The Prime Minster has called for a snap election while she enjoys
the biggest poll lead of any Conservative leader since Margaret Thatcher.
Mike Smithson of PB.com noted early on that phenomon now called «Smithson's rule», the more that David Cameron is in the news
the bigger the poll lead.
Not exact matches
According to the latest
polls Esquerra will get the
biggest share of the vote in the region, 20.5 per cent, narrowly
leading Junts per Catalunya, the new name for the party
led by Puigdemont, on 19.3 per cent.
People failing to turn out as they've indicated they will... perhaps due to weather (though it's fairly unlikely this was a
big factor in this election), a false sense of security (such as when the
polls in the days
leading up to and into election day suggest a comfortable victory!)
Mr Sanders holds a
big lead in
polls in New Hampshire, which borders the state where he is a senator, Vermont.
From Public Policy
Polling: Trump
Lead Grows Nationally; 41 % of His Voters Want to Bomb Country From Aladdin; Clinton Maintains
Big Lead
But the average of the final
polls in 2015 had Labour a couple of points higher than Labour are now, and the eventual Conservative
lead in 2015 was 7 points
bigger than it was in the final
polls.
A movement of that size is rather
bigger than would normally be expected to occur as a result of the chance fluctuations to which all
polls are subject, though we might still want to suspend our judgement and await further
polling evidence before presuming that the SNP's
lead has actually grown.
The betting markets are still expecting a
bigger Conservative
lead than the
polls are showing, and this is clearly not because they are just over-reacting to the most recent information.
Monday's Siena
poll shows Governor Cuomo with a
big lead over Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino.
The «no» camp had the
bigger reason to cheer as the most up to date
polling figures came out with an ICM survey for the Guardian giving them a 16 - point
lead.
Cameron was able to ride roughshod over criticisms of his strategy when he enjoyed
big opinion
poll leads but his election campaign changed that.
Regardless of how
big a
lead Labour has in the
polls — and trust me that
lead is not nearly as
big as it should be at this stage of a Parliament — Ed Miliband and Ed Balls still trail David Cameron and George Osborne when it comes to the question of economic competency.
A new
poll says New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo is maintaining a
big lead over Cynthia Nixon among state Democrats — though the «Sex and the City» actress is gaining slightly on the two - term incumbent.
O'Brien now
leads Hanna 50 - 39 — a
big gain over his showing in last month's Siena
poll, in which he trailed Hanna by eight percentage points.
Continue reading «Stephan Shakespeare: Miliband needs a
bigger lead in opinion
polls.
As our exclusive NY1 / Baruch College City
Poll finds, de Blasio is still enjoying a
big lead — but not as
big as he had just a few weeks ago.
Labour have a good
lead in the
polls and my expectation is that it will get
bigger in the coming months, Ed Miliband has the strategic choice of whether to gamble on the coalition remaining unpopular and just hammering away at the cuts and reaping the rewards of opposing them, or using the luxury of a
poll lead to reposition Labour to a more opportune position should the economy improve and the cuts not be a disaster.
Gibson has
big leads in every important category:
polling, money, name ID, and ballot lines.
Changes are from the last ComRes
poll conducted on the telephone at the beginning of January, and show no significant change beyond the margin of error — though, for the record, this the
biggest Labour
lead ComRes have recorded since the general election.
Daniel Perez has a
big lead over Jose Mallea, at least according to one
poll of House District 116 voters.
More than a month into the race, Cuomo, according to a Siena College
poll last week, maintained a
big lead over Nixon, though it was slipping.
Sterling suffered its
biggest one - day fall in over a year when news of Sunday's YouGov
poll broke, putting «Yes» in the
lead.
A recent Ipsos Mori
poll showed the Tories taking their
biggest lead over Labour since records began on the question of which party has the best top team.
The usual health warnings apply, and it must be pointed out that another
poll last week gave the In camp an even
bigger lead, but it does show the volatility of the debate even before the campaign has got underway.
This comes on top of a Survation
poll for the Mail on Sunday that gave Nigel Farage's party an even
bigger 44 - point
lead.
