The raw daily climate model simulation results were bias corrected according to the ISI - MIP protocol (1, 23), despite known caveats with respect to the use of
bias correction in climate impact studies (24).
Not exact matches
«Given the position
bias for flattening, periodic steepening
corrections should be expected but don't signal a change
in view, but rather a case of ringing the register after which there will attempts to justify the price action with something more cerebral until we revert to flattening.»
(16) These different positions have generally acted
in correction of the
biases present within the other Christian positions.
The investigator, Florence L. Finkle, is leaving less than a month after a damning federal inquiry chronicled assaults on teenage inmates by guards at Rikers, and criticized the division she oversaw as «ineffectual,» «understaffed» and
biased in favor of
correction officers.
It seems the original author — someone King describes as highly cited — had mentioned
in his methods section that he'd applied two statistical
corrections to his data to account for a selection
bias.
This shows up
in Webber's analysis
in the size of the selection -
bias correction and how it changes between cohorts.
This shift has resulted
in a well documented increasing cool
bias over the last several decades and is addressed by applying a
correction to the data.
We demonstrated that a regression - based statistical
correction for the proportion of the students
in each teacher's class that are English - language learners, have education disabilities, are from low - income families, and so forth, wrings most of the
bias out of classroom observations.
Among them are that it is not collected
in the same way from state to state; misses center - based programs that fall outside the licensed provider network; does not incorporate
corrections for sample
bias; and, most critically, does not incorporate information from individual families on their daycare and preschool expenses.
The Jeep's stiff, street -
biased suspension hangs lots of wheels
in the air, sometimes three at once, while all manner of electronic traction control devices apply brake and transmission
corrections for your driving pleasure.
This would imply that the last few years
in ths SST record is
biased a little low — but as I said also, it's probably best to wait and see how this plays out when all the new
corrections are made.
In this case, there has been an identification of a host of small issues (and, in truth, there are always small issues in any complex field) that have involved the fidelity of the observations (the spatial coverage, the corrections for known biases), the fidelity of the models (issues with the forcings, examinations of the variability in ocean vertical transports etc.), and the coherence of the model - data comparison
In this case, there has been an identification of a host of small issues (and,
in truth, there are always small issues in any complex field) that have involved the fidelity of the observations (the spatial coverage, the corrections for known biases), the fidelity of the models (issues with the forcings, examinations of the variability in ocean vertical transports etc.), and the coherence of the model - data comparison
in truth, there are always small issues
in any complex field) that have involved the fidelity of the observations (the spatial coverage, the corrections for known biases), the fidelity of the models (issues with the forcings, examinations of the variability in ocean vertical transports etc.), and the coherence of the model - data comparison
in any complex field) that have involved the fidelity of the observations (the spatial coverage, the
corrections for known
biases), the fidelity of the models (issues with the forcings, examinations of the variability
in ocean vertical transports etc.), and the coherence of the model - data comparison
in ocean vertical transports etc.), and the coherence of the model - data comparisons.
HadSST3 not only greatly expands the amount of raw data processed, it makes some important improvements
in how the uncertainties are dealt with and has a more Bayesian probabilistic treatment of the necessary
bias corrections.
The relevant passage from Karl et al seems to be: «
In essence, the
bias correction involved calculating the average difference between collocated buoy and ship SSTs.
The ``... uneven spatial distribution, many missing data points, and a large number of non-climatic
biases varying
in time and space» all contribute inaccuracies to to the global temperature record — as do errors
in orbital decay
corrections, limb -
corrections, diurnal
corrections, and hot - target
corrections, all of which rely on measurements (+ - inherent errors),
in the satellite temperature records.
In contrast, the only interval in the GISS or NCDC global time series that looks odd is during the WWII years between 1941 and 1945, where it appears that all the temperatures have a warming bias of 0.1 C. I agree with J.J.Kennedy that it is an artificial shift based on war - time procedures, but I think the corrections that Hadley made post-WWII were questionabl
In contrast, the only interval
in the GISS or NCDC global time series that looks odd is during the WWII years between 1941 and 1945, where it appears that all the temperatures have a warming bias of 0.1 C. I agree with J.J.Kennedy that it is an artificial shift based on war - time procedures, but I think the corrections that Hadley made post-WWII were questionabl
in the GISS or NCDC global time series that looks odd is during the WWII years between 1941 and 1945, where it appears that all the temperatures have a warming
bias of 0.1 C. I agree with J.J.Kennedy that it is an artificial shift based on war - time procedures, but I think the
corrections that Hadley made post-WWII were questionable.
They managed to avoid
bias in their data selection, homogenization and other
corrections.
Another demonstration that the
corrections are sufficient is that over the continental US, where many cities have a clear urban heating signal, the mean of the corrected data is actually rather flat (p88)-- i.e. none of the strong urban
biases in the US has made it into the regional or indeed global mean.
Progress
in the longer term depends on identifying and correcting model
biases, accumulating as complete a set of historic observations as possible, and developing improved methods of detection and
correction of observational
biases.»
