In addition, he represents financial institutions and other plaintiffs and defendants in related complex commercial litigation and
bond defaults in federal and state court, and bankruptcy appeals.
2) We will see rising junk
bond defaults in 2009.
As oil prices have fallen, defaults in the sector have risen — about a quarter of all corporate
bond defaults in 2015 were energy related, according to Moody's — and that's made traders even more reluctant to buy.
According to WIND data, over 60
bonds defaulted in 2016, with the affected sectors including land development, mining, steel - iron, and oil & gas.
Not exact matches
When you own a
bond mutual fund, you don't actually own a
bond — which will continue to pay a coupon so long as the issuer isn't
in default — you just own a share of the fund, which is comprised of lots of
bonds and sometimes other things.
This «recent stream of
defaults» pushed the
default rate of junk - rated
bonds in the US to 3.9 % for the trailing 12 - month period ended
in March, up from 3.4 %
in December.
This caused the
default rate for broadcast & media junk
bonds to spike to 20 %, from 3.7 %, and it caused the
default rate for leveraged loans
in the sector to spike to 16 %, according to Fitch Ratings, which added soothingly:
The company had a net loss of 10 million yuan (US$ 1.57 million)
in the first half of last year, a
bond default this year, and it has racked up debts of at least 3 billion yuan.
Although no state has
defaulted on general obligation
bonds in over 80 years, the 19 th century witnessed numerous instances
in which states - and the Florida territory -
defaulted on their debts or even repudiated them outright.
Not only isn't there anywhere near enough bank capital
in the US to supplant securitization, it is difficult to conceive that the universe of «rates» buyers will become mortgage credit buyers or move over to covered
bonds (which
default to the issuing bank's credit ratings), at least not at the same price levels and
in the same size.
«There's no question the
bond markets would be unhappy if a bankruptcy law were passed, but they're already starting to price
in the prospect of a
default,» Skeel tells me.
China may witness its first local government
bond defaults, although the timing was uncertain, Fitch Ratings said
in a press release issued on Sunday, amid persistent concerns over high debt levels
in the world second largest economy.
The Armageddon
default would also likely temporarily decouple trends
in U.S. and Canadian
bond yields, which historically tend to move closely.
Daniel Hanson, an analyst for Height Securities, told Morning Consult that the current
default likely won't have a major effect on the municipal
bond market because its effects were already «priced
in» ahead of time.
Adding even more uncertainty, Valeant also revealed that it faces a risk of
default if it is unable to file its 10 - K with the SEC by April 29, which would break its reporting covenant
in its
bond indentures.
The option to hold a
bond to maturity and «get your money back» (let's assume no
default risk, you know, like we used to assume for US government
bonds) is, apparently, greatly valued by many but is
in reality valueless.
Debt covenants may soon become just another issue
in the already long list if Valeant
defaults on its
bond indentures.
The fund can purchase securities of any credit quality, including those
in default, but it will primarily invest
in investment - grade debt, with no more than 20 % of the portfolio invested
in junk
bonds.
Furthermore, investors are now starting to become more wary of
bonds and concerned about
defaults in the future.
Still,
defaults on
bonds or other forms of non-bank debt typically don't end up
in bankruptcy.
There's a
default setting
in people's minds that
bonds always underperform stocks or never return much.
If the company's underlying stock decreases
in value, an investor can still hold onto the convertible
bond and receive the
bond's par value at maturity, as long as the issuer does not
default.
Without debt restructuring, Puerto Rico will be forced to
default as it faces nearly $ 2.5 billion
in bond payments from May through July, government officials have said.
The Obama Administration's Wall Street managers have kept the debt overhead
in place — toxic mortgage debt, junk
bonds, and most seriously, the novel web of collateralized debt obligations (CDO), credit
default swaps (almost monopolized by A.I.G.) and kindred financial derivatives of a basically mathematical character that have developed
in the 1990s and early 2000s.
If a
bond issuer fails to make either a coupon or principal payment when they are due, or fails to meet some other provision of the
bond indenture, it is said to be
in default.
Consider these risks before investing: The value of securities
in the fund's portfolio may fall or fail to rise over extended periods of time for a variety of reasons, including general financial market conditions, changing market perceptions, changes
in government intervention
in the financial markets, and factors related to a specific issuer, industry, or sector and,
in the case of
bonds, perceptions about the risk of
default and expectations about changes
in monetary policy or interest rates.
Either you raise adequate tax revenue, or you denominate the debt
in long - term
bonds and devalue them through inflation, or you
default, or you violate the social contract made with those who don't hold paper claims (e.g. Social Security beneficiaries)
in preference for those who do.
