Sentences with phrase «between extreme events»

Goodess et al. suggest that a more direct, but untested, approach could be to construct conditional damage functions (cdfs), by identifying the statistical relationships between the extreme events themselves (causing damage) and large - scale predictor variables.

After nearly a year of terrible climate change journalism across the board, they didn't even mention the connection between extreme events and climate change, or the fact that this summer is a very real glimpse into our future.

Statements in the mainstream media (TV, print) about the relationship to climate change continue to reflect what I said: since no positive relationship between extreme events has been established, therefore there is no relationship and, given that the climate is changing, the possibility of one is not reported.

A story in The Times of London examines new expressions of concern by scientists about the perils of overstating the links between extreme events and climate change.

I asked him to elaborate and provide a few examples in which people described unfounded links between extreme events and global warming, and also whether he thought scientists and scientific institutions like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were beyond reproach.

Try comparing the mathematically related «interarrival time between extreme events», governed by an Exponential distribution.

Not exact matches

The consequences of mini flash crashes were first considered by Johnson et al. [20], who suggested that there «may indeed be a degree of causality between propagating cascades of UEEs [ultrafast extreme events] and global instability, despite huge differences in their respective timescales.»

It's challenging to make direct comparisons between extreme rainfall events since their weather systems (e.g., hurricanes, thunderstorms) behave differently, so scientists draw on several benchmarks depending on the situation.

Genuine beauty entails such a fragile balance between the extremes of complexity and harmony that the slide into either confusion or triviality is more of a possibility than with those things or events that are closer to equilibrium.

While they did not find any conclusive differences between the three years, it is possible that extreme weather events could lead to more dramatic differences between the chemical fingerprints of some annual rings, and the authors conclude that more extensive sampling is required.

For more than 10 weeks beginning in January, sea temperatures were between 2 °C and 4 °C warmer than usual along a 2000 - kilometre stretch of coast — the area's most extreme warming event since records began.

While most previous such work focuses on mean or average values, the authors in this paper acknowledge that climate in the broader sense encompasses variations between years, trends, averages and extreme events.

Although scientists hesitate to draw a direct relationship between weather and climate, observation of weather patterns shows a definite correlation between extreme weather events and a warming climate.

The link between human activity and unusual jet stream patterns associated with extreme weather events is getting stronger, says Olive Heffernan

Overall, the chances of seeing a rainfall event as intense as Harvey have roughly tripled - somewhere between 1.5 and five times more likely - since the 1900s and the intensity of such an event has increased between 8 percent and 19 percent, according to the new study by researchers with World Weather Attribution, an international coalition of scientists that objectively and quantitatively assesses the possible role of climate change in individual extreme weather events.

The contiguous United States has warmed considerably since 1938, and there's no question that climate change was at play this time, says National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration scientist Martin Hoerling, who examines links between extreme weather events and climate.

The link between human activity and unusual jet stream patterns associated with extreme weather events is getting stronger

Researchers have been trying for some time to determine how much of a connection exists between climate change and extreme events like downpours.

«We came as close as one can to demonstrating a direct link between climate change and a large family of extreme recent weather events,» said Michael Mann, distinguished professor of atmospheric science and director, Earth System Science Center, Penn State.

Unprecedented summer warmth and flooding, forest fires, drought and torrential rain — extreme weather events are occurring more and more often, but now an international team of climate scientists has found a connection between many extreme weather events and the impact climate change is having on the jet stream.

Researchers from several institutes around Europe have now looked into the scientific literature that addresses these global changes to examine the interactions between biodiversity and extreme weather events.

The difference in sea surface temperatures (SST) between a weak (upper) and an extreme (lower) La Niña event.

According to a National Research Council Report (See «Severe Space Weather Events — Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts: A Workshop Report» [2008]-RRB-, damages from the most extreme solar storms could range between $ 1 trillion - $ 2 trillion within the first year and four to 10 years for full recovery.

«Simple physics (effect of [sea - level rise] on storm surge) and simple thermodynamics (i.e. Clausius - Clapeyron) are valid whether or not we can trust the models to get the specifics dynamical linkages between climate change and extreme weather events right (and I'm deeply skeptical the models are up to this task at present).»

