This strong correlation
between atmospheric temperature and the level of carbon dioxide is highly suggestive, but does not prove on its own, that rising levels of carbon dioxide are causing warming.
In fact, he likes to pretend he knows more about the relationship
between atmospheric temperature and atmospheric enthalpy than I do.
Not exact matches
Is there a correlation, then,
between levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and
atmospheric temperatures?
The reaction rate
between atmospheric hydrogen chloride (HCl) and chlorine nitrate (ClONO2) is greatly enhanced in the presence of ice particles; HCl dissolves readily into ice, and the collisional reaction probability for ClONO2 on the surface of ice with HCl in the mole fraction range from ∼ 0.003 to 0.010 is in the range from ∼ 0.05 to 0.1 for
temperatures near 200 K. Chlorine (Cl2) is released into the gas phase on a time scale of at most a few milliseconds, whereas nitric acid (HNO3), the other product, remains in the condensed phase.
The most important of these was an apparent mismatch
between the instrumental surface
temperature record (which showed significant warming over recent decades, consistent with a human impact) and the balloon and satellite
atmospheric records (which showed little of the expected warming).
Our record is also of interest to climate policy developments, because it opens the door to detailed comparisons
between past
atmospheric CO2 concentrations, global
temperatures, and sea levels, which has enormous value to long - term future climate projections.»
«It gives further evidence of the close links
between atmospheric CO2 and
temperature, but also shows how heterogeneous this climate change may be on land,» he adds.
«This relationship
between Antarctica
temperature and CO2 suggested that somehow the Southern Ocean was pivotal in controlling natural
atmospheric CO2 concentrations,» said Dr Maxim Nikurashin from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science.
They protected the wearers from
temperatures that fluctuated
between − 300 and 300 degrees Fahrenheit and from low
atmospheric pressure that could boil away someone's blood.
«At first, tropical ocean
temperature contrast
between Pacific and Atlantic causes slow climate variability due to its large thermodynamical inertia, and then affects the
atmospheric high - pressure ridge off the California coast via global teleconnections.
Because of those uncertainties, researchers can estimate only that doubling
atmospheric carbon dioxide from preindustrial levels would increase global
temperature between 1 °C and 5 °C.
The evaluation of the data show a clear correlation
between the sea surface
temperatures in the Irminger Sea in summer, the amount of surface freshwater in this region and the
atmospheric conditions and onset of convection in the following winter.
Researchers from the University of California Irvine have shown that a phenomenon known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a natural pattern of variation in North Atlantic sea surface
temperatures that switches
between a positive and negative phase every 60 - 70 years — can affect an
atmospheric circulation pattern, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), that influences the
temperature and precipitation over the Northern Hemisphere in winter.
The newfound world circles its star at about 60 million kilometers, leaving it with a relatively mild
temperature that Deeg's group estimates to be
between minus 20 degrees Celsius and 150 degrees C, depending on its
atmospheric makeup.
This so - called constant - composition commitment results as
temperatures gradually equilibrate with the current
atmospheric radiation imbalance, and has been estimated at
between 0.3 °C and 0.9 °C warming over the next century.»
By showing that (a) there are no common physical laws
between the warming phenomenon in glass houses and the fictitious
atmospheric greenhouse effects, (b) there are no calculations to determine an average surface
temperature of a planet, (c) the frequently mentioned difference of 33 C is a meaningless number calculated wrongly, (d) the formulas of cavity radiation are used inappropriately, (e) the assumption of a radiative balance is unphysical, (f) thermal conductivity and friction must not be set to zero, the
atmospheric greenhouse conjecture is falsified
For example, in Earth
atmospheric circulation (such as Hadley cells) transport heat
between the warmer equatorial regions to the cool polar regions and this circulation pattern not only determines the
temperature distribution, but also sets which regions on Earth are dry or rainy and how clouds form over the planet.
Hi Andrew, Paper you may have, but couldn't find on «The phase relation
between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global
temperature» CO2 lagging temp change, which really turns the entire AGW argument on its head: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818112001658 Highlights: ► Changes in global
atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11 — 12 months behind changes in global sea surface
temperature ► Changes in
atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions.
The interannual relationship
between North American (NA) winter
temperature and large - scale
atmospheric circulation anomalies and its decadal variation are analyzed.
The new paper draws these two strands of climate control together and shows, by demonstrating a strong relationship
between the Southern Oscillation and lower -
atmospheric temperature, that ENSO has been a major
temperature influence since continuous measurement of lower -
atmospheric temperature first began in 1958.
So the mechanism should cause a decline in skin
temperature gradients with increased cloud cover (more downward heat radiation), and there should also be a decline in the difference
between cool skin layer and ocean bulk
temperatures - as less heat escapes the ocean under increased
atmospheric warming.
«The far north has indeed been behaving bizarrely in Nov / Dec 2016, setting many new records for
temperature, sea ice extent,
atmospheric water vapour content, and Arctic amplification (the difference in
temperature between the Arctic and northern mid-latitudes)»
We also know something about the strong relationship
between atmospheric CO2 levels and
temperature.
Scientists agree that a doubling of
atmospheric CO2 levels could result in
temperature increases of
between 1.5 and 4.5 °C, caused by rapid changes such as snow and ice melt, and the behaviour of clouds and water vapour.
Simply put, the mathematical correlation
between an increase in
atmospheric CO2 and
temperature is very weak.