The results over time may vary as a function of a) the input data (which change due to
corrections, increasing archived data, changes
in homogeneity adjustments,
bias corrections etc. made by others — including the National Met Services), b) the method (all of which are documented
in the various papers).
The gridded field is produced from ship and buoy sea surface temperatures
in the ICOADS release 2.5 data set (29) using
bias correction and Empirical Orthogonal Teleconnection methodologies as described
in (13).
Since there's almost no intellectual diversity, and no
bias -
correction procedures, one ideology has become embedded
in ostensibly scientific research — sometimes invalidating that research
in surprising ways.
If so, then the order stations are evaluated may matter, and it may also introduce a
bias — the first corrected station would
bias it's neighbours
in the direction of it's
correction relative to it's own
correction.
I am not competent to judge the correctness of the HadSST3
bias corrections: That is a discussion which will take place
in the peer - reviewed literature over the next few years.
A comparison of HadSST2 with the NCDC temperature data, and of the unadjusted HadSST3 (i.e. without the new
bias corrections) with NCDC using only common coverage ocean cells is shown
in right panel of Figure 2.
So what we are all studying is the Anomaly = (Raw data = «local signal» + «local contamination
bias and error» + recording error) +
Corrections for what is known + error
in corrections +
bias in corrections.
In the context of parametric uncertainty for the bias corrections, the determination of uncertainty is associated with a number of underlying assumptions that are uncertain in themselve
In the context of parametric uncertainty for the
bias corrections, the determination of uncertainty is associated with a number of underlying assumptions that are uncertain
in themselve
in themselves.
These changes have resulted
in a time - dependent
bias in the global SST record, and various
corrections have been developed to account for the
bias (18).
The ICESat
bias corrections used by the Zwally team were appropriate for measuring sea ice, but not for measuring high altitude land - base ice sheets like found
in Antarctica (the values returned for Lake Vostok alone were so unphysical that they should have made the entire study DOA) 2.
This again points out a glitch
in the «
bias corrections».
In essence, the
bias correction involved calculating the average difference between collocated buoy and ship SSTs.
Satellite soundings generally need
bias correction - although one or two upper stratospheric channels have to be taken as reference channels
in order to constrain the problem.
So, the next step will be to revisit the SST
bias corrections and refine them, making use of the new information uncovered concerning national measurement practices and new analysis techniques that allow for more accurate
corrections in areas and at times where there are few data.
Even with these
bias corrections, the event falls outside the simulated distribution (as
in the Weather@Home ensemble), with a return time of more than a few thousand years.
This shift has resulted
in a well documented increasing cool
bias over the last several decades and is addressed by applying a
correction to the data.
The
bias correction procedure was changed and this resulted
in different SST anomalies and different trends during the last 15 + years relative to ERSST version 3.
In next steps we will compare results at a coarser scale (e.g. 5 °) to reduce the inuence of bias correction on results and also separate into small and large scale explicitly as in Di Luca et al. (2013
In next steps we will compare results at a coarser scale (e.g. 5 °) to reduce the inuence of
bias correction on results and also separate into small and large scale explicitly as
in Di Luca et al. (2013
in Di Luca et al. (2013).
In locations where the difference between observations and RCMs is large,
bias correction tends to inflate the magnitude of projected extremes.
Given that
biases in buckets measurements depend on the air - sea temperature difference any more detailed
corrections would involve using both MAT and SST together.
First, a
bias correction algorithm, quantile delta mapping (QDM), that explicitly preserves relative changes
in precipitation quantiles is presented.
The also say that: «When we do not adjust NMAT as discussed
in section 2, our computed 1854 - 1941
bias correction is about constant».
Regarding Smith and Reynolds, the first quote
in full was «Thus, for part of the nineteenth century our
bias corrections will be influenced by the Folland and Parker (1995)
corrections.»
Quantile mapping
bias correction algorithms are commonly used to correct systematic distributional
biases in precipitation outputs from climate models.
When Folland and Parker's
correction is adopted to the historical SST data, the systematic
biases in monthly mean SST anomalies have been corrected almost perfectly at three stations, and the
biases at the other two stations have been reduced by 40 - 50 %.»
If a
bias correction is made which applies to all the measurements
in a particular month, the the resulting uncertainty
in the global temperature will be just as big as the corresponding uncertainty
in any individual cell.
This test does not prove anything except that you have made significant structural changes to the climate data
in applying the
bias correction (irrespective of whether it is a good or bad one).
The other quote «When we do not adjust NMAT as discussed
in section 2, our computed 1854 - 1941
bias correction is about constant» is interesting and perhaps more interesting again
in full:
I also note that there is a brief period from 1910 - 1925 when the
bias correction is
in to opposite direction to the tendency
in ICOADS.
In climate: On the need for
bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation Jens.
It was the fact that the multitude of adjustments for supposed
biases just happened to generate a
correction that was very close
in form to the long term variation
in the signal.