Rate survey: Average card APR soars to record high of 16.21 percent — Dec. 20, 2017: Propelled
by a Fed rate increase, the average credit card interest rate jumped to a new record high this week, according to the CreditCards.com's weekly survey of new card offers.
Rate survey: Average card APR soars to record high of 16.21 percent — Dec. 20, 2017: Propelled
by a Fed rate increase, the average credit card interest rate jumped to a new record high this week, according to the CreditCards.com's weekly survey of new card offers.
They tend to be less affected
by Fed rate uncertainty than Treasuries and have benefitted from firmer credit conditions at the low end of the quality spectrum (high yield).
He has published a study entitled «Don't be too spooked
by Fed rate hikes,» dated January 31, 2015.
Not exact matches
In the past year, the median outlook for the
Fed's top
rate in this hiking cycle has risen
by nearly 60 basis points to 3.24 percent.
So - called «dollar - sphere» markets have monetary policy that is at least partly outsourced to the
Fed, and
by extension are vulnerable to
rate hikes.
The bond purchases, the third round of quantitative easing embarked upon
by the
Fed in the wake of the 2008 financial collapse and subsequent recession, have kept interest
rates and bond yields low.
Although the move itself is minimal, with the
Fed saying in a statement that it would lift its benchmark
rate by a quarter of a percent, to between 0.25 percent and 0.5 percent, it has a huge symbolic value.
And as the debt load grows, efforts
by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy with lower
rates would be more likely to
feed runaway inflation.
Usually
by the time you get to that point, say, in»06 or» 07, the
Fed hikes
rates aggressively, the curve is inverted, there had been excessive lending against inflated real - estate values.
Rather than the
Fed pursuing a policy resulting in some steady
rate of growth in the money supply, I would suggest that the
Fed attempt to produce a steady
rate of growth in the sum of the credit it creates and the credit created
by depository institutions, i.e., commercial banks, savings associations and credit unions.
«While the
Fed may hike the funds
rate to 3.4 %, that increase is unlikely to be matched
by a rise in long - term Treasury yields.
To tweak interest
rates, the
Fed adjusted the federal funds
rate, also known as the interbank lending
rate, which is used
by financial institutions to set the prime
rate, or the base
rate upon which other interest
rates are set.
Record - low interest
rates, as set
by the
Fed in recent years, have squeezed bank margins.
Fed officials have been stumped
by the trend in financial conditions, which actually have loosened during the five
rate increases the committee has approved since December 2015.
Still, the
Fed chairman reiterated his argument that lower
rates boost growth
by helping increase prices of stocks, homes and other assets.
The way for the
Fed to support a return to a strong economy is
by maintaining monetary accommodation, which requires low interest
rates for a time.
And in the U.S.,
Fed chair Janet Yellen hiked
rates by 25 points on Wednesday evening but signaled no pick - up in the pace of normalization of
rates.
«We expect the ECB to continue net asset purchases until around the third quarter of 2018, while the
Fed will likely begin reducing its stock of quantitative easing assets early in 2018... These opposite moves mean that the ECB's balance sheet could be around 20 percent larger than the
Fed's
by around end - 2018, assuming constant FX
rates,» he noted.
Russ Koesterich, BlackRock, and Dorothy Weaver, Collins Capital, weigh in on the market's reaction to the
Fed's decision to raise
rates by 25 basis points.
The dollar / yen is likely to fall unless there are clearer signs of a
rate hike
by the
Fed,» said Shinichiro Kadota, senior FX and
rates strategist at Barclays Securities Japan.
To be considered a success, the
Fed needs its
rate hike to be followed next year
by continued U.S. growth, continued low unemployment, and, perhaps most in doubt, a turn higher in inflation.
For all the talk of abnormal times and changes in underlying economic fundamentals, the
Fed is pinning its hopes on a very conventional premise — that the U.S. consumer will keep spending at recent strong
rates, encouraged
by low unemployment and the apparent beginnings of higher wages.