The link
between global
temperature and rate of sea level change provides a brilliant opportunity for cross-validation of these two parameters over the last several millenia (one might add - in the relationship
between atmospheric [CO2] and Earth
temperature in the period before any significant human impact on [CO2]-RRB-.
But wouldn't a closer model be the first order ODE, where the difference
between absorbed solar power and lost black body power has to equal the change in
temperature with respect to time multiplied by the terrestrial and
atmospheric combined heat capacity:
By showing that (a) there are no common physical laws
between the warming phenomenon in glass houses and the fictitious
atmospheric greenhouse effects, (b) there are no calculations to determine an average surface
temperature of a planet, (c) the frequently mentioned difference of 33 C is a meaningless number calculated wrongly, (d) the formulas of cavity radiation are used inappropriately, (e) the assumption of a radiative balance is unphysical, (f) thermal conductivity and friction must not be set to zero, the
atmospheric greenhouse conjecture is falsified
The significant difference
between the observed decrease of the CO2 sink estimated by the inversion (0.03 PgC / y per decade) and the expected increase due solely to rising
atmospheric CO2 -LRB--0.05 PgC / y per decade) indicates that there has been a relative weakening of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink (0.08 PgC / y per decade) due to changes in other
atmospheric forcing (winds, surface air
temperature, and water fluxes).
««Of the rise in global
atmospheric temperature over the past century, nearly 30 % occurred
between 1910 and 1940 when anthropogenic forcings were relatively weak.»
The approximately 20 - year lag (
between atmospheric CO2 concentration change and reaching equilibrium
temperature) is an emerging property (just like sensitivity) of the global climate system in the GCM models used in the paper I linked to above, if I understood it correctly.
Adding to t marvell's questions, there are many occurrences in the historical record of divergent trends
between temperature and
atmospheric CO2 levels — with multi-millennial timescales.
The link
between increased
atmospheric greenhouse gas and global
temperatures underlies the theory of global warming, explained the authors.
Redistribution of heat (such as vertical transport
between the surface and the deeper ocean) could cause some surface and
atmospheric temperature change that causes some global average warming or cooling.
My opinion from reading some of the science press and popular press is that a) we have a 500,000,000 year history showing a rough correlation
between atmospheric CO2 levels and global
temperatures.
It shows the correlation
between atmospheric partial pressure of CO2 for the last 420,000 years and the deuterium - based air
temperature anomaly.
Of course, there are plenty of negative feedbacks as well (the increase in long wave radiation as
temperatures rise or the reduction in
atmospheric poleward heat flux as the equator - to - pole gradient decreases) and these (in the end) are dominant (having kept Earth's climate somewhere
between boiling and freezing for about 4.5 billion years and counting).
However, there is not a
temperature inversion layer
between the Stratosphere and the Mesosphere; therefore, there is a clear opportunity for
atmospheric turnover or a horizontal rolling mix of the two layers at the boundary levels or the explanation for the «
atmospheric waves».
It seems the Warmists bet the farm on a correlation
between rising
atmospheric CO2 and rising
temperatures in the period 1976 to 1998, and are at a loss to explain the lack of correlation since then.
The fossil record has repeatedly shown that there is absolutely NO relationship
between global
temperatures and
atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
The study projects that a doubling of
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations over pre-industrial levels will increase global
temperatures by
between 1.2 °C and 2.9 °C, with 1.9 °C being the most likely outcome.
So the observed change in CO2 and
temperature since 1850 tell us that doubling
atmospheric CO2 should cause an increase in global
temperature of somewhere
between 0.7 °C and 1.4 °C
«Using data series on
atmospheric carbon dioxide and global
temperatures we investigate the phase relation (leads / lags)
between these for the period January 1980 to December 2011.
-- Humlum et al., (2013), «The phase relation
between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global
temperature»
Is there correlation
between atmospheric CO2 and
temperature for the recent 1 - 2 thousand years?
Determining the mechanisms and feedbacks involved in climate change at the end of the last ice age therefore requires an understanding of the relationship
between the southern margin ice retreat and connected meltwater events to
atmospheric and sea surface
temperatures, ice - rafting Heinrich events, sea level rise, and
atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.
No, you miss the point about the Trenberth «Travesty» statement, it means that the claims in the field that they had detected the relationship
between atmospheric [CO2] and
temperature, and from this could predict that a doubling of
atmospheric CO2 would cause catastrophic warming were unsupported by the evidence.
While the conditions in the geological past are useful indicators in suggesting climate and
atmospheric conditions only vary within a a certain range (for example, that life has existed for over 3 billion years indicates that the oxygen level of the atmosphere has stayed
between about 20 and 25 % throughout that time), I also think some skeptics are too quick to suggest the lack of correlation
between temperature and CO2 during the last 550 million years falsifies the link
between CO2 and warming (too many differences in conditions to allow any such a conclusion to be drawn — for example the Ordovician with high CO2 and an ice age didn't have any terrestrial life).
This empirical science published by NASA is undeniable, and most alarmist scientists accept, although grudgingly - the relationship
between changes in
atmospheric CO2 levels and changes in
temperature are, at best, significantly lame weak.
Between 40 and 50 km (channel 3), global - mean
temperature trends from both SSU products show more cooling than is simulated by the CCMs (
atmospheric coupled chemistry models).