Sentences with phrase «betting road dogs»

The optimal level for betting road dogs would appear to be at the 25 % level where we see a 4.2 % return on investment and a representative sample size with 131 historical game matches.

As always we're going to fade the public, take the value created by square bettors and bet the road dog in this NFC South matchup.

Although betting every road dog during the preseason is barely profitable (290 - 278 ATS, +0.96 units), this simple addition causes our return on investment (ROI) to more than quadruple from 3.9 % to 17.1 %.

Not exact matches

Nevermind my last post, I meant to ask whether CHICAGO would qualify as a play for this system... I believe BKN qualifies for another one of your systems (road dog with < 35 % of ATS bets, total under 200, in - conference game)

With the sportbooks taking a pivotal half - point away from road dog Miami, the betting public is giving the slight edge to Tom Brady and the Pats picking up at least an 11 - point win at Gillette Stadium.

The system detailed in the article focused on road dogs of 6.5 or less that received less than 40 % of spread bets.

With this system in the back of our minds, we wanted to see whether it would be wise to bet other small road dogs on the moneyline instead of the spread — specifically in the NBA.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a valuable point away from home dog Indy, the betting public is overwhelmingly in favor of Matt Ryan and Co. winning by at least 8 points on the road.

Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road dog Jacksonville an additional half - point, the betting public remains slightly in favor of the home favorite Titans covering by just under double digits.

However, with Cam Newton's Panthers taking a step back last week in a 27 - point loss at home to the Titans, the betting public is siding with the Lions to bounce back and cover the spread at home, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a big half point away from road dog Carolina.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half - point away from road dog Kansas City, the betting public is giving the slight edge to the 7 - 5 Jets winning by ten points or more in front of their home crowd.

However, early money poured in on the road dog with the Giants receiving 84 % of spread bets.

Although the sportsbooks have taken away a pivotal point from road dog Oakland, the betting public remains slightly in favor of the new - look Raiders finally meshing on the road and keeping it close at Qualcomm.

However, with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half point away from road dog Penn State, nearly seven out of ten spread bets are taking the 6 - 4 Buckeyes to win by at least 7 points in front of their home crowd and keep the Nittany Lions winless under interim Head Coach Tom Bradley.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half - point away from road dog Chicago, nearly nine out of ten spread bets are going with the 7 - 5 Broncos to win by at least four points at Mile High.

Even with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half - point away from road dog New York, the betting public remains heavily in favor of the G - Men covering on the road against the Jeckyll and Hyde Cowboys.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give the road dog Bills an additional half - point, the betting public is pounding Buffalo to bounce back and either win straight up or lose by two or less in the AFC East showdown.

However, despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a valuable half - point away from the road dog Seahawks, the betting public is sticking with Seattle (who looked impressive in a 22 - 17 win over the Ravens last week) to either win straight up or lose by two or less at Edward Jones Dome.

While this basic system could be bet with confidence, there are two additional factors that I've long believed can be beneficial for NBA road dogs:

This Big East showdown between 3 - 4 teams presents great value for the betting marketplace, with the public seemingly split down the middle as to who to take, even with the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road dog UCONN an additional point.

Despite receiving just 41 % of spread bets, Dallas has actually moved from +6.5 to +6 indicating that there may be some sharp money on the road dog.

As a result of the sportsbooks giving road dog New York an additional point, the betting public is giving the slight edge to Rex and the Jets either winning straight up or losing by two or less in Philly against Vick and the Eagles.

Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take an important half - point away from the road dog Bucs, nearly seven out of ten spread bets are sticking with Tampa Bay to win by four or more against the maddeningly inconsistent Titans.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big half - point away from road dog Carolina, the betting public is fading the Cam Newton hype and going with the 10 - 3 Texans to win by at least seven points at home.

As a result of the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half - point away from the road dog «Skins, the betting public is giving the slight edge to Seattle winning by at least five points at home.

