A new NASA - led study has discovered an intriguing link
between sea ice conditions and the melting rate of Totten Glacier, the glacier in East Antarctica that discharges the most ice into the ocean.
Not exact matches
The results highlight how the interaction
between ocean
conditions and the bedrock beneath a glacier can influence the frozen mass, helping scientists better predict future Antarctica
ice loss and global
sea level rise.
At its height
between 1960 and 1980, Polyarka was staffed by more than fifty working scientists, engineers, and technicians focused on measurements of surface weather, snow depth,
sea ice, and
conditions in the upper atmosphere.
The study starts with observations of eroding
ice sheets spreading, cooler freshwater at both ends of the planet and geological hints of tempestuous
conditions toward the end of the Eemian, that last interval
between ice ages when global temperatures and
seas were higher than now.
One aspect of the recently published study on Chukchi
Sea polar bears (Rode et al. 2014 [now in print] 2013; see here and here) has not been stressed enough: their finding that the differences in overall condition between bears in the Chukchi and Southern Beaufort Seas came down to disparities in spring feeding opportunities and therefore, the condition of spring sea i
Sea polar bears (Rode et al. 2014 [now in print] 2013; see here and here) has not been stressed enough: their finding that the differences in overall
condition between bears in the Chukchi and Southern Beaufort
Seas came down to disparities in spring feeding opportunities and therefore, the
condition of spring
sea i
sea ice.
Arbetter et al. (National
Ice Center); 4.4; Statistical The system determines the relationships between sea ice and atmospheric conditions over the past ten years to determine the likelihood of ice being present this ye
Ice Center); 4.4; Statistical The system determines the relationships
between sea ice and atmospheric conditions over the past ten years to determine the likelihood of ice being present this ye
ice and atmospheric
conditions over the past ten years to determine the likelihood of
ice being present this ye
ice being present this year.
Whereas most proxy - based reconstructions point to an early - middle LIG climatic optimum with reduced summer
sea ice concentrations
between 126 and 116 ka, the results of our model simulations only support a pronounced reduction in summer
sea ice concentration for the LIG - 125 and LIG - 130 runs (in both time slice as well as transient runs; Figs. 8 and 9), but also indicate that
sea ice was still present in the central Arctic Ocean even under climatic
conditions significantly warmer than today (Fig. 4).
Sometime before 2020 certainly, but based on the 5 year rebuilding time
between 2007 and 2012, we might see a new lower low in Arctic
sea ice around 2017, as the spiral continues down to an
ice free
condition this century.
For the LIG - 120 interval, we record an apparent mismatch
between the LIG - 120 simulation (suggesting
sea ice conditions similar to those of the PI
conditions)(Figs. 4 and 8) and the proxy - based
sea ice record (suggesting minimum
sea ice concentrations similar to the early - mid-LIG (Fig. 7a).
Combining the limitations of this data with the (interannual) variability in atmospheric and oceanic
conditions between now and September 2008 leaves a wide range of scenarios open for how
sea ice conditions may develop throughout the summer.
Richter - Menge, left, and members of the NASA IceBridge Team prepare for a 2013 flight from Thule, Greenland, to the Beaufort
Sea, off Alaska's northeastern coast, to examine sea - ice conditions between the two poin
Sea, off Alaska's northeastern coast, to examine
sea - ice conditions between the two poin
sea -
ice conditions between the two points.
However, there remains uncertainty in the rate of
sea ice loss, with the models that most accurately project historical
sea ice trends currently suggesting nearly
ice - free
conditions sometime
between 2021 and 2043 (median 2035).12 Uncertainty across all models stems from a combination of large differences in projections among different climate models, natural climate variability, and uncertainty about future rates of fossil fuel emissions.
Differences
between surface winds and SLP, and vortex splitting and
sea ice extent composites exhibit conditions that are unfavorable to export through Fram Strait in May, 2009; southwesterly versus southeasterly winds in the Beaufort Sea region may also limit free ice drift conditions and inhibit the acceleration evident in years exhibiting record lows in sea ice exte
sea ice extent composites exhibit
conditions that are unfavorable to export through Fram Strait in May, 2009; southwesterly versus southeasterly winds in the Beaufort
Sea region may also limit free ice drift conditions and inhibit the acceleration evident in years exhibiting record lows in sea ice exte
Sea region may also limit free
ice drift
conditions and inhibit the acceleration evident in years exhibiting record lows in
sea ice exte
sea ice extent.
When scientists compare average
sea ice conditions between years, they often use a 30 - year reference period of 1981 to 2010.
Based on the understanding of both the physical processes that control key climate feedbacks (see Section 8.6.3), and also the origin of inter-model differences in the simulation of feedbacks (see Section 8.6.2), the following climate characteristics appear to be particularly important: (i) for the water vapour and lapse rate feedbacks, the response of upper - tropospheric RH and lapse rate to interannual or decadal changes in climate; (ii) for cloud feedbacks, the response of boundary - layer clouds and anvil clouds to a change in surface or atmospheric
conditions and the change in cloud radiative properties associated with a change in extratropical synoptic weather systems; (iii) for snow albedo feedbacks, the relationship
between surface air temperature and snow melt over northern land areas during spring and (iv) for
sea ice feedbacks, the simulation of
sea ice thickness.
I am fully aware that there are differences
between the Arctic and Antarci
sea ice conditions.
Just for one example, if it turns out that,
between melt of
sea ice and Greenland
ice, the North Atlantic Current slows or stops, we would expect to see fairly dramatically colder weather in Europe for a while, even thought this
condition could be directly linked to results produced by GW (though in the long term, the warming would, presumably eventually overtake the cooling from change in ocean currents).