Additionally, Nassim Taleb, in his now famous work The Black Swan discussed the disconnect between traditional statistical measures (such as standard deviation) and the occurrence of extreme events

Developed by The Darkness 2 maker Digital Extremes, the game features an original story set between the events of the 2009 film and this year's Into Darkness movie sequel.

Distinguishing between different kinds of extreme weather events is important because the risks of different kinds of events are affected by climate change in different ways.

I don't see a similar «point of contact» between models and reality as far as attribution studies of extreme events are concerned, given that what we need to compare are modeled statistics (which we can always have by making many model runs) and meaningful real statistics, (which are hard to get)?

Thus, whenever any extreme weather event occurs, it is interpreted as evidence of «climate change,» which term has become equivalent to AGW, despite the fact that the relation between the two has never been established, but merely assumed.

A new study by Screen and Simmonds demonstrates the statistical connection between high - amplitude planetary waves in the atmosphere and extreme weather events on the ground.

Here is an interesting report on the links between tropical temperatures and increased likelihood of extreme precipitation events:

Here is the # 1 flawed reasoning you will have seen about this question: it is the classic confusion between absence of evidence and evidence for absence of an effect of global warming on extreme weather events.

But you must distinguish between this phenomenon and any phenomenon of greater severity or frequency of extreme weather events.

It's a daunting task to try to detect any links between short - term fluctuations in extreme weather events and the rising influence of accumulating greenhouse gases on climate, given that extreme weather is, by definition, rare.

According to the latest science, in most cases (outside of extreme heat waves) the connections between today's extreme weather events and human - driven climate change range from weak (hurricanes) to nil (tornadoes)-- and the dominant driver of losses in such events is fast - paced development or settlement in places with fundamental climatic or coastal vulnerability.

James (comment # 177) I agree with you that I would be making a very academic point if no climate scientists were suggesting a general connection between hurricanes (and other extreme weather events and climate change).

Winter 2009 - 2010 showed a new connectivity between mid-latitude extreme cold and snowy weather events and changes in the wind patterns of the Arctic; the so - called Warm Arctic - Cold Continents pattern.

In the book I draw the connection between extreme climate events and the financial crisis we have lived through over the last two or three years.

We expect from CO2 - based warming less severe «extreme weather events» because of the blanket effect and less heat differential between the equator and the poles.

Some climate scientists, however, are critical of that analysis, saying the correlation between global warming and specific extreme weather events isn't great enough to warrant linking them.

Between the heat and the dry vegetation conditions, conditions are ripe for wildfires, which have broken out in multiple states, and Prime Minister Julia Gillard warned yesterday that global warming will mean even more extreme weather events.

More than 20 years of effort have not led to presidents or prime ministers — nor even their climate change ministers — making factually accurate statements about climate change, and especially the link between climate change and extreme weather events.

Neither economic analyses nor meteorological investigations validate the asserted link between recent extreme weather events and global warming.

Agreed that the marriage between climatology and synoptic dynamics is important, and is a sorely missing ingredient in attempts to attribute extreme events to AGW.

Since the 5th IPCC report was released 3 years ago, many more scientific papers have been published that also endorse the position that there is not an established link between increases in the frequency or intensity of extreme weather events and anthropogenic climate change.

The news this summer has featured several new climate change science reports, and drawn the link between current extreme events and global warming.

What about implications for our social, political and economic landscape of the established links between anthropogenic climate change and high - impact extreme weather and climate events?

Scientists are increasingly drawing links between climate change and extreme weather events, either increasing the likelihood of heat waves, drought, hurricanes, heavy rainfall...

However, their use requires great care, as such documents may be biased towards describing only the more extreme events, and are, in certain cases, prone to the use of inconsistent language between different writers and different epochs, and to errors in dating.

The relationship between resilience in the face of extreme weather events and increases in female education expenditure holds when socioeconomic development continues but the climate does not change, and socioeconomic development continues with weather paths driven by «wet» and «dry» Global Climate Models.