This lopsided
betting moved the line.5 - 1.0 point at most books and, as we have learned, a half point line movement can increase your winning percentage by two percent.
This heavily lopsided
betting moved the line a half - point to Ohio State -5.5 before we saw some sharp buy - back knocking the line down to -4.
This lopsided public
betting moved the line to -5.5, but since Adam Silver's historic announcement there has been a clear shift in momentum.
LSU at Auburn (Auburn opened -9 but the public is all over LSU, with 79 % of
bets moving the line down to Auburn -7.5)
This heavily lopsided
betting moved the line 4 points to 21.5 before we saw some buyback — dropping the line back to 21.
This one - sided
betting moved the line off the key number of 14 down to 12.5.
This heavily lopsided
betting moved the line 0.5 points to Louisville -3.0 before we saw some sharp buy - back, knocking the line down to -1.5.
The concept of public
bets moving the line is only applicable when there is enough public money that sportsbooks need to adjust their lines to mitigate risk.
Not exact matches
For two reasons: (a) to avoid conflicts and different agendas or inconsistent views on how to
move the business forward down the
line, and (b) because, if you're all - in, the upside (if indeed there is any) is much greater than if you hedge your
bets.
NHL Reverse
Line Movement plays are triggered when the line moves in the opposite direction of the public betting tre
Line Movement plays are triggered when the
line moves in the opposite direction of the public betting tre
line moves in the opposite direction of the public
betting trends.
NFL Reverse
Line Movement Plays are triggered when the line moves in the opposite direction of the public betting tre
Line Movement Plays are triggered when the
line moves in the opposite direction of the public betting tre
line moves in the opposite direction of the public
betting trends.
Although the
betting percentages are somewhat even, the
line has
moved a point to -8.5.
The
line opened at Bears +3, but the constant
betting on the hot Green Bay Packers has
moved the
line to Bears +3.5.
Knowing all the forces that
move lines in real time — public
betting, sharp money, injury reports & weather updates — is vital to making a profit.
In addition to our Best
Bets, Pro subscribers will receive access to all three of our
Bet Signals — Contrarian Plays, Steam
Moves and Reverse
Line Movement alerts.
Our members can analyze how the
line has
moved, who the
betting public likes, how much interest there is on a certain game (number of
bets), and the different
lines at various sportsbooks.
Betting market: Public money has been all over Minnesota this week,
moving the
line from an opener of Vikings -1 all the way up to -3 at one point.
If the general public (based on
Betting Percentage) is on one side of the game, but the point spread
moves in the opposite direction, it is often an indicator that «big money» (and most likely «smart money») is taking a position in the direction of the
line movement (and opposite to the Public).
This one - sided public
betting caused the
line to
move from Houston -7 to -7.5 at Pinnacle.
Pro subscribers have access to real - time odds, public
betting trends, money percentages,
bet signals (including steam
moves and reverse
line movement alerts), injury alerts, value meter,
line watcher,
line predictor, and many other unique features.
Purchase a Sportsbook Insider PRO membership and get NBA steam
moves along with best
bet picks, contrarian plays, dollar percentages, and reverse
line moves, along with a fully customizable live odds page,
line watcher,
line predictor, the number of
bets on every game, and more.
Betting lines move for many reasons; injury updates, weather, etc., but «betting line movement» that goes against the «betting percentages» is an excellent indicator of Smart Money, also referred to as Sharp
Betting lines move for many reasons; injury updates, weather, etc., but «
betting line movement» that goes against the «betting percentages» is an excellent indicator of Smart Money, also referred to as Sharp
betting line movement» that goes against the «
betting percentages» is an excellent indicator of Smart Money, also referred to as Sharp
betting percentages» is an excellent indicator of Smart Money, also referred to as Sharp Money.
Each matchup is different, and bettors need to pay attention to factors like public
betting trends and sharp money indicators like steam
moves and / or reverse
line movement.
This game opened at Packers -4, and despite the large majority of the tickets being on Green Bay (see chart below), big
bets from professional players have
moved this
line down to juiced - up -3 in most places.
