Keep an eye on this game for
some betting line value as bettors continue to pound bets down on # 1 Oregon.
Keep an eye on this game for
some betting line value as bettors continue to pound bets down on # 8 Utah.
Not exact matches
The best -
value bets can often be found by going against these teams because the oddsmakers adjust the
line to reflect the expected weight of public money; so that the underdog is often quested at better odds or receives a larger point spread than is warranted.
We still haven't seen sharp money take a side, but this free
line value is a hallmark of the contrarian
betting strategy.
Pro subscribers have access to real - time odds, public
betting trends, money percentages,
bet signals (including steam moves and reverse
line movement alerts), injury alerts,
value meter,
line watcher,
line predictor, and many other unique features.
12/22/11 — Large NFL Home Underdogs Provide Late Season
Value 12/14/11 — College Football Bowl Season 70/30
Betting System 12/07/11 — In the 13th Week He Rose Again: Public Bettors Back on Tebow 11/30/11 — Identifying False
Line Moves 11/16/11 — How to Win with Steam Moves 11/09/11 — Optimum Levels for
Betting Against the Public 11/02/11 — Boston Bruins Pounding the Public 10/19/11 — The Tim Tebow Effect 10/12/11 — Public Chasing Their Way to Even in 2011 10/05 / 11 — The Public's Love / Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills
Not only will you have access to real - time public
betting percentages, live odds, best
bets and
bet signals, but also unique features like our exclusive
line watcher,
line predictor,
value meter, email alerts.
The media loves to over-publicize teams on a winning streak and vastly overreact to struggling teams, but does that create any
value on the
betting line?
As you can see, steady OKC money pushed the
line up to 3 before our
Bet Signals triggered a Steam Move on Houston, indicating that sharp money entered the market to buyback the
value of Rockets +3.
While the spreads and juice of the live
betting lines will vary at different sportsbooks, you ask yourself: Is there
value in
betting the Ravens to win the game outright?
These professional gamblers seek
value in sports
betting lines.
For
value - minded sports bettors, using
betting trends data and
line - movement to identify games that are shaded solely due to public money, or the expectation of public money, will help you get the «best of the number» and increase your overall winning percentage.
Bottom
line: there's more
value in the prop
bets; they are easier to beat.»
Although Nevada casinos remain restricted from posting
betting lines on non-sporting events today, they learned something even more valuable; the
value of the publicity associated with setting a
betting line on something that captures the public's imagination.
We constantly advocate the
value of
betting against the public, and that's especially true in heavily
bet games where public money has a greater impact on the
line.
Anyone that doesn't base their research on
line movements,
betting trends and true
line value is wasting time and money.
With one simple click, members can access all pertinent information specific to each game, including Public
Betting Percentages,
Line Movement Charts, Key Injuries,
Betting System Plays, Weather, Referee / Umpire Information, Trends and
Value Meter Rating.
Sign up for our 4 - day Pro trial to receive these Best
Bets in addition to
bet signals, real - time odds, individual
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line predictor,
value meter and much more.
Based on several
betting trends and early
line movement, it appears that there's
value on both the moneyline and the total.
Keep your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for up - to - the - second
betting lines, odds, and information on the sports marketplace and «contrarian
value» in the sports investing world.
This influx of
bets and public money on one side ends up creating
value on the other side; the
line may move and sharps will come in to grab it, or the
line won't move and sportsbooks will end up with more liability on the public side.
These
value plays are all related to
betting the under, which correlates with the
line movement we saw on the Super Bowl total earlier this week.
They had high contrarian
value (71 % were on Notre Dame), it was a very heavily
bet game (35K) and they also had reverse
line movement (+7 to +5.5).
Again, the one - sided
betting action is creating some
line value.
Keep an eye on this game for a potential «
bet against the Public» play and for potential
line value.
We'll look at how sportsbooks make
lines for games, study how they might shade
lines to increase profit margins, and see how public «
betting percentages» can help identify
value.
In particular, keep your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for up - to - the - second
betting lines, odds, and information on the sports marketplace and «contrarian
value» in the sports investing world.
For example, West Virginia -LRB--3) was only getting 41 % of
bets (great contrarian
value) vs Notre Dame, but they also had reverse
line movement (despite majority of bettors taking the Irish, the Mountaineers moved from -2 to -3).
It's also appearing unlikely that Odell Beckham Jr. (ankle) will be able to go for New York, but the Giants are still receiving more than half the
bets, perhaps creating some reverse
line movement
value on Dallas.
We do not recommend
betting against every single ranked team, but knowing that these rankings can artificially inflate the
line based on public perception can help add
value for sharp bettors.
After a
bet signal is triggered and the
line moves, much of that
value is lost.
-- Shade their
lines towards public favorites, providing extra
value for those willing to
Bet Against the Public
Although sportsbooks know this information and build it into
line, these «square» bettors often create artificial
value by heavily
betting the favorite and forcing sportsbooks to shade their
lines to encourage action on the other side (typically the underdog).
Contrarian
value based on
betting percentages and the level of
betting activity, Steam moves based on
line movement, and Smart money indicators based also
betting percentages and
line movement.
Our software provides live NFL odds including spreads / totals / moneylines, market
bet signals, historical odds,
betting trends & percentages,
line moves,
line predictions,
value ratings and more.
Bettors can access these picks along with
Bet Signals, real - time odds, public
betting trends,
value meter,
line watcher, email alerts and more by purchasing our Pro subscription.
The public pounding has pushed the
line to -137 and, unlike previous games this series, multiple
Betting System plays have been triggered for Game 6, indicating there could be
value on one side of this game.
I'd look for
value in
betting underdogs, as the sportsbooks will continue to shade
lines in an attempt to recoup some revenue — and salvage something out of a dismal 2005 NFL season.
Along with our Best
Bets and Contrarian Plays, Pro members have access to steam moves, reverse
line movement alerts,
value meter,
line watcher and
line predictor along with many other tools needed to
bet like a sharp.
Here users can see the
betting percentages at each of our contributing sportsbooks, view
line graphs,
value ratings, key injuries,
betting systems and officials.
I'd continue looking for
value in
betting underdogs, as the sportsbooks over-shade
lines in an attempt to recoup some revenue — and salvage something out of a dismal 2005 NFL season.
Our goal is to inform bettors what's responsible for moving the
line and whether any games are offering
value based on sharp money indicators or historically profitable
betting trends.
This Big East showdown between 3 - 4 teams presents great
value for the
betting marketplace, with the public seemingly split down the middle as to who to take, even with the sportsbooks adjusting their
lines to give road dog UCONN an additional point.
We believed that oddsmakers would shade their
lines to account for that public
betting, which would create
value for opportunistic bettors — especially when the volume ticks up in the playoffs.
There have been no
bet signals triggered on the total, but the reverse
line movement and historical trends point to tremendous
value on the under.
Knowing the public is coming off a big weekend, there should be a lot of
value in
betting underdogs, as sportsbooks look to heavily shade
lines in an attempt to get some money back.
By examining historical trends, public
betting trends and sharp money indicators (like steam and reverse
line movement), I was able to pinpoint which team was offering contrarian
value to bettors.
With the influx of public money (as opposed to sharp action) producing an inflated
line, we're happy to grab the extra two points of
value created by the lopsided
betting.
This would indicate that sportsbooks are taking some bigger
bets on Portugal to win in regulation to move the
line, but the real
value may be on the draw.
Sportsbook Insider Pro subscribers have access to real - time odds, public
betting trends, money percentages,
bet signals (including steam moves and reverse
line movement alerts), breaking injury alerts,
value meter,
line watcher,
line predictor, and many other unique features.