The Rallings and Thrasher projection (based on the 2005 general election result) of the seat after minor
boundary changes suggests that Heppell will go into the general election defending a notional majority of 7,083 over the Conservatives, with Ewan requiring a swing of a little over 12 per cent to take the seat.
Not exact matches
However, if we look at the places that had local elections on the same
boundaries last year and this year (combining district wards to make county divisions), the UKIP
change since 2012 is equally strongly correlated with both the Conservative and Labour
change,
suggesting that relative to last year both parties suffered equally from UKIP progress.
The author shows that in modern conflict there are no distinct
boundaries between different levels of operations or between war and peace and
suggests how we need to
change our thinking, planning, training and organisation, and how to do it.
Last month Labour activist Lewis Baston produced a nationwide map of the
boundary changes for Democratic Audit which
suggested the Lib Dems would be the main losers.
Initial predictions about the impact of the
boundary changes, which are expected to only leave about 25 seats completely unaffected,
suggest the Lib Dems will be hardest hit because of the isolated nature of their constituencies.
That is why, for instance, in a last ditch attempt to keep both sides of the bargain intact, I
suggested a solution that would have allowed us to progress with both reforms: a referendum on Lords Reform on election day in 2015, with first elections to the Lords taking place in 2020, while deferring
boundary changes to 2020 too.
New research
suggests the Lib Dems will be hardest hit by
boundary changes resulting from the reduction in MPs
Continue reading «New research
suggests the Lib Dems will be hardest hit by
boundary changes resulting from the reduction in MPs»»
«These findings add to mounting evidence
suggesting that there are sweet spots or «windows of opportunity» within climate space where so - called
boundary conditions, such as the level of atmospheric CO2 or the size of continental ice sheets, make abrupt
change more likely to occur.
This would
suggest to me that they aren't really dealing with the issue of the «constant
boundary conditions» for Charney - type analysis
changing as a form of slow feedback.
Lawson said he doesn't believe those
boundaries have
changed significantly since then,
suggesting that if Sarawak is to fulfill its commitment to preserve 80 percent of its land as primary and secondary forest, then it may need to cancel some of these concessions.
«In summary, given the lack of observational robustness of minimum temperatures, the fact that the shallow nocturnal
boundary layer does not reflect the heat content of the deeper atmosphere, and problems global models have in replicating nocturnal
boundary layers, it is
suggested that measures of large - scale climate
change should only use maximum temperature trends.»
Dr Lenton (who is also one of the creators of the planetary -
boundaries concept) and Dr Watson
suggest that energy might be used to
change the hydrologic cycle with massive desalination equipment, or to speed up the carbon cycle by drawing down atmospheric carbon dioxide, or to drive new recycling systems devoted to tin and copper and the many other metals as vital to industrial life as carbon and nitrogen are to living tissue.
However, Fischer et al. (2002b)
suggest that, taking into account economic adjustment, global cereal production by 2080 falls within a 2 %
boundary of the no - climate
change reference production.
I would
suggest locating «
changes» or «
boundaries» without reference to an arbitrary time unit.
The similarity of the model responses despite the widely varying transports of salt into the North Atlantic across its southern
boundary (and hence sign and magnitude of the salt advection feedback)
suggests that like the CMIP3 models (Gregory et al., 2005), the reduction of the AMOC in the global warming experiments performed by the CMIP5 models is mainly driven by local
changes in surface thermal flux rather than surface freshwater flux.
It has been
suggested that a top - down allocation approach is more appropriate for
boundaries where human activities exert a direct impact on the Earth (that is, climate
change, ocean acidification, ozone depletion and chemical pollution), while a multiscale approach is more appropriate for
boundaries that are spatially heterogeneous (that is biogeochemical flows, freshwater use, land - system
change, biodiversity loss and aerosol loading).8 Even with a top - down approach and a single global
boundary, however, allocation is fraught with difficult ethical issues.
Model calculations
suggest that almost half of the global cloud condensation nuclei in the atmospheric
boundary layer may originate from the nucleation of aerosols from trace condensable vapours4, although the sensitivity of the number of cloud condensation nuclei to
changes of nucleation rate may be small5, 6.
A review of emerging research
suggests that field variations on the order of tens of millions of years may be linked to
changes in heat flow across the core — mantle
boundary.