In other words, they help create even more demand for
betting the favorite by already tilting the odds towards the favorite.
Not exact matches
Montreal is a -120 road
betting favorite in New York at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
It's very rare that you're able to find
favorites that are being ignored
by the
betting public, but it's significantly more prevalent during the postseason.
Betting market: The Jaguars are 9 - point
favorites for the first time since 2009 and a surprising 62 % of spread tickets are confident that Blake Bortles can win
by double - digits.
Since the public is more willing to
bet on underdogs during the playoffs, we believed there would be value
by taking a contrarian approach and backing the
favorite — especially when they were receiving limited public support.
The Heat, who made head waves this season
by challenging the 1971 - 72 Lakers» epic 33 - game winning streak, are currently listed as -220
favorites for the series and 5.5 - point
favorites in NBA Finals
betting for Game 1.
Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to give road dog Jacksonville an additional half - point, the
betting public remains slightly in favor of the home
favorite Titans covering
by just under double digits.
Cleveland is a 2 - point home
betting favorite for Game 6 at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
Boston is a -120
betting favorite in Tuesday's series opener at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
The current FedExCup points leader is a +700
betting favorite on the odds to win the Players Championship this week at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
Washington is a -125
betting favorite in Pittsburgh at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
Cleveland is a 1.5 - point
betting favorite for Friday night at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
New England is expected to be a 7 - point road
favorite in that game, but bettors can view the latest odds and public
betting trends
by visiting our free NFL odds page.
Money poured in on the road
favorite as 66 % of spread
bets were placed on the Broncos, moving the line to -3
by kickoff.
Although sportsbooks know this information and build it into line, these «square» bettors often create artificial value
by heavily
betting the
favorite and forcing sportsbooks to shade their lines to encourage action on the other side (typically the underdog).
Nashville is a -150
betting favorite in Game 3 at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
You cant even get behind your team and show some faith in Wenger
by saying i believe we will have a title push without fans saying yeah
bet ya said that last season too or jump down your throat with abuse as if you claimed that you believed we were
favorites for a pl and cl double.
They also highlight which teams are being hammered
by sharp money, offer their Heisman picks, and detail some of their
favorite betting systems.
By simply
betting against these sizeable
favorites, second half bettors would be able to capitalize on these lines that have been artificially inflated to account for public perception.
CRIS opened with San Diego as a 9 - point
favorite, but the
betting percentages have pushed the line to -9.5 at CRIS, as well as the other market - setting sportsbooks tracked
by Sports Insights.
The whole concept of
betting against the public is based on the idea that «square» or uninformed public bettors create artificial line value
by pounding one side — typically the
favorite or the over.
If we look at
favorites getting 65 % of
bets by game number, we'll see that this really sticks out.
We should start
by pointing out that the public loves to
bet favorites and overs, so most of our contrarian
betting systems will focus on underdogs and unders.
«Taking all of that into consideration, we crunched the numbers and
by looking for games where underdogs coming off a loss where they were
favorites and are getting less than 25 % of spread
bets».
With the line remaining static for this inter-conference showdown, nearly three out of four spread
bets remain confident in the home
favorite Cardinals beating the lowly Browns
by at least seven points.
Nurmagomedov opened as a -550
betting favorite for this match on the UFC 223 odds at sportsbooks monitored
by OddsShark.com.
In part one of this sport
by sport breakdown, we looked at how well bettors would have fared
betting favorites and dogs on the moneyline for the four major pro sports, college football and basketball, and...
This strategy involves taking
favorites that are being ignored
by a majority of bettors — especially in the most heavily
bet games where public money is more likely to artificially inflate the spread.
Betting market: The Rams opened as 1.5 - point road
favorites but bettors jumped at the chance to play the Seahawks and the 12th Man as dogs, flipping Seattle to -2.5
by Friday morning.
A runline is very similar to a spread
bet in football or basketball, except in baseball the runline is almost always -1.5 or -2.5, meaning the
favorite must win
by either 2 or 3 to cover.
Since a
betting exchange's lines are set
by its members, it is not uncommon to find equal (i.e., +150 / -150) or near - equal odds on the
favorite and underdog — it doesn't get much better than that!
In addition, a
betting exchange doesn't «straddle the line» like a sportsbook does (always separating the
favorite and underdog line
by exactly 10 or 20 cents, essentially the vig).
If the 55 % only represents public opinion at the 11 point spread this could mean that cumulatively the
favorite has been
bet on
by 60 % of the public.
The other Final Four spot will be filled
by the winner of Kansas and North - Carolina — this game has been heavily
bet and with Kansas remaining a 2 - point
favorite, the percentage of
bets on each side is fairly even.
According to our College Basketball
betting trends, the Blue Devils, led
by their freshman superstar Jabari Parker, opened as 3 - point
favorites at CRIS.
Since oddsmakers can easily predict this behavior, sportsbooks react
by shading their lines and forcing public bettors to lay extra points when
betting on
favorites and overs.
After examining
Bet Labs» «Spread Range» filter, we quickly discovered that
favorites of -3.5 or greater (or teams expected to be more than a field goal better than opponents) have posted a record of 42 - 22 (65.6 %) ATS and cover
by an average of 3.25 points.
Of the 32 Game 7's since 2005, only 1 team has received less than 30 % of
bets (Pistons won
by 18 as 8.5 - point
favorites over Cavs in 2006).
Any other outcome, even if the
favorites win the game but
by just 1 goal, you end up losing the
bet.
If the
favorites win
by just 1 goal, the
bet results in a push, and in any other outcome the
bet is lost.
Squares overwhelmingly
bet the
favorite, and oddsmakers adjust
by shading their lines and forcing casual bettors to take bad numbers when they play the popular side of a game.
Suppose the line for a game is -1.5, and you pick on the
favorites to overcome the line, you will win the
bet only if the
favorites win
by 2 or more goals.
If the
favorites win
by 1 goal, then you win the first half of the
bet, and the second half of the
bet will be a push.
Villanova also won its last game
by 23 as a double - digit
favorite, but the Wildcats wound up with 63 % of
bets.
The Yankees are
by the biggest
favorites on today's baseball board, but 72 % of bettors are still taking a shot on the Pinstripes, making them also the most popular MLB
bet tonight.
However, in the first 24 hours of
betting, the line fell all the way to a pick»em (no
favorite), a surprisingly big move for a point spread and a rare miss
by Las Vegas.
The Eagles opened as a 4 - point
favorite and were immediately
bet up
by the public.
Exploit that tendency
by betting home
favorites when two of the nation's best play each other.
If you hold a future book ducat on the BCS underdog, then a profit can be assured
by betting the
favorite on the money line.
If you're certain one of the lines is off, but not sure which, many professionals play «the middle»
by betting on both the moneyline
favorite and the underdog on the spread.