Not exact matches
I don't think they are «doing
wrong», I just believe that the current hierarchical
model creates a gap
between clergy and laity that was never meant to be.
There is nothing
wrong with this, but it is not the only possible
model of Catholic family life, which is of necessity more diverse, and it would be interesting to explore some different relationships, those
between siblings, for example, or the role ofaunts, uncles, cousins and god - parents.
You can easily see the contrast
between Suzie's photos and the photos of
models breastfeeding their babies while five people do their hair and makeup (which isn't to say there's anything
wrong with that, if it's your reality, Gisele).
Dr. Deb Pontillo: Parents have to be you know, especially careful about how they resolve conflict because even just
between husband and wife or partners, that the
modeling goes a
wrong way and so if you get angry and frustrated and you yell how do you think your kids are going to resolve their conflicts.
While it is probably
wrong to view voting behaviour too much through an ideological prism (
models of electoral behaviour these days tend to be more dominated by voters perceptions of compentence, rather than ideology), throughout the 1980s the left - of - centre vote tended to be split
between two parties.
That fact suggests something is
wrong with Standard
Model equations describing symmetry
between subatomic particles and their antiparticles.
Bromwich said the disagreement
between climate
model predictions and the snowfall and temperature records doesn't necessarily mean that the
models are
wrong.
adding that usually, when
models go
wrong, one identifies a couple of the largest deviations
between reality and the
model, and proceeds to find out why the heck were they
wrong.
So the very existence of matter suggests something is
wrong with Standard
Model equations describing symmetry
between subatomic particles and their antiparticles.
But to reiterate: the difference
between climate sensitivity estimates based on land vs. ocean data indicates that something is seriously
wrong, either with the
model, or the data, or some of both.
Between their sedans, coupes, SUVs, sport
models and more, you can not go
wrong with any available Audi
models.
While RealClimate has called into question the soundness of the paper's quite narrow conclusions of discrepancy
between model predictions and measurements of the relative rate of warming of different levels of the atmosphere over the tropics, this paper is being touted by the deniers as showing that the
models are
wrong to predict any warming at all, and that predictions of future warming and climate change can be entirely discounted.
If the
models don't reflect such differences in radiation balance
between the hemispheres, then there is something
wrong with the
models... But globally, the oceans are warming (much) faster in the NH than in the SH...
Nevertheless I say again that I'd like to see someone of stature in science or someone of high visibility in the national media challenge Professor Happer specifically about the contrast
between the very headline on his WSJ op - ed («Global warming
models are
wrong again») and what's asserted by this RC posting (and by Lazarus @ 31) about the retrospective reliability of Hansen et al. (1981).
Marco @ 47: I see what you mean about the general relevance and importance of the posting that you cited, but I'd still like to see someone of stature in science or someone of high visibility in the national media challenge Professor Happer specifically about the contrast
between the very headline on his WSJ op - ed («Global warming
models are
wrong again») and what's asserted by this RC posting (and by Lazarus @ 31) about the retrospective reliability of Hansen et al. (1981).
«My point (summarized well by Steve) is that Hansen got it very
wrong on the relationship
between the human emissions and the climate;» He was
modelling forcings and climate.
If it's unfair to blame the blame the
model for differences
between actual and projected if the GHG projections are
wrong, then it i equally unfair to credit the
model with «success» if it gets a «right» answer using
wrong GHG projections.
Generally when there's an accusation of over-fitting a
model, it's to the effect that a substantial fix has been done to adjust for a discrepancy
between data and the
model without first looking to the theory to see what went
wrong.
I'm surprised that scientist are ignoring satellite reconstruction with higher tropical trends compared to regularly updated uah, rss timeseries; indeed if Zou et al. approach turn out to be correct not only the discrepancy
between satellite reconstruction and
models does not exist but even papers like Klotzbach et al. claiming that the discrepancy is due to biases in the surface temperature record would be
wrong.
(Transient Climate Response is predicated on a fixed CAGR of 1 % a year over 70 years, a rate midway
between the current rate and that of the Hofmann
model for 2100, which asymptotes centuries hence to 2.155 % for the obvious reason, bearing in mind that all
models are
wrong especially when extrapolated far enough.)
Models can not be
wrong as they only «project» and not «predict»; apparently the meanings are quite different and only morons outside of Climate Science can not understand the difference
between the two.
This stock / (yearly absorption) analysis avoids all the pitfalls of the assumed equilibrium
between absorption and out - gassing that is postulated by all the compartment
models with constant inputs and outputs that lead to a set of linear equation and by Laplace transform to expressions like the Bern or Hamburg formulas; there is no equilibrium because as said more CO2 implies more green plants eating more and so on; the references in note 19 show even James Hansen and Francey (figure 17 F) admits (now) that their carbon cycle is
wrong!
I simply asked questions here and don't see any statements that could easily become «
wrong» — the boxplots and commentary on discrepancy
between models and observations is simply summarizing data and won't change.
``... there are interesting inconsistencies
between models and observations that do not necessarily show that the
models are
WRONG!!!
To think that all apparent mismatches
between observations and
models must be because the
model is
wrong is foolish (as would be the converse).
A recent paper by Lindzen and Choi in GRL (2009)(LC09) purported to demonstrate that climate had a strong negative feedback and that climate
models are quite
wrong in their relationships
between changes in surface temperature and corresponding changes in outgoing radiation escaping to space.
NOAA's State of the Climate report for 2008 said that periods of 15 years or more without warming would indicate a discrepancy
between prediction and observation — i.e., that the
models were
wrong.