The New England Patriots are the early 3 - point
betting favorites over the Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl 51, per Jeff Sherman of Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.
Even while Walker held that lead, Jason Day emerged as
the betting favorite over the weekend.
Not exact matches
Lemon Poppy Seed is my
favorite and I
bet it the herbs really send it
over the top!
After adding a few filters to
Bet Labs, we found that all
favorites had gone 76 - 63 ATS (54.7 %) in MNF contests as opposed to the 49.1 % win rate for all other
favorites over that time.
The public loves to
bet favorites and
over's, and simply taking the less popular side has proven to be historically profitable.
Assuming the 49ers can hold off the Falcons (SF is a 4 - point
favorite for Sunday's game); a bettor could take that $ 425 made from
betting the AFC Championship and roll it
over to the Super Bowl.
The Tide got 78 % of spread
bets, and they've closed as double - digit
favorites in more than 75 % of games
over the last 10 seasons.
In early
betting, President Obama opened as a huge
favorite over Governor Mitt Romney, with William Hill listing the incumbent as a -700
favorite.
During the regular season the public loves
betting on
favorites and
overs, but that trend does not always hold up during bowl season.
The early
betting line ahead of next Saturday's The Game, Ohio State is a 2.5 - point
favorite over Michigan, according to Pinnacle...
The Cleveland Cavaliers can extend the NBA Finals to seven games with a home win
over the Golden State Warriors as small
betting favorites.
As of Super Bowl Sunday, OddsShark has the Patriots listed as three - point
favorites, with the
over / under set at 58 on Sunday morning, but moved to 56 1/2 after heavy
betting.
Historically we have found that bettors tend to hammer
favorites, with a majority of spread
bets taking the chalk in 82.36 % games
over the past twelve seasons.
They also love
betting home teams,
favorites and
overs, which always creates added value on dogs, visitors and unders.
As I have previously stated, the public loves
betting favorites and
overs, which is why most of our contrarian strategies will focus on underdogs and unders.
The public loves to
bet favorites and
overs, so sportsbooks will shade their lines accordingly.
As I've stated repeatedly, the public loves
betting favorites and
overs, which is why most contrarian strategies focus on underdogs and unders.
Casual bettors love
betting favorites and
overs, so sportsbooks will shade their opening lines to account for the inevitable influx of public money.
MLB — John Lackey makes his first start for the Cardinals today and is currently receiving 67 % of ML
bets as a -128
favorite over the division rival Brewers.
MLB - John Lackey makes his first start for the Cardinals today and is currently receiving 67 % of ML
bets as a -128
favorite over the division rival Brewers.
According to our College Basketball
Betting Trends, Syracuse opened as a 16.5 - point
favorite and was receiving
over 70 % of spread wagers prior to Melo's suspension.
College Football Week 6
Betting Recap: - This was a memorable week in the college football season and it all started on Thursday night with Arizona's shocking upset
over 21 - point
favorite Oregon.
Also known as «contrarian»
betting, the logic behind fading the public is quite simple: It's human nature to root for winners and scoring, which is why we typically see the public pounding
favorites and
overs.
Historically, casual bettors love
betting on
overs and
favorites, but that clearly changes in the Super Bowl.
Casual fans love to
bet favorites and
overs, so oddsmakers will typically shade their opening line to account for the inevitable influx of public money on large
favorites and popular square teams (a la the Cowboys, Packers, Patriots).
We found that
over the past decade, home
favorites receiving less than 40 % of spread
bets have gone 60 - 37 for +19.8 units and an impressive 20.4 % ROI.
Our past research has indicated that underdogs have been historically undervalued as the
betting public tends to overwhelmingly prefer
favorites and
overs.
At the time of publication, Stonie -LRB--130) was listed as a slight
favorite over Chestnut -LRB--110) although there are several different
betting opportunities for this event.
-- Public bettors are all
over big
favorites today, with 87 % of moneyline
bets taking Seattle -LRB--200) at Houston and 86 % on St. Louis -LRB--175) at Chicago Cubs.
It's human nature to root for winners and scoring, which is why the public loves to
bet favorites and
overs.
After taking this prop
bet off the board for
over a month, Bookmaker re-opened their Vice Presidential
betting odds last Friday with Kaine -LRB--135) listed as a massive
favorite.
The Huskies entered the game as 5 - point
favorites over the Owls at home, so payouts will go to those who
bet on Temple.
The whole concept of
betting against the public is based on the idea that «square» or uninformed public bettors create artificial line value by pounding one side — typically the
favorite or the
over.
Dating back to the 2005 - 06 season,
favorites getting 65 % of
bets or more in Game 1 have gone 446 - 330 ATS, covering nearly 57 % of the time and providing
over a 10 % return on investment.
Another interesting aspect is the Total and the % of
bets that are coming in on either side — while public bettors have a tendency to take
favorites and
overs, this game sees just 22 % of
bets on the
over at a number of 138.
There are still two days until kickoff and these percentages could still change
over the next 48 hours, but it's noteworthy that most sportsbooks have not moved off Seattle -6.5 despite 4 out of every 5
bets taking the road
favorite Seahawks.
Prior to news of this injury, the Chiefs were receiving 48 % of spread
bets as a 4 - point home
favorite over the Chargers.
More specifically, we found that in games where the «opening line» was -3.1 to -8.1 (small home
favorites), «
betting against the Public» resulted in a 56 % winning percentage and +50 units
over the past two seasons.
We should start by pointing out that the public loves to
bet favorites and
overs, so most of our contrarian
betting systems will focus on underdogs and unders.
For example, sportsbooks know the public overwhelmingly
bets «
favorites» and «
overs» and adjusts
betting lines accordingly.
Lastly, here's a quick recap of this year's tournament so far:
Favorites: 35 - 29 ATS Double - digit faves: 9 - 5 ATS < 20 %
bets: 2 - 0 ATS 10 - seeds: 7 - 1 ATS
Overs: 32 - 32 Biggest moneyline upsets: MTSU +1529, Cuse +374
In Saturday's most heavily
bet game, Utah (9 - 3, 6 - 3 Pac - 12) opened as a 3 - point
favorite over Brigham Young (9 - 3) at the market - setting Pinnacle sportsbook.
Rather than placing one
bet, bettors could instead roll
over the moneyline and take their
favorite team to win straight up.
Our contrarian
betting strategies typically involves taking
favorites and unders since the
betting public has a tendency to pound
favorites and
overs.
Historically bettors tend to pound
favorites and
overs, so seeing this level of public
betting on the under comes as a major surprise.
Over / Under 122 seconds on National Anthem: This is one of my
favorite bets in all of sports as well as possibly the most unpatriotic thing you can do.
Although the majority of bettors are slightly more likely to take the
favorite than the
over, it's worth noting that these
bet types are not created equal.
In this week's most heavily
bet game, Denver opened as 3 - point
favorites at Pinnacle and early money has been all
over the road
favorite.
In the other half of the bracket, # 2 - seed Ohio State is a 2.5 - point
favorite over Kansas and the slight majority of the
betting public is backing the Buckeyes.
Since oddsmakers can easily predict this behavior, sportsbooks react by shading their lines and forcing public bettors to lay extra points when
betting on
favorites and
overs.