Sentences with phrase «business as usual emissions»

More on Sea Level Rise Re-Envisioning New York to Combat Sea - Level Rise Multi-Meter Sea Level Rise by 2100 Certain With Business As Usual Emissions: James Hansen

Climate sensitivity in excess of 6 deg, coupled with a business as usual emissions path would lead to a global warming by 2100 in excess of 10 degrees (and not stopping in 2100 of course).

However, under business as usual emissions are set to increase global average temperatures by approximately 2.5 °C.

Under the IPCC Business As Usual emissions scenario, an average rate of global mean sea level rise of about 6 cm per decade over the next century (with an uncertainty range of 3 — 10 cm per decade).

At the same time, the developing major economies will pursue, in the context of sustainable development, nationally appropriate mitigation actions, supported and enabled by technology, financing and capacity - building, with a view to achieving a deviation from business as usual emissions.

Not exact matches

The Conservative majority suggests a business - as - usual trajectory for Canada's climate change ambitions: rapid oil sands expansions, soaring greenhouse gas emissions, reductions targets on paper, if nowhere else.

This compares with a business - as - usual trajectory of a 35 percent increase in emissions over the next four years.

Under a «business - as - usual» emissions scenario, they add, there's an 80 % likelihood that at least one decades - long megadrought will hit the regions between 2050 and 2100.

On that score, she called for developed nations to set a goal of cutting greenhouse gas emissions 15 % to 30 % «below business as usual» emissions by 2030.

I then instructed the model to project forward under the assumption of business - as - usual greenhouse gas emissions.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA — In the run - up to national elections on 21 August, the country's top science body, the Australian Academy of Science (AAS), has weighed in on the climate change debate with a report backing the mainstream scientific view that human - induced climate change is real and that a business - as - usual approach to carbon emissions will lead to a «catastrophic» four - to five - degree increase in average global temperatures.

However, under business - as - usual scenarios, without significant reductions in carbon emissions, the study shows these deadly heat waves could begin within as little as a few decades to strike regions of India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, including the fertile Indus and Ganges river basins that produce much of the region's food supply.

The analysis follows previous studies that show that a business - as - usual scenario, which assumes a continued growth of global emissions, would deliver a warming increase of 4.5 °C by 2100.

Worldwide, that combination would generate 0.7 gigaton of carbon emissions annually by midcentury, as opposed to 1.7 gigatons in the second one and 4.6 gigatons in a business - as - usual scenario.

While some transportation researchers have suggested autonomous cars could cut emissions by boosting driver efficiency, others, including Fulton and his colleagues, project that energy use and carbon emissions would increase over a business - as - usual scenario because more people will travel farther.

In 2009, ahead of key U.N. talks in Copenhagen, Denmark, the government vowed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7 to 11 percent below business - as - usual levels by 2020.

One scenario represents «business as usual,» under which carbon emissions would continue to increase.

Yet if greenhouse - gas emissions from burning fossil fuels are not reduced at all, in a business - as - usual scenario, water management will clearly not suffice to outweigh the negative climate effects.

According to the commission's own impact assessment, the union is on track to meet the current target: Under a «business - as - usual» scenario, total greenhouse gas emissions are already expected to drop by 24 % in 2020 and 32 % in 2030 compared with 1990 levels.

In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.

The scale of the reductions in greenhouse gas emissions needed doesn't allow us the luxury of «business as usual» eating patterns.»

«Our model assumes «business as usual» in the province, with high carbon emissions and climate change continuing at the current rate.

The legislation called for the country to curb emissions 30 percent below business - as - usual growth by 2030 and 50 percent by midcentury, but those targets were conditional upon international assistance.

Rutledge said of the four IPCC scenarios, he found the second RCP scenario, RCP 4.5, where carbon dioxide emissions flatten out around 2080, to be more plausible under a business - as - usual scenario for coal exploitation.

That scenario, known as RCP 8.5, and often referred to as the «business as usual» scenario, has carbon dioxide emissions increasing through 2100.

