Further, a widening of U.S. corporate
bond spreads in the last couple of months has been an impending warning for equity markets.
«All this is likely to cause wider and more volatile government
bond spreads in the coming weeks / months.
Not exact matches
Bond yields were mixed and credit spreads narrowed further: Weekly BAA commercial bond rates were not reported this week, presumably due to closures in the financial mark
Bond yields were mixed and credit
spreads narrowed further: Weekly BAA commercial
bond rates were not reported this week, presumably due to closures in the financial mark
bond rates were not reported this week, presumably due to closures
in the financial markets.
But, what typically happens
in this cycle, is interest rates start to accelerate, leading credit
spreads — essentially the gap between how much more of a return
bonds provide compared with US treasuries — to compress.
Portugal has been profiting from lower
bond yields, but as the ECB is expected to gradually lower its government
bonds purchases, yields and
spreads are expected to rise, which could hamper the improvement
in government finances.
Third,
in my judgement the credit
spread between government and corporate
bonds is very low.
In this regard, our surveillance has been closely monitoring for any signs of liquidity strains associated with the recent increases in spreads for high - yield corporate bonds, as well as for idiosyncratic events affecting particular funds in this segment, such as the events surrounding the abrupt closing of Third Avenue Management's Focused Credit Fund last Decembe
In this regard, our surveillance has been closely monitoring for any signs of liquidity strains associated with the recent increases
in spreads for high - yield corporate bonds, as well as for idiosyncratic events affecting particular funds in this segment, such as the events surrounding the abrupt closing of Third Avenue Management's Focused Credit Fund last Decembe
in spreads for high - yield corporate
bonds, as well as for idiosyncratic events affecting particular funds
in this segment, such as the events surrounding the abrupt closing of Third Avenue Management's Focused Credit Fund last Decembe
in this segment, such as the events surrounding the abrupt closing of Third Avenue Management's Focused Credit Fund last December.
The yield gap between U.S. 5 - year notes and 30 - year
bonds narrowed to 27.20 basis points, the tightest
spread in more than six years.
Bonds due
in 2018 and won by BofA were «aggressively» priced with a 1.64 percent yield that narrowed Illinois»
spread over Municipal Market Data's benchmark triple - A yield curve to 70 basis points from 100 basis points ahead of the sale, Greg Saulnier, a MMD analyst, said.
BofA won
bonds due
in 2029 with a yield of 3.78 percent, which slightly increased the
spread over the scale to 165 basis points from 163 basis points, according to MMD, a unit of Thomson Reuters.
Type 3: The value - at - risk (VAR) shock
in Japan
in 2003 occurred when fears
spread that the Bank of Japan, which was already doing QE before it was called QE, would taper its purchases of Japanese Government
Bonds.
Meanwhile, actual and anticipated selling of short - duration
bonds as companies repurpose repatriated cash has led to a widening
in spreads.
So unlike
in the corporate -
bond model, dealers don't deal with compressed position limits by widening
spreads.
It's more expensive to trade
bonds,
in terms of bid - ask
spreads or volatility or the time to get a trade done.
A balanced approach to investing
in bonds is probably the safest way to
spread your interest rates risks and take advantage of changing rates since we won't be able to predict how things will work out.
One of the best economic indicators, the yield curve or the
spread between short and long - term
bonds remains
in positive territory, with the long - term much higher than the short.
Only with
bonds it's even harder to create a diversified portfolio using individual
bonds on your own unless you (a) have a large amount of capital (typically
bonds are sold
in lots of $ 10,000 or $ 100,000) and (b) know how to trade
bonds on the open market (transaction costs can be larger for
bonds than stocks because of the
spreads and lack of liquidity).
In contrast, bond market exposure (in the form of yield curve and spread risk) has played a relatively minor role in driving convertible bond risk and return in the recent past and seems likely to play a minor role in the year ahead, based on our mode
In contrast,
bond market exposure (
in the form of yield curve and spread risk) has played a relatively minor role in driving convertible bond risk and return in the recent past and seems likely to play a minor role in the year ahead, based on our mode
in the form of yield curve and
spread risk) has played a relatively minor role
in driving convertible bond risk and return in the recent past and seems likely to play a minor role in the year ahead, based on our mode
in driving convertible
bond risk and return
in the recent past and seems likely to play a minor role in the year ahead, based on our mode
in the recent past and seems likely to play a minor role
in the year ahead, based on our mode
in the year ahead, based on our model.
This leaves us roughly
in the same position that we started the year, slightly overweight to
spread product, i.e., investment - grade and high - yield corporate
bonds and emerging markets (more recently, we also went back to a slight overweight on commercial mortgage - backed securities).
But it looks like a high probability bet that the
spread between the returns on stocks and
bonds should be wider
in the future than it has been for the past three decades or so.
When
spreads are increasing, it is usually a sign of a selloff
in risky
bonds and buying of Treasuries.
In Europe, we like earning spread in supranational, covered and subordinated financial bond
In Europe, we like earning
spread in supranational, covered and subordinated financial bond
in supranational, covered and subordinated financial
bonds.
Consumer confidence and high yield
bond spreads corroborate the unemployment rate
in suggesting that we are
in the mature stages of the current business cycle.