A crash
in the
bond market would put the US into
default because its ability to borrow and roll over its debt would be gone.
Because credit and
default risk are the dominant drivers of valuations of high yield
bonds, changes
in market interest rates are relatively less important.
As discussed on its March 15, 2016 preliminary earnings call, Valeant could receive a notice of
default under its
bond indentures as a result of the delay
in filing its Form 10 - K for the year ended December 31, 2015.
Credit Risk: Investors that are chasing yield
in lower qualiity
bonds are doing so by increasing their credit or
default risk.
The big topic here is that if Treasuries are doomed to fall, we can expect weaker
bonds to be put under increasing stress, leading to events that coukd serve as a catalyst for
defaults and repricing
in the broader asset class.
Junk
bonds, for instance, are producing a less than pulse - quickening yield of 6 % which, adjusted for
defaults (likely to explode during the next recession), isn't worth the risk — save
in a few special situations.
The way to make money
in high yield
bonds over the long term is to try to avoid as many of the eventual
defaults as possible.
The resulting deregulated and unregulated institutions have brought us one financial crises after another — the savings and loan scandal, the bubble and bust
in Real Estate Investment Trusts, the collapse of the hedge fund, Long Term Capital Management, which threatened to set off a daisy chain of
bond defaults, and more.
Invest
in high enough quality
bonds and the risk of
default is next to zero.
12-10-2010 Resignation of Chairman 11-10-2010 Caledonia Mining Announces Third Quarter 2010 Results 10-21-2010 Caledonia Mining Announces the Commissioning of the No. 4 Shaft Project 08-26-2010 Caledonia Mining Announces the Completion of the Underground Installations on the No. 4 Shaft Project 08-18-2010 Caledonia Option Exercise Prices Reduction Becomes Effective 08-12-2010 Caledonia Mining 2010 Second Quarter and Half Year Results and Management Conference Call 06-14-2010 Caledonia Commissions the First Standby Generator at Blanket Gold Mine
in Zimbabwe 05-14-2010 Caledonia Mining First Quarter 2010 Results 05-06-2010 Caledonia Installing a Standby Generator at Blanket Gold Mine
in Zimbabwe 03-31-2010 Caledonia Mining 2009 Fourth Quarter and Annual Results and Management Conference Call 02-12-2010 Government of Zimbabwe sets out Regulations for Indigenisation 01-29-2010 Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe
Defaults on
Bond Repayment to Caledonia Mining and update on timeline for completion of No. 4 Shaft Expansion
Investors should keep
in mind that
bonds are subject to risks, including market, inflation, interest rate and
default, among others.
The surreal scene, playing out
in a squat concrete building at the park on the outskirts of Buenos Aires, is the latest twist
in the long - running battle between Fernandez's administration and investors that refused to settle after the country's 2001
bond default.
Investments
in high - yield («junk»)
bonds involve greater risk of price volatility, illiquidity, and
default than higher - rated debt securities.
Between 1970 and 2014, not a single Aaa - rated muni
defaulted, while Aa and A-rated
bonds — the kinds NEARX heavily invests
in — were highly unlikely to
default.
The
default assumptions for comparing the harvesting strategies are 60:40 equity
bonds, 30 year retirement and portfolios of
bonds in intermediate (not short) term treasuries and stock
in 70 % total market and 10 % each
in small company, small value and large value.
Although he says he is not sure whether the market will suffer $ 10 billion or $ 30 billion
in defaults, he is certain that there will be a panic at the margin, and Muni
bonds from the highest - rated on down will fall,
in part because other investors tend not to step to invest.
The Venezuelan government and its state - run oil company, PDVSA, both
defaulted on certain
bonds in November, according to ratings agencies.
Readers have no doubt noticed that numerous inter-market correlations seem to have been suspended lately, and that many things are happening that superficially seem to make little sense (e.g. falling junk
bond yields while
defaults are surging; the yen rising since the BoJ adopted negative rates; stocks rising amid a persistent decline
in earnings growth;
bonds, gold and stocks moving
in unison, etc., etc.).
As individuals normally hold far fewer
bonds in their portfolio than
bond mutual funds, the chances that a
default will result
in a large loss for the investor are generally higher for those investing
in individual
bonds.
The basic point here is that by focusing on declining credit quality you put yourself
in a position to sell a
bond long before any potential
default.
LB: With the
default rate on municipal
bonds being so low, is the benefit of diversification worth 100 BPS (1.0 %)
in fees?
While
defaults are rare
in the municipal
bond market (less than half of 1 percent) they do happen.
After more than 15 years
in technical
default, Argentina re-entered the credit markets
in April 2016 with a
bond offering that was oversubscribed multiple times.