They looked at each of those conditions through, first, a business - as - usual lens that assumes a lack of international climate - policy action with continued high rates of greenhouse gas emissions and, second, an optimistic scenario of reduced emissions with climate change policy interventions.

By using simulations that were created by running the same model multiple times, with only tiny differences in the initial starting conditions, the scientists could examine the range of summertime temperatures we might expect in the future for the «business - as - usual» and reduced - emissions scenarios.

Under the «business - as - usual» scenario for emissions, they found that droughts similar to the 1995 event are expected to take place every year in the region.

Business - as - usual emissions would drive sea level up by a disastrous 80 centimeters, though the panel rejected suggestions of a truly catastrophic rise.

Their intent, apparently, was to disparage the views of scientists who disagree with their contention that continued business - as - usual increases in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions produced from the burning of coal, gas, and oil will lead to a host of cataclysmic climate - related problems.

«Lower emissions» are in line with Paris agreement targets; «higher emissions» represent current, business - as - usual trajectories.

But earlier this year it sharply raised its business - as - usual emissions forecast, giving it room for an extra 18 per cent of emissions.

Indonesia's national plan to cut emissions, officially called an intended nationally determined contribution, or INDC, committed the country to reduce emissions 29 percent by 2030 compared with business - as - usual projected emissions and a conditional 41 percent reduction with international support.

Rather, the study looks at a range of possible future scenarios, says Garner, including the business - as - usual emissions path we are still on.

But let's suppose events follow the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's «business as usual» scenario, with greenhouse emissions continuing...

«If we continue with business - as - usual emissions, extreme seasons will inevitably become the norm within decades and Australia will be the canary in the coal mine that will experience this change first,» said Dr Lewis.

And we're headed for 560 ppmv in the mid-to-late 21st century if we continue business - as - usual emissions.

For example, under the «business - as - usual» climate scenario (called RCP8.5 by the UN IPCC, which assumes that emissions continue to grow unabated), there is a 50 per cent chance that local sea - level rise will exceed 22 centimeters at Oslo.

And finally, what about Mark's questions (# 3) and other factors not discussed here — do all these effects re Arctic ice lead scientists to believe there is a greater and / or earlier chance (assuming we continue increasing our GHG emissions — business as usual) of melting hydrates and permafrost releasing vast stores of methane into the atmosphere than scientists believed before the study, or is the assessment of this about the same, or scientists are not sure if this study indicates a greater / lesser / same chance of this?

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

In end - of - century projections, summers have the largest increases in average temperature: 6.5 °F (3.6 °C) for the stabilization emission scenario, 11.8 °F (6.6 °C) for the business - as - usual emission scenario.

Average daily minimum and maximum temperatures increase in the mid-century and end - of - century projections for both stabilization and business - as - usual emission scenarios (Figure 2 - 10 shows output for annual average daily maximum temperature).

Differences exist in projections for the stabilization and business - as - usual emission scenarios, with the former consistently showing lower magnitudes of change than the latter.

But China and many other developing countries struggling to tackle poverty are adamant that any negotiated emissions reductions should not be absolute, but relative to a «business - as - usual» scenario of projected growth.

Projected number of fish species in high latitudes under business - as - usual greenhouse gas emissions.

Help reduce agriculture - related greenhouse gas emissions in rice - based farming systems by at least 28.4 megatons carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalent / year by 2022 and by a further 28.4 megatons CO2 equivalent / year by 2030, compared to business - as - usual scenarios.

«We chose the iconic Great Barrier Reef because water temperature varies by 8 - 9 degrees along its full length from summer to winter, and because there are wide local variations in pH. In other words, its natural gradients encompass the sorts of conditions that will apply several decades from now under business - as - usual greenhouse gas emissions.»

This finding suggests that by the end of the century, following a business as usual CO2 emission scenario, these animals might avoid functional environmental cues and become attracted to cues that provide no adaptive advantage or are potentially deleterious.

The WMO warned that continuing on a business as usual path of rising emissions could put the world on track for 10.8 °F (6 °C) increase in the global average temperature.

A1B is the «Business as Usual» scenario, with emissions continuing to increase in line with present - day rates of increase.