What's going on now in technology doesn't look to me like the dot - com
bubble we saw in the late 1990s.
In that case, we consider the Chinese Shanghai Stock Index
bubble seen in 2015 and the silver bubble in 2011.
Not exact matches
«There are elements of a
bubble in what we are
seeing right now.
Miller claims that every one of the clips shown has been independently verified, but is forced to concede
in his report for the Guardian, «I heard nothing but denials that the security forces were shooting, shelling and torturing civilians... we lived
in a
bubble,
seeing nothing of the extreme brutality and killing for which the Syrian regime is so notorious.»
That means less potential danger to the larger economy from a sudden event, such as was
seen when the Dotcom
bubble popped
in 2000.
Some analysts say that Bitcoin looks like a
bubble, and while the currency won't go away, it will
see a significant negative price correction sometime
in the near future.
Poloz was at his sunniest when he testified recently to the finance committee
in Ottawa — «We don't believe we're
in a
bubble,» he told the assembled MPs, saying he
sees no signs of the speculative activity that typically characterizes a
bubble, like people buying multiple houses to flip them.
While J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon
sees promise
in blockchain but a
bubble in Bitcoin, Twitter and Square's chief executive, Dorsey, thinks the poster child of the cryptocurrency movement will come to replace all currencies.
For many, the Skype deal is
seen — along with exuberance for the LinkedIn IPO and sky - high private valuations of companies such as Facebook — as a sign of a fast - inflating technology
bubble: What else could explain such a lofty price tag for a company that lost $ 7 million
in 2010 and $ 418 million the year before?
Here we
see that folks with FICO scores above 720 are receiving the majority of new loans, whereas
in 2000, before the real estate market was close to
bubble territory, the distribution was much more even.
Household income
saw a slight rise
in the housing
bubble, but has since collapsed
in the «recovery» since 2009.
«These idealistic hippie kids tend to have a more conservative mindset
in terms of investing, because they
saw the results of the tech
bubble, September 11 and the [Great Recession of] 2008,» he said.
Cathcart didn't talk about any of the potential down - sides of this approach, such as the «filter
bubble» effect that can keep users from
seeing potentially important topics because they don't fit the platform's pre-conceived notions of what that user is already interested
in.
«It's hard to
see yourself objectively; you're
in a
bubble and lonely,» he said.
One way to escape the
bubble and
see what's really going on
in an organization is to develop relationships with line employees, including manufacturing workers and salespeople who know a great deal about the company's interactions with the outside world.
But unlike America's latest housing market
bubble, which
saw the supply of new homes rise rapidly as investors banked on new mortgages, there is no increase
in the supply of farmland.
The company could also be spending carelessly or spending on the wrong things, as we
saw in the infamous dot - com
bubble.
Hosp has explained before why a potential cryptocurrency
bubble could burst
in 2018, but there are several factors that make him
see upside potential
in the space.
Hard - hit areas are
seeing a strong comeback
in their housing markets — some people are even starting to utter the «B» word —
bubble.
The share of those between the ages of 25 and 34 who were employed
in September was 75 % — the same as September of last year and below levels
seen before the housing
bubble started inflating job numbers.
The takeoff
in crypto chatter on «the internet's homepage» probably just adds fuel to the fire for the bears who
see a
bubble waiting to pop.
For instance, Dean Baker, a liberal economist,
sees the stock market rise as a double - edged sword, leading to the bursting of the
bubble in 2001 and perhaps helping shape a subsequent decade of only modest job growth.
The
bubble is certainly starting to emerge and can be
seen in valuations of publicly traded SaaS companies.
It's fun to be witnessing a
bubble in my adulthood — just
seeing the euphoria and literally hearing my barber talking about buying bitcoin is almost surreal.
If we are
in a stock market
bubble, I don't
see it.
To recap, a massive housing
bubble that built up through the naughties (2000s) finally burst
in 2008, feeding a financial crisis, as extremely loose (some would say fraudulent) lending practices pushed housing prices up to spectacular, never -
seen - before levels, and created a plague -LSB-...]
It turns out that he is still right, and the effect of being right is that equities are far more overvalued than may be evident even on measures like the Shiller CAPE (
see An Open Letter to the FOMC: Recognizing the Valuation
Bubble in Equities).
This can be a real change — as
seen in the
bubble economy of Japan
in the 1980s when banks were partially deregulated, or a paradigm shift — which took place during the dot - com boom
in the late 1990s and early 2000s.
