Standard and Poor's put the U.S. corporate
bond default rate at about 2.5 % in March 2012.
Rieger, James & Cling T. January 2015 Fixed Income Update: The U.S. Municipal
Bond Default Rate Hits 3 - Year High in 2014: 0.17 %
Based on the index data, the high - yield municipal
bond default rate also jumped from 0.807 % to 1.264 % in 2014.
In comparison, according to Standard & Poor's Ratings Services Global Fixed Income Research estimates, the 2014 U.S. speculative - grade corporate
bond default rate was 1.52 %.
By keeping bonds in the benchmark even when a default occurs, the index has become a living timeline, allowing us to track the municipal
bond default rate.
NEW YORK, Aug 14 (Reuters)- The global junk
bond default rate rose to 1.79 percent in July from 1.44 percent in June as U.S. financial and real estate firms struggled to keep up with debt payments, Standard & Poor's said on Thursday.
Despite highly publicized defaults such as Puerto Rico and Detroit, the municipal
bond default rate remains low.
With rising
bond default rates and the lowest Treasury yields in more than a generation, investors would be wise to reconsider long - term bank time deposits as a way to earn safe returns in excess of money market yields.
Not exact matches
This «recent stream of
defaults» pushed the
default rate of junk -
rated bonds in the US to 3.9 % for the trailing 12 - month period ended in March, up from 3.4 % in December.
This caused the
default rate for broadcast & media junk
bonds to spike to 20 %, from 3.7 %, and it caused the
default rate for leveraged loans in the sector to spike to 16 %, according to Fitch
Ratings, which added soothingly:
While Venezuela has kept current on its
bond payments, it has paid some coupons late, leading
ratings agencies to declare a selective
default and keeping creditors guessing.
Not only isn't there anywhere near enough bank capital in the US to supplant securitization, it is difficult to conceive that the universe of «
rates» buyers will become mortgage credit buyers or move over to covered
bonds (which
default to the issuing bank's credit
ratings), at least not at the same price levels and in the same size.
China may witness its first local government
bond defaults, although the timing was uncertain, Fitch
Ratings said in a press release issued on Sunday, amid persistent concerns over high debt levels in the world second largest economy.
Government
bonds could help reduce
default risk, but because of the length of maturity required to earn any meaningful yield, they do little to reduce duration risk - i.e. the overall sensitivity of a portfolio to interest
rate rises.
You're still dealing with all of the same
bond risks as every other investor when you buy individual
bonds — interest
rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, duration risk,
default risk, etc..
If interest
rates rise
bond funds get slammed and you'll be a loser (it has happened to me before, ouch)... but if you hold the
bond nothing (other than the scenario of a
default) happens & your principle is returned.
Tax cuts on wealth are promoted as if they will be invested rather than used to pay the financial sector more interest or be gambled on currencies and exchange
rates, interest
rates, stock and
bond prices, credit
default swaps and kindred derivatives.
Main risks: Rising interest
rates could push
bond prices down, and the
bond's issuer could
default.
ST gov» t
bonds offer you the safest investment from a
default risk perspective, but you earn a lower
rate of interest on them.
Bonds are subject to market, interest -
rate, price, credit /
default, call, liquidity, inflation, and other risks.
Although
bonds generally present less short - term risk and volatility than stocks,
bonds do contain interest
rate risk (as interest
rates rise,
bond prices usually fall, and vice versa) and the risk of
default, or the risk that an issuer will be unable to make income or principal payments.
Fixed income investments entail interest
rate risk (as interest
rates rise
bond prices usually fall), the risk of issuer
default, issuer credit risk and inflation risk.
Advice: Because
bonds with longer maturity face greater risk of changing interest
rates (and greater
default risk, as...
High - yield
bonds represented by the Bloomberg Barclays High Yield 2 % Issuer Capped Index, comprising issues that have at least $ 150 million par value outstanding, a maximum credit
rating of Ba1 or BB + (including
defaulted issues) and at least one year to maturity.
It will be interesting to see how existing muni
bonds default on their agreed upon interest
rates.
Advice: Because
bonds with longer maturity face greater risk of changing interest
rates (and greater
default risk, as well), they typically pay higher interest
rates.
