Sentences with phrase «bull market tops»

Our model can catch the «big rally» and bull market tops with better accuracy.

You can't use head and shoulder patterns to catch bull market tops.

Historical research suggests that many commodities will retrace 61 % of their decline from the most recent bull market top.

The P / E10 level always drops to 7 or 8 (one - half of fair value) in the years following bull market tops.

Bull market tops feature bearish divergences.

This is what produces bull market tops.

For example, there would normally be a pronounced widening of credit spreads at or before a bull market top, but credit spreads remain near their narrowest levels of the past 10 years.

For another example, there is likely to be a reversal in the yield curve from flattening to steepening at or prior to a bull market top, but at the end of last week the US yield curve was at its «flattest» in more than 10 years.

This previous study demonstrated that bull market tops are marked by bearish breadth divergences.

Time will tell if this was a contrarian signal of a bull market top.

However, this was more than 1 year before the bull market topped in October 2007.

For example, the yield curve inverted in August 2006, more than a year before the bull market topped in October 2007.

The yield curve inverted on June 1, 1973, which is after the bull market topped.

Our model told us to switch to 100 % cash mid-1999, almost a year before the bull market topped.

As you can see, it's not normal for the S&P to have almost no 1 % movements just before a bull market tops.

Historically, high yield spreads widen before a bull market tops.

The article cites comments by columnist Mark Hulbert, who refers to valuation metrics such as P / E, price - book, price - sales and price - dividend ratios as weak indicators of market tops but adds that we ignore them «at our peril, since it's also true that almost all bull market tops in history... Read More

What happens, then, if your portfolio is worth HALF of what it was worth at the bull market top.

There's a simple reason why our model was so far from the bull market top.

But bull market tops are different than bear market bottoms.

For example, there would normally be a pronounced widening of credit spreads at or before a bull market top, but credit spreads remain near their narrowest levels of the past 10 years.

For another example, there is likely to be a reversal in the yield curve from flattening to steepening at or prior to a bull market top, but at the end of last week the US yield curve was at its «flattest» in more than 10 years.

The bull market topped in March 2000.

As usual, no one «rang the bell» when the 2002 — 2007 bull market topped out in October / November a year back.

Bear Market bottoms are steep, Bull Market tops are flat.

In effect, sentiment has been consistent with a bull market top for the bulk of the past four years, but there is still no evidence in the price action that the bull market has ended.

Nonetheless, the bull market tops out when the sentiment is overly bullish, especially with the retail traders.