Sentences with phrase «betting favorites against»

Betting favorites against bad teams after the All - Star break has been profitable in all but two seasons since 2005.

The highest seed in action on Thursday is the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines, who are 2.5 - point betting favorites against the No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies.

Not exact matches

Just one week after receiving 35 % of spread bets as home favorites against Washington State, bettors are once again avoiding the Buffs.

This development supported our hypothesis, but we wanted to know what happened when that favorite also fit our betting against the public criteria.

Two days later in Lin's first start, the Knicks received just 52 % of public bets as 3 - point favorites against the Jazz.

Now that we're receiving real money percentages from a sharp offshore sportsbook, we can see that betting against the public has been profitable for both favorites and underdogs.

Although the Dodgers were the largest favorite in nearly two years, a more interesting piece of information emerged — Kershaw was actually the most profitable pitcher to bet against in the National League.

Losing Rob Gronkowski and a solid, but underwhelming performance against the 49ers took Brady from betting favorite to third place in the span of two short weeks.

Example: the Red Sox are -150 favorites against the Yankees and 80 % of bets are taking Boston.

The Pats opened as a 17 point favorite against their divisional opponent, but have since moved to a mere -16.5 despite 70 % of bets.

The Giants opened as -116 favorites against the Los Angeles Angels and the betting percentages have been fairly equal with San Fran receiving just 55 % of moneyline wagers.

The underdog Golden State Warriors need a road win to survive a Game 6 against the betting favorite Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night.

-- Shade their lines towards public favorites, providing extra value for those willing to Bet Against the Public

Unfortunately, it's very rare that favorites fit our betting against the public philosophy, so we'll have to look elsewhere for lucrative trends.

Patriots are favorites to win the AFC East for an eighth consecutive season and it'd be hard to bet against them, even with Brady out for the first quarter of the season.

09-11-2011 NFL «Bet Against» Results for 2003 thru 2010 Seasons 09-08-2010 NFL «Bet Against» Results for 2003 thru 2009 Seasons 09-09-2009 NFL «Bete Against» Results for 2003 thru 2008 Seasons 09-05-2008 NFL «Bet Against» Results for 2003 thru 2007 Seasons 11-08-2007 Mid-Season Football and Early Season NBA & NHL Update 09-12-2007 NFL «Bet Against» Results for 2003 - 2006 Seasons 08-24-2006 NFL Outlook and Review of 2005's «Year of the Favorite» 08-08-2005 NFL «Bet Against» Results for 2003 and 2004 Seasons

Teams that open as the betting favorite and then subsequently see their line rise before kickoff are 36 -32-3 (52.9 %) against the closing spread for the season... and 21 -11-2 (65.6 %) in November and December.

Unfortunately, using a simple favorite versus underdog filter provided no additional value, and betting against road teams playing in their second game in as many nights actually produced a win rate above 50 %, but failed to cover the necessary vig needed to produce a winning system.

It's interesting to note that during bowl season, betting against the public has been an effective strategy for both favorites and «dogs.

In one of this weekend's most heavily bet games, Tennessee opened as 8 - point home favorites against Florida.

-- In tonight's win - or - go - home showdown, the Pittsburgh Penguins are currently receiving 44 % of moneyline bets as -160 favorites against the New York Rangers.

Cincinnati opened as -2 favorites, but are now at +2.5, creating a scenario where a playoff team has favorable line movement against a non-playoff team, a generally profitable preseason bet.

With college basketball set to start later in the week, it's time to bring back a seasonal favorite: the betting against the public report.

Back in 2008, the line movement was actually quite similar when the previously undefeated Patriots received just 39 % of spread bets as 14 - point favorites against the New York Giants.

Despite this heavily lopsided betting, the line has actually moved against the betting percentages with the Cardinals now listed as just -177 favorites.

-- The Miami Heat, who suffered a 107 - 96 loss in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, are currently receiving 77 % of spread bets as a 2.5 - point favorite tonight against the Indiana Pacers.

By simply betting against these sizeable favorites, second half bettors would be able to capitalize on these lines that have been artificially inflated to account for public perception.

NBA - The Miami Heat, who suffered a 107 - 96 loss in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, are currently receiving 77 % of spread bets as a 2.5 - point favorite tonight against the Indiana Pacers.

We were already well aware that the public loves to bet on favorites and thusly the value would come from betting against the public and examining solely underdogs.

The following night they received just 52 % of spread bets as 3 - point favorites against the Jazz.

Last week in this space I examined the public betting trends for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals and determined that the Warriors were offering tremendous value as 7.5 - point favorites against the Thunder.

The whole concept of betting against the public is based on the idea that «square» or uninformed public bettors create artificial line value by pounding one side — typically the favorite or the over.

Not surprisingly, three of the games in which Kentucky received fewer than 50 % of spread bets came against North Carolina, Florida and Louisville, other ranked - teams and perennial favorites of public bettors as well.

At the time of publication, Kentucky is receiving 60 % of spread bets as a 19 - point favorite for Thursday's game against Georgia, so be sure to keep an eye on the betting trends and spread for this game for a possible contrarian betting opportunity.

More specifically, we found that in games where the «opening line» was -3.1 to -8.1 (small home favorites), «betting against the Public» resulted in a 56 % winning percentage and +50 units over the past two seasons.

-- For early Super Bowl betting, the NFC is currently a 3 - point favorite against the AFC with a total of 51.5.

Back on February 4th, the Knicks were receiving 55 % of spread bets as 6.5 - point favorites against the Nets.

When 80 percent of the bets are on a road favorite, bet against that side,» he says.

People who bet against every large favorite that received at least 60 % of the bets would have made money in four of the last seven years, including the last two seasons.

Based on this data, the optimal range for betting against the public during the NHL Playoffs comes at the 40 % threshold where favorites have gone 35 - 14 (71.4 %) with +14.96 units won.

In this weekend's most heavily bet college football game, Utah opened as 12 - point favorites against Oregon at the market - setting Pinnacle sportsbook.

We then used our «spread change from open to close» filter to look at instances where a team became a bigger favorite or a smaller underdog, thus moving against the public betting percentages.

For example, if the Patriots are receiving 80 % of spread bets as a 14 - point favorite against the Dolphins, you would expect the line to move to -14.5 or -15.

Mississippi opened as a 4 - point home favorite against Texas A&M but have received just 33 % of early spread bets.

Betting against the public favorites at a 70 % threshold yielded an 8 - 4 record for games played on September 4th:

I normally wouldn't make a bet like this but all three favorites are going against the public: Arsenal (35 %), Chelsea (37 %), and Southampton (31 %).

With Jones expected to start, Ohio State opened as a 20.5 - point favorite against Rutgers and received 75 % of early spread bets.

Since our first system involved taking the favorite, the fade system focuses on betting against the underdog.

Playing against a Steelers team that is starting Michael Vick in place of the injured Ben Roethlisberger, the Cardinals opened as a 3 - point favorite at CRIS and have received 85 % of spread bets at our contributing sportsbooks.

On the other side of the spectrum, square sportsbooks shade their lines towards public favorites which has provided additional value for our betting against the public strategies.