Spreads (the difference
in price between the bid and offer) are among the most narrow available
in the
bond market.
Fixed income, rising (or falling) yields, junk
bonds, Fed tightening, TIPS,
spreads, mortgage - backed securities — there's no shortage of jargon for this supposedly «boring» investment that most of us own
in our portfolios.
«Liquidity,»
in fact, is THE watchword now
in bond trading — ironic, considering that the U.S. central bank's primary intention has been to boost the flow of cash through financial markets, drive a push toward riskier assets like stocks and corporate credit, and thus generate a wealth effect that would
spread through the economy.
And I agree that it's a good idea to
spread your interest rate risk for
bonds in a laddered portfolio.
We delve into the link between credit
spreads and equity volatility
in our new Fixed income strategy piece Turning stocks into
bonds.
By contrast,
in Australia there has been no noticeable widening of risk
spreads in the corporate
bond market over the past year, and credit has been easily available from intermediaries, with no reports of significant changes
in banks» lending attitudes.
1: Widening credit
spreads: An increase over the past 6 months
in either the
spread between commercial paper and 3 - month Treasury yields, or between the Dow Corporate
Bond Index yield and 10 - year Treasury yields.
That decline
in yields chipped away at the
spread between 2 - year Treasuries US2YT = RR, which yield 2.282 percent, and longer - term
bonds.
Floating - rate * The coupon on a floating - rate corporate
bond changes
in relationship to a predetermined benchmark, such as the
spread above the yield on a six - month Treasury or the price of a commodity.
Intermediate - term
bonds were up an average of more than 7 percent, earning a
spread of more than 37 percent
in outperformance over stocks during a bear market.
What is to stop U.S. banks and their customers from creating $ 1 trillion, $ 10 trillion or even $ 50 trillion on their computer keyboards to buy up all the
bonds and stocks
in the world, along with all the land and other assets for sale,
in the hope of making capital gains and pocketing the arbitrage
spreads by debt leveraging at less than 1 % interest cost?
-- Goethe What is to stop U.S. banks and their customers from creating $ 1 trillion, $ 10 trillion or even $ 50 trillion on their computer keyboards to buy up all the
bonds and stocks
in the world, along with all the land and other assets for sale,
in the hope of making capital gains and pocketing the arbitrage
spreads by debt leveraging at less than 1 % interest cost?
The BofA Merrill Lynch high - yield index is trading at roughly 600 basis points versus government
bonds, but if energy, metals and mining is excluded, it's about 80 basis points less
in terms of
spread.
Meanwhile, bid - ask
spreads in major corporate
bond markets have narrowed sharply
in recent years, but remain somewhat wider than the levels observed immediately before the global financial crisis (Graph 2, right - hand panel).
This is particularly true
in the corporate
bond market where credit
spreads (the gap between treasury and corporate borrowing costs) have remained close to all - time lows.
Takeaway 2:
In talks with people I seriously respect, I found more concern about valuations and spreads in the bond market than about valuations in the stock marke
In talks with people I seriously respect, I found more concern about valuations and
spreads in the bond market than about valuations in the stock marke
in the
bond market than about valuations
in the stock marke
in the stock market.
Here, we take a look at the more recent June «
Bond Market Group» minutes; the main concern was that, despite a functioning JGB market, there has been a notable increase
in bid - ask
spreads and general decrease
in liquidity since the start of aggressive «QQE» last October.
In their October 2017 paper entitled «Value Timing: Risk and Return Across Asset Classes», Fahiz Baba Yara, Martijn Boons and Andrea Tamoni examine the power of value
spreads to predict returns for individual U.S. equities, global stock indexes, global government
bonds, commodities and currencies.
«Yield
spreads over developed market
bonds are reasonable, and the opportunities for adding value are more extensive, although emerging market currencies may need to weaken further
in the short term.»
This led to a substantial tightening of credit
spreads, which made Russian
bonds look expensive compared to their peers
in other emerging markets.
«Should the Portuguese situation continue to deteriorate, risk aversion contagion could quickly
spread to other euro zone member states»
bonds and other asset classes,» Adrian Miller, director of fixed - income strategy at GMP Securities LLC
in New York, wrote
in a note to clients.
And
in CMBS land,
spreads on investment - grade triple - B
bonds surged by 158 basis points between May and June.
The resulting increase
in corporate
bond issuance has pushed up swap
spreads, with the
spread on US 10 - year (bank / government) swaps, for example, recently at its highest level for several years (Graph 7).
This led to quite a sharp narrowing
in the
spread in bond yields between the two countries, from around 130 basis points at the time of the previous Statement to a low of 85 basis points
in early December.
There were six charts — credit
spreads in overseas
bond markets, credit to GDP, credit growth, house prices, banks» impaired assets and risk - weighted capital ratios.
While the low level of credit
spreads in Australia (and
in other major
bond markets) largely reflects favourable trading conditions for corporates, there is evidence that the search for yield has been a contributing factor.
The recent widening of this
spread is, of course, much smaller than was seen
in 1994
in the previous episode of globally rising
bond yields, when the yield on 10 - year
bonds in Australia moved from 1 percentage point to about 3 percentage points above the comparable US yield.