With just a couple of weeks left in the regular season, there is opportunity to be had
betting against the best teams in the league.
Not exact matches
The
best - value
bets can often be found by going
against these
teams because the oddsmakers adjust the line to reflect the expected weight of public money; so that the underdog is often quested at
better odds or receives a larger point spread than is warranted.
meanwhile the
best team just drew
against everton... i
bet they couldn't score more because the grass was a shade more greener at the goodison
Perhaps even more interesting is that two weeks ago the
team at Sports Insights sent out the Kansas City Chiefs (+11.5) as a
Best Bet against the previously undefeated Green Bay Packers, largely because they fit into this historically profitable contrarian play.
I
bet he even puts Mertesacker back in the
team against Stoke ahead of Paulista whom by the way has been the
best CB for us this seasons so far.
In fact, both of these
teams have been amongst the
best teams in baseball to
bet against.
this window has just finished i am already thinking about who we will get for the january window we might try for khedira on a really low offer as he is free agent almost would help boost numbers in midfield in the new year as we will no doubt need to filling the numbers about then also i will hold my hands up and say i was wrong this morning for giving wenger stick and saying welbeck is rubbish i have been out in the cold light of day and had a chance to reevaluate the situation and realized that this could be a canny shrew transfer on wenger behalf actually if wenger can turn the clock back and work his magic on welbeck and get him scoring goals and improve his game then we could have a great underrated signing on our hands its wengers absolute trust in him that might be what makes him a great player as this is something that he never had at old mordor if anybody can make him a world beater wenger can he loves this little pet projects improving players
against the odds welbeck has the skillset to be high class player upfornt he just needs to work very hard on his finishing i think once he gets a few goals under his belt he will settle in fine and he is a
team player you could put him on the left
against man city to shore up that side and he will put in a great shift without a complaint that could be his biggest asset to us or on the right whenever we need him there ithinkwenger might start himon the left
against city to protect the left back
against navas and i
bet you if he does a great job we will take a shine to him quickly i am hopeing he will be one of those wenger gems that he finds and polishes up to a high finish i must admit i was annoyed as some other gunners were at not signing d / m and c / h but if wenger does win the league with this lot it will be his greatest win yet and what might play in to our hands is the unpredictable nature of the league in the last few seasons if we get on a
good run at the right time we might be hard to stop look at city they should have never lost to stoke but the result is there in black and white for all to see and i think chelsea will hit the skids after a while to just because cesc and costa are doing
well now thats there main threat but
teams will work out how to stop them as the season goes on and chelsea will become predictable i think we might just do
well this season after all
As mentioned in our 2016 MLB
Betting Against the Public Report, there has been excellent value betting on well - rested teams and fading tired
Betting Against the Public Report, there has been excellent value
betting on well - rested teams and fading tired
betting on
well - rested
teams and fading tired
teams.
However, the
betting public seems to have a short memory, as 8 out of 10 spread
bets are sticking with Atlanta to win by 7 or more
against a 5 - 4 Titans
team who has been plagued by inconsistency, yet looked
good last week in a 30 - 3 upset victory on the road
against the high - flying Panthers
Behind a slow start from the newly acquired Albert Pujols -LRB-.217 batting average and zero home runs in April), Los Angeles sat in last place with an 8 - 15 record after the first month of the season and were the
best team to
bet against in the league.
It makes sense that those road
teams would be the
best to
bet against, however, it's reasonable to assume that sportsbooks account for any potential edge when setting the line.
Unfortunately, fading these
teams (or
betting against them) would result in just a 50.7 % winning percentage, which falls
well below the 52.4 % needed to break even when assuming a vig of -110.
NCAAF — We'll be adding more as the season moves along, but we've added 2 new college football
betting systems to the Think Tank highlighting
good rushing
teams as
well as
betting against the public.
The table below shows seven
teams that received more than 70 % of spread
bets in Week 3 and how
well they performed
Against the Spread (ATS).
According to Nick Baumgardner, the December 28th Holiday Bowl (6 PM on FOX Sports 1)
against a Pac 12
team seems like the
best bet.
Not surprisingly, three of the games in which Kentucky received fewer than 50 % of spread
bets came
against North Carolina, Florida and Louisville, other ranked -
teams and perennial favorites of public bettors as
well.
However, their defence is still considered vulnerable, particularly
against better sides and «Both
Teams to Score» was one of the advised
bets in the Arsenal vs Chelsea tips August 6th, with each side finding the net inside 90 minutes.
When it comes to college sports,
betting on a ranked
team against the spread isn't always the
best idea.
It's going to be extremely hard to get out of the group now but I would not
bet against us
against bayern as we have a
good record
against them so let's back our
team, and you Wenger haters, leave it till the end of the season to moan as getting knocked out of the cl might even give us the
best chance to win the title that we al crave!
-- The College Football season is right around the corner, so before you place any
bets make sure to read our 2014 College Football
Betting Against the Public Report and our system analyzing how
good rushing
teams are undervalued in low scoring games.
Meanwhile our
betting system — which focused on
well rested road
teams against ranked opponents — improved to 85 - 51 ATS as Miami (+9) lost to Florida State by just 5 - points to cover the spread.
Conversely, Mississippi State fits a highly profitable
betting system that focuses on
well - rested
teams against ranked opponents.
In this article, we'll give an update on the performance of Sports Insights» simple strategy of «
Betting Against the Public» — and look at some of the
best - performing and worst - performing
teams this season.
Our research has also found that it's often very profitable to
bet against the league's
best teams, and that trend is particularly true in late season games.
NCAAF — If you haven't already, check out two profitable college football systems we have posted to the Think Tank, highlighting
Betting Against the Public and
Good Rushing
Teams Undervalued.
Betting against the public has not fared
well this season, with
teams receiving less than 30 % of spread
bets posting a cringe - worthy 36 - 52 ATS record.
However, while uninformed bettors may think that it's
best to
bet against these
teams, our data indicates that
betting on these tanking
teams can be highly profitable.
The table below — using data from Pinnacle — shows the five
best teams to
bet against this young season.
Oregon has a really, really
good team, however it is an absolute insanity to
bet against Urban Meyer!
While the
betting public historically does not perform
well ATS (
against the spread) in the NFL, this season has been historically bad for bettors consistently backing popular
teams.
It's smart for bad NFL
teams to tank for
better draft picks, but is it also smart to
bet against teams tanking late in the season?
The table below shows the five
teams that received less than 30 % of spread
bets in Week 5 and how
well they performed
against the spread.
It is a
good idea to
bet against the public when they fade a ranked
team.
The service academies haven't fare
well against top 10
teams straight - up but have proven
good bets.
Best future
bets, season win total
bets,
teams to
bet on and
against — it's all here in Chalk's 2016 pro football
betting guide.