The
default rate on double and triple A muni
bonds has been 0.1 %.
Consider these risks before investing: The value of securities in the fund's portfolio may fall or fail to rise over extended periods of time for a variety of reasons, including general financial market conditions, changing market perceptions, changes in government intervention in the financial markets, and factors related to a specific issuer, industry, or sector and, in the case of
bonds, perceptions about the risk of
default and expectations about changes in monetary policy or interest
rates.
Because credit and
default risk are the dominant drivers of valuations of high yield
bonds, changes in market interest
rates are relatively less important.
Bonds are subject to market, interest
rate, price, credit /
default, liquidity, inflation and other risks.
Moody's data shows that
bonds rated Ba had a 1.17 % probability of
defaulting within a year, whereas more speculative
bonds rated Caa — C, had a one - year
default probability of more than 17 %.
Eliminating Puerto Rico's debts could raise interest
rates on
bonds to insulate against potential
defaults, and subsequent debt elimination, on municipal
bonds.
Floating -
rate loans» low credit
ratings indicate greater potential risk of
default relative to investment - grade
bonds (though
default rates for floating -
rate loans historically have been lower than on high - yield
bonds).
Spreads between corporate
bond yields and swap
rates and the premia on credit
default swaps have fallen slightly over the period, and are very low by historical standards (Graph 44).
Highly
rated companies that are financially strong and have massive amounts of cash on their balance sheets — think Microsoft, Exxon, etc. — can typically offer
bonds with lower yields since investors are confident that the companies won't
default (i.e., miss interest or principal payments).
Investors should keep in mind that
bonds are subject to risks, including market, inflation, interest
rate and
default, among others.
Investments in high - yield («junk»)
bonds involve greater risk of price volatility, illiquidity, and
default than higher -
rated debt securities.
Between 1970 and 2014, not a single Aaa -
rated muni
defaulted, while Aa and A-
rated bonds — the kinds NEARX heavily invests in — were highly unlikely to
default.
Although he says he is not sure whether the market will suffer $ 10 billion or $ 30 billion in
defaults, he is certain that there will be a panic at the margin, and Muni
bonds from the highest -
rated on down will fall, in part because other investors tend not to step to invest.
The Venezuelan government and its state - run oil company, PDVSA, both
defaulted on certain
bonds in November, according to
ratings agencies.
Bond investments are subject to interest - rate risk (the risk of bond prices falling if interest rates rise) and credit risk (the risk of an issuer defaulting on interest or principal paymen
Bond investments are subject to interest -
rate risk (the risk of
bond prices falling if interest rates rise) and credit risk (the risk of an issuer defaulting on interest or principal paymen
bond prices falling if interest
rates rise) and credit risk (the risk of an issuer
defaulting on interest or principal payments).
Readers have no doubt noticed that numerous inter-market correlations seem to have been suspended lately, and that many things are happening that superficially seem to make little sense (e.g. falling junk
bond yields while
defaults are surging; the yen rising since the BoJ adopted negative
rates; stocks rising amid a persistent decline in earnings growth;
bonds, gold and stocks moving in unison, etc., etc.).
LB: With the
default rate on municipal
bonds being so low, is the benefit of diversification worth 100 BPS (1.0 %) in fees?
You can see that munis»
default rate is near - zero and that Aaa -
rated bonds don't even register.
Bonds and
bond funds are subject to credit risk,
default risk, and interest
rate risk and may decline in value as interest
rates rise.
High - yield corporate
bonds are
rated below investment grade and are subject to greater risk of
default, which could result in loss of principal — a risk that may be heightened in a slowing economy.
The announcement comes as Venezuela faces acute financing problems after creditors and
ratings agencies declared the government and state - run oil firm PDVSA to be in partial
default for missing interest and principle payments on
bonds.
These
bonds offer higher yields but are coupled with a higher risk of
default, as signified by these companies» lower credit
ratings.
Holding an individual
bond to maturity will result in the return of principal (assuming the
bond issuer doesn't
default), but those nominal dollars will be worth less with inflation and during periods of higher interest
rates.
These
bonds are issued by less - creditworthy companies that carry a higher risk of
default than better -
rated issuers.