Last year's
budget forecasted oil at $ 67 per barrel (WTI) for 2016.
Not exact matches
I put more faith in futures markets than in private sector and budgetary
forecasts, but given the recent escalation of
oil prices, there is a reasonable chance prices end up matching or exceeding the estimates in
Budget 2016.
One of the first things I look for in any
budget are the economic projections, particularly after Budget 2015 contained wildly optimistic oil price fore
budget are the economic projections, particularly after
Budget 2015 contained wildly optimistic oil price fore
Budget 2015 contained wildly optimistic
oil price
forecasts.
First, an overly aggressive
oil price
forecast implied that Alberta's
budget targets were reliant on
oil prices exceeding market expectations and instead
oil prices fell below expectations.
In the graph below, you can see that we may be in line for more of the same, unless the market is wrong about
oil futures, since the
Budget 2013 WTI
forecast again lies above the futures price.
One possible fix: Finance Minister Joe Oliver might simply
forecast a sufficient
oil - price rebound in his
budget, knowing whether or not he got it right won't be evident until months after the election anyway.
The World Bank report noted that the resulting
forecasts form basis for
budget planning, adding that «these
forecasts are frequently inaccurate, often by wide margins; ideally,
oil - revenue projections should err on the side underestimation, as overestimating future revenues can disrupt investment execution and undermine debt sustainability.»
United States Air Force (Al Dhafra Air Base, United Arab Emirates) 2008 — 2009 Operations Manager / Resource Advisor • Serve as Programs Flight Chief of the 380th Equipment Maintenance Group responsible for $ 3M
budget • Plan, direct, and oversee three operation cells dealing with emergency management • Categorize, prioritize, and communicate all incidents including base attacks, and disasters to the Emergency Operations Cell • Dispatch quick reaction forces and Emergency Response teams to breaches in security and to treat wounded personnel • Negotiate and execute $ 3,000,000 paint contract with three one year renewal options • Perform contract surveillance on paint / mezzanine contract for back shop operations • Establish Indefinite Quantity purchase of aircraft synthetic
oil and sole sourced supplies to ensure fleet health • Target high use supply items,
forecast consumption rates, and prevent loss of production do to non-availability