These effects have been quantified; for example engine room intake (ERI) temperatures have been compared to
bucket measurements by a number of studies.
Not exact matches
In particular, data gathered
by ships recruited
by Japan and the Netherlands (not shown) are biased in a way that suggests that these nations were still using uninsulated
buckets to obtain SST
measurements as late as the 1960s.
First of all McIntyre said, «If the benchmark is an all - engine inlet
measurement system... all temperatures from 1946 to 1970 will have to be increased
by 0.25 - 0.3 deg C since there is convincing evidence that 1970 temperatures were
bucket (Kent et al 2007), and that this will be phased out from 1970 to present according to the proportions in the Kent et al 2007 diagram... Recent trends will be cut in half or more, with a much bigger proportion of the temperature increase occurring prior to 1950 than presently thought.»
Wouldn't it be the most reasonable to add 0.3 C degrees to any and all temperatures taken
by bucket, and leave all intake
measurements untouched?
Phase - out of
buckets has been gradual, with 90 % of the
measurements in 1970 still being
by bucket, down to about 10 % today (just eyeballing the figure from Kent).
Now let's suppose that, instead of an abrupt and universal introduction of engine inlet
measurements in 1941, we had a phased introduction so that 90 % of
measurements in 1970 were still being made
by buckets (as indicated
by the information in Kent et al 2007) and that the 90 % phased down to 0 in 2000 linearly; and that half of the 10 % engine inlet introduction (5 % of the total) occurred in 1941 and the balance linearly between 1942 and 1970.
Now Kent et al 2007 have carried out a long overdue analysis of the metadata and reported that over 90 % of SST
measurements in 1970 for which the
measurement method was known were still being carried out
by bucket, as shown in the following figure.
If 90 % of known SST
measurements in 1970 were still being made
by buckets, then the most reasonable estimate for the entire population is that 90 % of all SST
measurements were still being made
by buckets in 1970.
Ironically, the japanese
measurements were also made
by buckets.
Your statement that «Further, it was noted in a detailed study of the available meta data
by Kent et al (2006)[10] that as late as 1970 fully 90 % of temperatures, where the meta - data stated the nature of the
measurement, were still done
by bucket.
Some
measurements were made
by lowering uninsulated
buckets over the ship's side; these tend to produce colder temperatures, owing to the effects of evaporation once the
bucket has left the water.
The adjustments are unlikely to significantly affect estimates of century - long trends in global - mean temperatures, [don't complain, the global warming was there before and after this round of adjustments] as the data before, 1940 and after the mid-1960s are not expected to require further corrections for changes from uninsulated
bucket to engine room intake
measurements [except
by Karl (2015)-RSB-.
They assert that 30 % of the ships shown in existing metadata as measuring SST
by buckets actually used engine inlet and proceed to reallocate the
measurements on this assumption:
Were 100 % of
measurements used taken
by the British using
buckets until some specific day, and the next day 100 % were taken
by Americans using engine inlets?
It remained in climate literature despite obvious evidence that the majority of reported SST
measurements in 1970 were being done
by buckets.
While we noted that the WWII records for 1942 - 45 appeared to be dominated
by engine - warmed intake data (a point common to all analyses), because 90 % of SST
measurements with known provenance in 1970 were
bucket rather than engine inlet, we postulated that «business as usual» had resumed after the war, with a resulting preponderance of
bucket, rather than inlet data.
Steve: The issue is more that
buckets experience cooling not experienced
by engine inlet
measurements, not that the engines warm the water.
We know that 90 % of all
measurements in 1970 with (supposedly) known provenance were done
by buckets (Kent et al 2007), while there was a turnover in proportion to about 90 % engine inlet and hull sensor
by the 2000s.
of years ago, there was an excitement that it was partly explained
by different methods of sea - going
measurements of SST's varying from canvas
bucket dips giving lower readings due to evaporation through to solid
buckets, and engine cooling water inlet
measurements.