Exploit that tendency by
betting home favorites when two of the nation's best play each other.
Typically,
betting home favorites during the regular season is a losing proposition.
If you are going to wager on this early MLB game,
bet the home favorite.
Not exact matches
The Rangers opened as
betting favorites in this game but are now down to -110 to close out this series at
home in Game 6.
In the NHL, the Buffalo Sabres are slight
favorites at
home, and surprisingly to some of the team at SportsInsights, are receiving just 1/3 of the
bets.
Just one week after receiving 35 % of spread
bets as
home favorites against Washington State, bettors are once again avoiding the Buffs.
As a small contrarian
home favorite, UNC Wilmington may be a decent
bet to finally cover a game this season.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road dog Jacksonville an additional half - point, the
betting public remains slightly in favor of the
home favorite Titans covering by just under double digits.
Cleveland is a 2 - point
home betting favorite for Game 6 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Cleveland Cavaliers can extend the NBA Finals to seven games with a
home win over the Golden State Warriors as small
betting favorites.
In that matchup, public
betting was evenly split as the Dolphins closed as 3.5 - point
home favorites.
They also love
betting home teams,
favorites and overs, which always creates added value on dogs, visitors and unders.
After opening with the lowly Browns as 1.5 point
favorites at
home, the sportsbooks have adjusted their lines to present the
betting public with a pick - em scenario.
According to our public
betting trends, the
home favorite has received just 21 % of spread tickets and 39 % of total dollars wagered.
The Titans opened as a 6.5 - point
home favorite and are garnering 72 % of spread
bets, yet the line has dropped to -5, indicating there are big
bets backing the Steelers in this week's early action.
Betting market: After Bookmaker.eu opened Atlanta as 2 - point
home favorites, money quickly jumped on New Orleans and moved them up to 2 - point
favorites as recently as Wednesday morning.
Knowing that both
home teams and
favorites are being undervalued during the playoffs, we opted to combine these two filters within
Bet Labs.
That's no different this weekend where Notre Dame / USC is receiving the highest ticket count (currently around 5,000
bet slips), and it's also seeing heavy action on the
home favorites to cover (66 % on Irish).
In early
betting action, the public doesn't mind giving that many points, with both heavy
home favorites gathering more than two - thirds of the
bets.
Since 2005,
home favorites receiving < 30 % of
bets have now gone 41 - 30 ATS.
According to our free MLB odds page, the Royals opened as -125
home favorites at CRIS and are currently receiving 69 % of moneyline
bets.
College Football Week 4
Betting Recap: - Thursday night's game featured a crucial Top - 25 matchup between public
favorite Auburn and
home dog Kansas State.
In one of this weekend's most heavily
bet games, Tennessee opened as 8 - point
home favorites against Florida.
Betting market: Philadelphia opened as 2 - point
favorites, but the line has flipped to Dallas -3 with the expectation that the Eagles may rest players after locking up
home - field advantage through the playoffs.
-- In tonight's win - or - go -
home showdown, the Pittsburgh Penguins are currently receiving 44 % of moneyline
bets as -160
favorites against the New York Rangers.
We found that over the past decade,
home favorites receiving less than 40 % of spread
bets have gone 60 - 37 for +19.8 units and an impressive 20.4 % ROI.
Historically,
favorites have had a much larger edge coming off the short week going 96 -66-5 ATS, while
home teams have gone 87 -74-5 ATS, and teams getting the minority of
bets have gone just 77 -84-3 ATS.
If you are looking for reasons to
bet on LSU, there are certainly a few:
home contrarian
favorite, low total of 44.5, Auburn RB Kamryn Pettway doubtful, sharp line movement on LSU +7, etc..
-- Game 5 of the NBA Finals tips off tonight at 8:10 PM ET and, according to our NBA
Betting Trends, the San Antonio Spurs are currently receiving just 44 % of spread
bets as a 5.5 - point
home favorite.
Betting market: New England opened as 13 - point
home favorites and, with the majority of spread tickets and dollars taking Buffalo, the line has ticked down to -11.5.
-- The White Sox opened as -135
favorites at CRIS and the public has steadily backed the
home team, with 76 % of moneyline
bets currently on Chicago.
They open as 7 - point
home favorite to the visiting New York Knicks in NBA
betting action Thursday.
The Huskies entered the game as 5 - point
favorites over the Owls at
home, so payouts will go to those who
bet on Temple.
In this contest, Miami received just 43 % of spread
bets as a 3 - point
home favorite but were able to cover the spread in a 98 - 93 victory.
Early public money hammered the
home favorite, with the Blue Devils receiving 80 % of spread
bets and 88 % of total dollars wagered.
Prior to news of this injury, the Chiefs were receiving 48 % of spread
bets as a 4 - point
home favorite over the Chargers.
More specifically, we found that in games where the «opening line» was -3.1 to -8.1 (small
home favorites), «
betting against the Public» resulted in a 56 % winning percentage and +50 units over the past two seasons.
Oklahoma City opened as a 3.5 - point
favorite at Pinnacle, and the Thunder have received the majority of public action with 63 % of spread
bets coming in on the
home favorite.
With the line remaining static for this inter-conference showdown, nearly three out of four spread
bets remain confident in the
home favorite Cardinals beating the lowly Browns by at least seven points.
Betting market: The public isn't overwhelmingly backing New Orleans as massive
home favorites, with the ticket count at 59 - 41 Saints as of Sunday morning.
According to our NBA
Betting Trends, Miami opened as a 7 - point
home favorite at CRIS and are currently receiving 57 % of spread
bets.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road dog Miami an additional two points, more than six out of ten spread
bets are sticking with
home favorite Ohio to secure a double - digit victory.
Navy is receiving three - quarters (74 %) of the
bets as
home favorites of -7 points as they go for 10 wins in a row in the Army - Navy series.
Levitt's research showed that the
Home Dog was the public's least
favorite bet.
Mississippi opened as a 4 - point
home favorite against Texas A&M but have received just 33 % of early spread
bets.
-- Via our
Bet Labs software: College football
home favorites receiving less than 30 % of spread
bets have gone 40 - 29 for +9.1 units and a 13.2 % ROI since 2005 and Illinois almost fit that criteria before closing at 31 % as a 3 - point
favorite (Won and covered).
In the most evenly
bet game of the weekend, UCLA opened as a 17 - point
home favorite and are currently receiving 50 % of spread
bets.
In this week's Monday night game, the Cardinals opened as 7 - point
home favorites and have received 67 % of early spread
bets.
Although San Diego has lost their past two games, they still opened as a 5.5 - point
home favorite at CRIS and have received 73 % of spread
bets at our contributing sportsbooks.
Typically our
betting against the public strategies struggle when
home teams and
favorites are victorious, and this week was no different.