The 7 - 2 vote for the
rate move, the
Fed's third this year, raises the benchmark lending
rate by a quarter percentage point to a target range of 1.25 percent to 1.5 percent.
Testimony to Congress next week
by Fed chief Jerome Powell will set the tone on interest
rate expectations, says Manpreet Gill of Standard Chartered Private Bank.
That debate takes place internally at the central bank, where contrasting views are regularly articulated
by members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as our Federal Reserve (
Fed) policymakers attempt to steer monetary policy with regard to interest
rates.
Fed by this belief, Canada's home ownership
rate rose to eclipse most other rich nations», up almost 10 % since 2000.
By offering clearer guidance on the direction of interest
rates, the
Fed could help to stabilize the volatile stock market.
Williams, who will leave his current job as San Francisco
Fed president in June to take over at the New York
Fed, also said he expects the
Fed's shrinking balance sheet will help steepen the curve
by putting upward pressure on longer - term
rates.
It's not one that can be solved simply
by the
Fed raising
rates.
According to the
Fed's economic projections, the central bank expects to raise
rates three times
by year - end.
Revenue from fixed - income trading surged about 29 %, while equity trading revenue rose about 7 %, boosted
by volatility around the
Fed's interest
rate hikes.
Given that most people now expect the
Fed to raise [interest]
rates in December, it's likely that this stock will get there on any positive commentary
by CEO Jamie Dimon,» he said.
However, if we do see any additional interest
rates hikes
by the
Fed it would most likely be after the presidential election.
Some see higher
rates as a vote of confidence on the strength of the economy, while others consider increased borrowing costs a threat to the bull market that began amid — and was fueled
by — historically low
rates and extraordinary
Fed stimulus.
The
Fed ended its latest policy meeting
by leaving its key short - term
rate unchanged at 1.5 percent to 1.75 percent, the level it set in March after its sixth
rate increase...
By contrast, in August, when the market was still anticipating that the
Fed might raise its key interest
rate in September, the two high - yield funds lost a net $ 344 million.
A large portion of the spread compression happened in reaction to two events: the
Fed's decision to begin winding down its large - scale asset - purchase program known as quantitative easing on Dec. 18, and Janet Yellen's first meeting as
Fed chair on March 19, which coincided with the release of forecasts
by Fed officials who anticipated earlier
rate hikes than before.
Deutsche Bank economists predict the curve will invert in 2019 as the
Fed keeps raising interest
rates by a quarter percentage point every quarter, as markets expect.
The
Fed reckons U.S. gross domestic product could expand
by as much as 2.7 % in 2016, which would be considerably faster than the
rate of growth — roughly 2 % — that policy makers think the American economy can handle without stoking inflation.
«If the
Fed continues to raise
rates according to our forecast and the term premium does not recover, the yield curve would invert
by the end of 2019, potentially as early as June of next year,» they write in a note.
It has done this
by offering attractive interest
rates on banks» reserves held at the
Fed, so the banks keep their excess funds there instead of lend them out to borrowers in the economy.
The quarter - point
rate hike announced
by the
Fed was expected.
The hope, of course, is that
by raising short
rates the
Fed will be front running a stronger economy and rising long
rates.
«I think it will put pressure on the
Fed to raise
rates in the first half of next year
by June, perhaps even March,» said Craig Dismuke, chief economist at Vining Sparks in Memphis, Tennessee.
If Yellen's
Fed fails to convince Wall Street about the policy path, a
rate increase could trigger financial turmoil of the sort seen in 2013, when investors were caught off guard
by the central bank signaling an end to its bond - buying program.
The
Fed telegraphed December's
rate increase
by saying in October it would consider tightening at its next meeting.
Richard Franulovich, an analyst at Westpac, noted that back in June the median «dot plot» — the
rate moves expected
by the
Fed's members — showed five hikes to end - 2017.
And what if the economy heats up too fast and the
Fed slams on the brakes
by raising interest
rates?
The
Fed is risking its credibility among investors
by refusing to consider a sooner interest
rate hike, hedge fund manager David Gerstenhaber tells CNBC.