pretty
good.
Efforts by the global numerical
weather prediction centers to produce global reanalyses such as the European Copernicus effort is probably the
best way forward for the most recent decades.
The problem is that the climate scientists need to establish that (climate
predictions are much
better than
weather predictions) with verifiable
predictions, before we the public can be asked to take that for granted.
Now; there were other scientist whom were involved in the study of the climate (
weather, space, oceans, sun, etc, etc.) and articles written in science magazines as
well, that were hinting at a return to an ice age...
predictions if you will.
I have a justified suspicion given the
weather predictions are often a flip of the coin, even while it is claimed that climate
predictions are much
better than
weather predictions.
Do you at least agree that the
better analogy for climate
prediction is seasonal change than
weather patterns?
She says improved summer
weather predictions as
well as satellite measurements of sea ice thickness and concentration could help forecasting.
Richard has taken hold of the lunar nodal cycle in developing
weather predictions that years ahead of time work apparently just as
well as the normal forecasts made just days ahead.
Researchers used a popular
weather model to gauge the wind for
better predictions of its clean energy power.
1967 International Global Atmospheric Research Program established, mainly to gather data for
better short - range
weather prediction, but including climate.
While
weather predictions and long - term climate are very complex and beyond the author's expertise, he feels the single issue of heat absorption and radiation due to carbon dioxide is much simpler,
well understood, and
better modeled and measured as proposed here.
While the things you point to are interesting, and show that
good work is done in
weather prediction, it does not resemble any sort of formal V&V.
I had plenty of reading material, knew
better than to book an appointment the day I was traveling in, and happen to be fascinated by
weather (I knew we'd be delayed because I was watching NOAA's Storm
Prediction Center's
weather reports.)