In the second Quinnipiac
poll, on August 14, when Spitzer went out to a
big lead, he increased his margin among black voters, but that advantage was magnified by the
poll's black - turnout projection, which went up in the second
poll, it was 35 percent.
A new
poll released Monday shows New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo holding
big leads over two potential Republican challengers and celebrity Cynthia Nixon, who re
The
poll shows that Maffei has a
bigger edge with Democrats than Katko has with Republicans, but that Katko has a seven - point
lead with independents.
They expect
big Labour
leads in the opinion
polls within a few months but, as of tomorrow, they are also glad to finally have a Labour leader in place.
The Guardian reports: «A former minister and fiction writer, Alvarado Quesada, 38, had 61 % of the vote with results in from 95 % of
polling stations, a far
bigger lead than predicted by opinion
polls that foresaw a tight race.»
The
big name endorsement comes as a
poll commissioned by the NRCC shows Doheny with a commanding
lead over Owens now that Conservative Doug Hoffman dropped out of the race.
The latest Emerson College
poll gives Donald Trump a
big lead, but it shows John Kasich only getting 1 % of the vote.
As an exclusive NY1 / Baruch College City
Poll finds, de Blasio is still enjoying a
big lead — but not as
big as he had just a few weeks ago.
A recent
poll shows Cuomo continuing to hold a
big lead over Astorino.
DE BLASIO»S
BIG LEAD: A new Siena poll confirms that Bill de Blasio has a 68 - 23 lead over Republican Joe Lhota, which would make for a win of historic proporti
LEAD: A new Siena
poll confirms that Bill de Blasio has a 68 - 23
lead over Republican Joe Lhota, which would make for a win of historic proporti
lead over Republican Joe Lhota, which would make for a win of historic proportions.
The
polling firms now showing the
biggest Tory
leads are betting that these voters don't turn out on the day; the firms showing the tightest
leads are convinced that they will.
I always urge some amount of caution with great
big shifts in support, but in this case we have already seen Labour increasing their support into the mid 30s and the Lib Dems dropping into the mid-teens with YouGov's daily
polling, so while it's not to the same degree (this is the smallest Conservative
lead any
poll since the election has shown), the trends are in the same direction.
De Blasio maintained
big leads in the
polls throughout his campaign.
The party conference season traditionally produces boosts for each of three political parties in turn as they benefit from media coverage from their own conference, so while the first
poll lead for the Labour party in 3 years is likely to be a
big morale boost for the party, past experience suggests the Conservatives will move back ahead when they receive a boost from their own party conference in a week's time.
Although the latest NBC / Wall Street Journal
poll showed
big leads for Donald Trump and Todd Young in their respective races, it also showed that incumbent...
Twitter inevitably sees lots of comments about how Labour has a great
big lead in the marginals that count, or Labour might be neck - and - neck nationally but they have a
big lead in the important marginals — seemingly oblivious to the fact that the topline results and what they mean depends entirely on which marginals you are
polling.
ALBANY, N.Y. (CBSNewYork / AP)-- A new
poll shows Democrat Andrew Cuomo continues to hold a
big lead over Republican challenger Rob Astorino in New York's governor's race
The Democratic
leads in 12 of the districts
polled puts them in position for a
big win next week.
Once the Coalition Government's cuts start to bite Labour can probably look forward to
big leads in mid-terms
polls, but underneath that our
poll suggests image problems the new leader will need to address.
The
big story in this primary race today was not the vote counting, but the fact that Rangel allies (
led by Keith Wright) met with BOE officials on June 23rd to discuss the location and placement of
poll workers prior to the election.
The Times has a new Populus
poll of the London mayoral election, which gives Boris Johnson his
biggest lead so far.
The
biggest surprise was health — normally it is a rock solid Labour issue, but today's
poll found only a 1 point
lead for Labour on which party would best handle the issue (26 % Labour, 25 % Tories).
If the 25 - point
lead over Labour continued on
polling day it could give Theresa May a
bigger landslide than Tony Blair in 1997.
Their breakfast was reportedly spoiled by a YouGov
poll showing that the No campaign in the independence referendum had lost the
big 20 - point
lead they had enjoyed for much of last year.