It also revealed that the sweet spot for contrarian road dogs receiving no more than 30 % of spread bets.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half - point away from road dog Denver, the betting public is just slightly in favor of San Diego winning by seven points at home against Tim Tebow and the Broncos.

According to our friends at Bet Labs, road «dogs have gone 309 - 240 ATS (56.3 %) in those games.

And even with the sportsbooks giving home dog Tampa Bay an additional half - point, the betting public is overwhelmingly in favor of the Boys covering on the road.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a pivotal half - point away from road dog Washington, the betting public remains heavily in favor of the G - Men winning this NFC East showdown by eight points or more.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big point away from home dog Houston, more than six out of ten spread bets are picking the Falcons to cover on the road, especially with the news that rookie T.J. Yates is likely to take over at QB for the injured Matt Leinart.

Despite the sportsbooks taking a big 1.5 points away from road dog Arkansas, nearly six out of ten spread bets are taking the points and banking on the # 3 Razorbacks keeping it relatively close against # 1 LSU.

In one of the most lopsided bet games of the week, the public continues to pound Tony Romo and Co. on the road, especially after the sportsbooks took an additional 1.5 points away from home dog Arizona.

For that reason, our past NHL Betting Against the Public systems have focused on road «dogs receiving less than 35 % of moneyline bets.

Since 2005 road dogs of 10.5 + points that are receiving less than 40 % of spread bets have gone 2,038 - 1,886 ATS for +54.59 units.

Betting market: The Rams opened as 1.5 - point road favorites but bettors jumped at the chance to play the Seahawks and the 12th Man as dogs, flipping Seattle to -2.5 by Friday morning.

The table below displays how road dogs receiving less than 35 % of public bets have performed as we gradually shrink our moneyline range.

Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road dog Miami an additional two points, more than six out of ten spread bets are sticking with home favorite Ohio to secure a double - digit victory.

With the line remaining unchanged for this AFC North grudge match, more than three out of four spread bets are going with the road dog Bengals to keep it within a TD against a Steelers squad that barely defeated the moribund Chiefs last week on SNF.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give an additional point to the road dog Tigers, slightly more than seven out of ten spread bets are taking the points and banking on Auburn to keep it close at Sanford Stadium.

Week 2 Betting Trends: Road 47 - 21 ATS, +23.21 units Dogs 43 - 27 ATS, +13.13 units Teams getting < 30 % of bets went just 9 - 13 ATS.

Instead of focusing on these large road «dogs, we wanted to continue highlighting contrarian value by examining our betting against the public strategy and teams fitting our most profitable late season trends.

Even with the sportsbooks giving road dog Texas an additional half - point, nearly eight out of ten spread bets remain committed to Robert Griffin III and # 17 Baylor picking up at least a three - point win in front of their home crowd.

In one of the most lopsided bet games of the week, nearly nine out of ten spread bets are going with the 7 - 4 Cowboys to cover on the road, especially after the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to take a valuable half - point away from the home dog Rams.

So far the majority of bets are coming in on road dogs LSU but Alabama has gone a solid 16 - 12 ATS over the last 10 years when getting less than half of spread bets.

And despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines in a dramatic way to give home dog USF an additional 2.5 points, more than eight out of ten spread bets remain committed to the 23rd ranked Mountaineers winning by at least two points on the road.

In yet another hugely lopsided bet game, more than eight out of ten spread wagers are going with the 7 - 4 Aztecs to cover at home, even though the sportsbooks adjusted their lines to give road dog Fresno an additional half - point.

With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a half - point away from road dog Michigan State, slightly more than six out of ten spread bets are going with # 15 Wisconsin to win by double - digits and secure the Big Ten championship trophy.

As a result of the sportsbooks taking a pivotal point away from road dog Iowa State, the vast majority of the betting public is pounding the 11th ranked Wildcats to win by at least 11 - points at Bill Synder Stadium.

This begs the question: «Is it more profitable to bet small road «dogs on the money line?»