The result is the newest, shiniest casinos that are closest to
the bettors win out — at the expense of others.
Anyone can go 10 - 0 one week, but very few sports
bettors win above 54 % of their bets over the course of entire season.
That was certainly the case for William Hill who had
a bettor win an utterly improbable 20 - leg teaser this weekend:
Cover — In sports such as football and basketball,
a bettor wins their bet if they cover the point - spread.
If Nova beats Mt. St. Mary's,
bettor wins a cool $ 33.35.
Packers» lineman Derek Sherrod was tackled in the end zone late in the third quarter, meaning each of
those bettors won $ 7,500.
If
a bettor wins consistently, they'll get their limits lowered significantly and the book may even refuse to take their action.
Not exact matches
At this point, those who had Eagles -9 had been gifted a miracle push, and an extra point could get them a
win, while other
bettors who had taken Philadelphia at -10 needed the extra point to salvage their bets.
Last week's Super Bowl LI was expected to top the amount wagered on last year's game between Carolina and Denver, with one
bettor putting $ 1.1 million on the Falcons to
win — imagine the emotional roller coaster ride that individual experienced during the game.
However, his odds have steadily dropped over that time as public
bettors and bigger money has taken Bisping to
win.
We always encourage
bettors to buy on bad news and sell on good, and there's no better time to sell high than after
winning a major award.
Bettors could take Anaheim and / or LA at +175 to
win the series and also give themselves a chance to hedge going into Game 5.
However, many
bettors will grow overconfident when they go on a hot streak or
win several bets in a row and begin to increase their unit size.
Entering the season there were many well - respected, sharp
bettors picking Iowa as a longshot candidate to
win the national championship.
This season the Pinnacle moneyline steam move has gone 307 - 307 with +7.0 units
won, meaning a $ 100 / game
bettors would have earned $ 700 by following this move.
It's an interesting spot for
bettors if they like either team in Game 4 — both are listed at -110, but both are also listed at +175 to
win the series.
Bettors have also been taking Golden State to
win straight up, with 78 % of moneyline tickets and 98 % of moneyline dollars backing the road favorite.
Bettors who had faith in the former Boston College standout were rewarded handsomely, as Ryan was available between 90/1 and 135/1 to
win the NFL MVP Award prior to the start of the season.
c) Reduced juice books (i.e. 5Dimes, Pinnacle) are great for everyday betting because with -105 juice on most games
bettors only need to
win at a 51.22 % clip to break even.
I have repeatedly stated that UCLA is one of the most overrated teams in the country, but I strongly recommended
bettors take SMU at 125/1 to
win the title back on February 15.
But how can moneyline
bettors determine their necessary
winning percentage to break even?
Professional sports
bettors operate within a
winning percentage of 54 - 57 %.
As we expected, this pattern of
bettors overvaluing home field advantage is amplified in «must -
win» games which creates value betting against these home teams.
Ironically, even though Denver
won that game and covered the spread,
bettors immediately bailed and faded the Broncos.
With our College Basketball best bets and steam moves performing at a tremendously high level, now is the opportune time to review how to
win with our system plays and examine which books
bettors should be following.
There's another very low total of 2 goals, and public
bettors have been all over Newcastle (+112) to
win at home.
With Michigan's recent Big Ten Tournament
win fresh on the minds of casual
bettors, this may be the ideal opportunity to sell high on the Wolverines and take advantage of an artificially inflated line.
Navy -3.5 / -4: The Midshipmen actually closed at -1.5, but any early
bettors were stung when they gave up a 34 - 11 2nd half lead to
win 43 - 40.
The tables below display the records and units
won that
bettors would have earned by betting against the Cy Young winner in the season after taking home the award.
This means that
bettors only need a 51.22 %
win rate to break even.
The hardest thing for a new
bettor to get used to is that he / she is NOT trying to pick only games they are sure they can
win, but games with odds sufficient enough to warrant action at all.
For example, a team may have
won their past five games and an inexperienced
bettor will assume that means they are on a hot - streak that will continue indefinitely.
Dating back to last season, the Vikings have
won seven straight regular season games and
bettors may finally be taking notice.
As they continue to
win, it will be interesting to see how both
bettors and oddsmakers adjust.
Bettors should also know that this system fits the three main characteristics of a
winning betting system: significant sample size, a strong driving theory and consistent year - to - year results.
For value - minded sports
bettors, using betting trends data and line - movement to identify games that are shaded solely due to public money, or the expectation of public money, will help you get the «best of the number» and increase your overall
winning percentage.
This system produced a losing record and woeful return on investment (ROI); however, sometimes a losing system can be just as helpful to
bettors as a
winning one.
Bettors may also be interested to know that if a team is receiving more than 50 % of spread bets in one of these «must -
win» games, this fade system improves to 45 - 28 ATS with +15.1 units
won and a 20.7 % ROI.
Typically
bettors need a
win rate of 52.38 % in order to cover the standard dimeline -LRB--110) juice.
While Michigan is picked to finish fourth in the Big Ten East next season, many
bettors have the Wolverines as a favorite to
win the National Championship.
Bettors now employ handicapping strategies to the Super flip, tracing back the history to see whether «heads» or «tails» is on a streak, or due, and whether
winning the flip leads to
winning the game.
The Miami Heat will coax
bettors into deciding whether or not they'll go above or below 60 games in the
win column.
Still, the Perry touchdown
won hundreds of thousands of dollars for
bettors all along the Strip.
As always when along shot
wins,
bettors in the stands reexamine their Racing Forms to see whatthey missed in the horse's past performances.
While the Seahawks and the over were the
winning bets, OddsShark said on Sunday that 62 percent of the money was placed on the Broncos and 55 percent of
bettors were taking the under.
Bettors can also wager on which team will
win the coin toss at -105 on both sides between New England and Seattle.
Before the start of the season, we explained how
bettors tend to overvalue ranked teams and detailed a system that had posted a 353 - 271 ATS record with +64.06 units
won.
On the other side of this Super Bowl 47 proposition
bettors who think the Ravens won't even need the 3.5 points on the spread, and might
win this game outright, can bet Baltimore giving 3.5 points getting a price of +250; at -7.5 points getting +500; at -10.5 points getting +700; and giving -13.5 points getting a fat +900.
Furthermore, it's worth examining the moneyline for
bettors who are worried about who will
win the game straight up.
Early
bettors are jumping on USA to
win in regulation and rightfully so — they've yet to concede a goal since the opening game of the tournament — but the value here may lie in the draw, just like the 2011 Final.