[16:00] Pain + reflection = progress [16:30] Creating a meritocracy to draw the best out of everybody [18:30] How to raise your probability of being right [18:50] Why we are conditioned to need to be right [19:30] The neuroscience factor [19:50] The habitual and environmental factor [20:20] How to get to the other side [21:20] Great collective decision - making [21:50] The 5 things you need to be successful [21:55] Create audacious goals [22:15] Why you need problems [22:25] Diagnose the problems to determine the root causes [22:50] Determine the design for what you will do about the root causes [23:00] Decide to work with people who are strong where you are weak [23:15] Push through to results [23:20] The loop of success [24:15] Ray's new instinctual approach to failure [24:40] Tony's ritual after every event [25:30] The review that changed Ray's outlook on leadership [27:30] Creating new policies based on fairness and truth [28:00] What people are missing about Ray's culture [29:30] Creating meaningful work and meaningful relationships [30:15] The importance of radical honesty [30:50] Thoughtful disagreement [32:10] Why it was the relationships that changed Ray's life [33:10] Ray's biggest weakness and how he overcame it [34:30] The jungle metaphor [36:00] The dot collector — deciding what to listen to [40:15] The wanting of meritocratic decision - making [41:40] How to
see bubbles and busts [42:40] Productivity [43:00] Where we are
in the cycle [43:40] What the Fed will do [44:05] We are late
in the long - term debt cycle [44:30] Long - term debt is going to be squeezing us [45:00] We have 2 economies [45:30] This year is very similar to 1937 [46:10] The top tenth of the top 1 % of wealth = bottom 90 % combined [46:25] How this creates populism [47:00] The economy for the bottom 60 % isn't growing [48:20] If you look at averages, the country is
in a bind [49:10] What are the overarching principles that bind us together?
Lynas» market capitalisation swelled to over $ 4 billion during the 2011 rare earths
bubble but a collapse
in prices and problems with the company's processing plant
saw its share price tank.
Again we can look to the technology
bubbles (2000 and again
in 2014) to
see how this reflexive pattern works.
You can
see this
in google search results for «Toronto real estate
bubble».
Multiply that by the millions or billions that venture capitalists were throwing at this
bubble, and it's easy to
see why big money managers were
in a technology euphoria and not too worried about the underlying fundamentals of these companies.
As long as he doesn't
see any consumer price inflation that you're not going to have
in a world where people are still coming out of the rice patties to take a job at $ 0.70 an hour, then he's going to keep the interest rates artificially low, totally medicated and rigged, and that will encourage speculators to just keep going, and going, and going until the next
bubble.
On the profits front, we've developed a number of approaches over the years to understand what drives cyclical fluctuations
in profit margins (
see for example Recognizing the Valuation
Bubble in Equities and The Coming Retreat
in Corporate Earnings).
We have
seen what happens when
bubbles have burst
in the past.
We have all
seen the after - effects of bursting property
bubbles, first
in Japan and now
in the United States.
(TBP) Roubini
sees the next
bubble in the «barbarous metal» that is gold.
The folks who
saw this coming, like Dean Baker (and Jamie Galbraith, Roubini, Krugman, Shiller... me, after Dean convinced me) either didn't depend on such models or gave a prominent role to the debt
bubble in addition to the standard models.
Think of all the
bubbles hes»
seen in the past 10 years,» he says.
However, if you grew up trading
in a crash — and then, eight years later, the market crashed again, you tend to
see bubbles wherever you look.
But
in each case inflation fell during the subsequent two years by between 1 and 2 percentage points (
see chart, right)-- even during the 1970s, now recalled unfondly as a
bubbling cauldron of inflation.
Starting
in the 1950s and accelerating during Japan's
bubble, keiretsu corporations purchased each other's shares to form an extensive network of cross-holdings, a practice that was
seen as important for guaranteeing long - term stability and developing lasting business relationships.
With these high valuations comes the specter of a
bubble not
seen in international stocks.
While other Northern and Western European countries have
seen their housing
bubbles inflate since 2009 due to «safe haven» investment inflows, Iceland's Housing
Bubble is unique because it has inflated (or reinflated) primarily due to currency controls that were enacted after its epic financial collapse
in 2008.
In 2017, while the global cryptocurrency market is increasing dramatically, the management team saw through the technological potential behind the blockchain bubble, was keenly aware of missing of formalized services in the industry, and decided to found G.D.V Consulting Inc., a leading blockchain integrated consulting fir
In 2017, while the global cryptocurrency market is increasing dramatically, the management team
saw through the technological potential behind the blockchain
bubble, was keenly aware of missing of formalized services
in the industry, and decided to found G.D.V Consulting Inc., a leading blockchain integrated consulting fir
in the industry, and decided to found G.D.V Consulting Inc., a leading blockchain integrated consulting firm.
In what is traditionally the best season of the year for real estate agents, Toronto agent Ecko Jay says the industry is
seeing far fewer buyers, a result of tighter lending rules, high prices and fear of a
bubble.
But Goldbart, who has been
seeing patients since well before the internet
bubble of the late»90s, says today's boom also has a «very different quality to it that has to do with who are the core investors
in cryptocurrencies and what they are about.»
When I think about the fundamental reasons to invest
in gold today, I
see a stock market that is
in bubble territory, serious issues
in the bond market, and many other asset
bubbles (bitcoins, artwork, cannabis, real estate
in many places, supercars...).
The rebound
in oil prices hasn't been enough to dent consumer confidence, and while there are signs of froth
in some markets, we don't
see any significant
bubbles ready to burst.