That lopsided
betting percentage has pushed the
line to -20.5 -LRB--110) at CRIS, however, a survey of the marketplace shows multiple books (including WSEX, Phoenix and BetUS) have
moved the
line past the key number of 21.
San Francisco opened as a 6 - point favorite, but with 95 % of spread
bets taking the road favorite, the
line has
moved to -7.
Smart Money
moves are triggered whenever the
betting line moves in the opposite direction of the
betting percentage data.
In addition to receiving our winning picks, you'll also have access to real - time odds from over 40 sportsbooks, public
betting trends, our newly added money percentages, our exclusive
Line Watcher and access to all of our bet signals including steam moves, reverse line movement alerts and contrarian pl
Line Watcher and access to all of our
bet signals including steam
moves, reverse
line movement alerts and contrarian pl
line movement alerts and contrarian plays.
To do this, we highlighted games in which a majority of the public (at least 50 %) was on the over, but the
line moved against the public
betting percentages.
3 — Real Market Data: Since our data originates from the source of the
betting lines, you can see the sports
betting market
move as it is actually happening.
12/22/11 — Large NFL Home Underdogs Provide Late Season Value 12/14/11 — College Football Bowl Season 70/30
Betting System 12/07/11 — In the 13th Week He Rose Again: Public Bettors Back on Tebow 11/30/11 — Identifying False
Line Moves 11/16/11 — How to Win with Steam
Moves 11/09/11 — Optimum Levels for
Betting Against the Public 11/02/11 — Boston Bruins Pounding the Public 10/19/11 — The Tim Tebow Effect 10/12/11 — Public Chasing Their Way to Even in 2011 10/05 / 11 — The Public's Love / Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills
As you can see, the majority of
bets (> 60 %) have been on Auburn since the game opened, but the
line move on Florida State has balanced them out.
NFL Steam
Moves Plays are our pro football
betting picks triggered by sudden uniform
line movement across the entire sports
betting marketplace.
Despite this one - sided
betting percentage, the
line has barely
moved and currently sits at -156.
Despite this lop - sided
betting percentage, the
line at Cris has
moved to -2.5.
As you can see, steady OKC money pushed the
line up to 3 before our
Bet Signals triggered a Steam
Move on Houston, indicating that sharp money entered the market to buyback the value of Rockets +3.
Read our smart money information article to understand what causes a
line to
move opposite of the
betting percentage.
Betting market: Steady New Orleans money has
moved this
line from Saints -4 to -5.5.
Although public
betting has been evenly split, the
line has
moved from Oakland -4 to -3.5.
Monitoring
line moves and
bet signals is definitely important but understanding why
lines are
moving is far more important.
This is one of the most
bet games of the week and a
line that sportsbooks could
move based on public wagers.
So far, the
betting public is evenly split on the game with the
line moving 0.5 point towards FSU.
Also, when the spread
moves in the opposite direction of the public
betting percentage it's known as reverse
line movement which is an excellent indicator of sharp money.
Sports Insights MLB
Betting Systems have yet to trigger a
move on either side of this game, indicating the
line - movement is likely attributed to the influx of public money on St. Louis.
Especially NCAAF where a lot of plays are released at once and
lines move alot in this sport, if you miss the exact release point one can never
bet these
lines.
Line has
move from Nebraska -14.5 to -13 (using 5 Dimes opener) Parlay pct is 3 % on Maryland
Betting Consensus on # if
bets is 36 % on Maryland but the total $
bet on Maryland is 91 %.
CRIS opened the
line at Wisc -5.5 and has
moved the
line down to Wisc -4.5, even with a large majority of
bets taking Wisconsin.
Sports Insights defines a major
line move as sudden, drastic and uniform
line movement across the entire sports
betting marketplace.
Although Notre Dame is currently receiving two - thirds of spread
bets, the
line has actually
moved 2.5 points to the key number of 10.
Our Sportsbook Insider Pro customers have access to vast quantities of information including our steam
moves, reverse
line movement, contrarian plays and best
bets.