They use the same methods and get something approaching 1 W / m2 heating especially in later years where surface warming stopped, but this can be accounted for
by the OHC change (missing heat and all that).
The average annual excess of net TOA radiation constrained
by OHC is 0.6 ± 0.4 Wm — 2 (90 % confidence) since 2005 when Argo data14 became available, before which the OHC data are much more uncertain14.
W&H can be approximated
by OHC — which we don't yet have a good enough handle on but can in principle be used to close out the LHS terms using differences and not absolutes.
I would suggest warming, perhaps delayed
by an OHC increase, but eventually to fully balance the IR change.
Yes, most of the warming due to the addition of CO2 would be delayed
by OHC recovery from natural oscillation or forces.
A hypothesised BNO (R) defies the evidence provided
by OHC measurements.
Not exact matches
While the TOA observations show far less agreement with the NODC and Hadley Centre
OHC data sets, after 2004 they demonstrate moderate agreement with PMEL / JPL / JIMAR data sets (as determined
by statistical analysis).
This cause, launched in 2014
by TFA, could be emulated
by other teacher recruitment programs such as the Office of Human Capital (
OHC) at Boston Public Schools (BPS).
This Wagoneer's single - overhead cam six, first U.S. mass - produced
OHC engine (predating the Pontiac
OHC six
by a couple of years) was removed in favor of, ironically, the OHV 5.7 - liter Hemi V - 8, paired with a four - speed automatic transmission.
In complete contrast, on Bruno Vendiesse's stand, was a delectable 1927 Lombard AL3, an 1100cc twin
ohc coupé
by Duval.
He tried his hand at customizing his father's Torino, a hodgepodge of a car with a Rambler American body restyled
by Pininfarina, powered
by an old Kaiser L - head engine fitted with an
OHC cylinder head conversion, made and marketed
by Renault.
Using the 1.6 - liter
OHC inline four rated at 70 hp, this model continued in production until 1994, and was the last Chevette version built in Brazil, where it was replaced
by the coupe utility version of Chevrolet Corsa.
The CA was replaced
by the CF, a completely unrelated vehicle using new overhead camshaft (
OHC) engines, which was to have a much harder time proving itself thanks to the Ford Transit.
The Suzuki Ozark 250 is one of the quadbikes that was showcased and is powered
by a 246cc, single - cylinder, air - cooled
OHC engine mated to a 5 - speed gearbox with a reverse gear.
Best prices in the NWA!Vehicle SpecsEngine: 6 CylinderTransmission: AutomaticEngine Size: 4.0 L V6
OHC 12VDrivetrain: Rear Wheel DriveColor: WhiteInterior: GrayDoors: 2Stereo: CD PlayerMileage: 54387Stock Number: 8487VIN: 1ZVBP8AN9A5147450Warranty Info: Please CallVehicle OptionsCruise ControlAir ConditioningPower SteeringPower BrakesPower WindowsPower LocksKeyless EntrySatellite RadioBucket SeatsIntermittent WipersTilt Steering WheelAlloy WheelsRear Window DefrostDual AirbagsAnti - Lock BrakesTraction Control SystemContact InformationThis 2010 FORD Mustang Premiumcan be seen at: Country Pride AutoFarmington, AR 72730Contact Marty Levine Today at (479) 267 - AUTO (2886) Cell: (479) 466-4450 What \'s NextDirections • Financing • Visit Our WebsiteFind another FORD for sale in FarmingtonBackpage Posting Tool for Car DealersPowered
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Since
OHC uptake efficiency associated with surface warming is low compared with the rate of radiative restoring (increase in energy loss to space as specified
by the climate feedback parameter), an important internal contribution must lead to a loss rather than a gain of ocean heat; thus the observation of
OHC increase requires a dominant role for external forcing.
This is on the order of 3e19J, as compared to
OHC decadal increase on the order of 0.5 e22J, both dwarfed
by total absorbed insolation on the order of 1e27J.
(And I mean here «measured»
OHC, not a value inferred
by subtracting one big imprecise number from another big imprecise number.)
My guess is it increases
OHC by decreasing the formation of cold deep water, this would have a temporary (hundreds of year though) heating effect at the surface.
When
OHC increase became availaible, it yielded new values of TCS which,
by the way, are lower than those derived from ERB series.
In particular, as discussed above, internal climate oscillations warm the surface
by losing
OHC, while external forcing
by CO2 or other modalities warms the surface
by increasing
OHC.
Further, studies addressing global
OHC below 2000m (reviewed in IPCC AR5 Section 3.2.4) find not a sign of net cooling of the size required
by BNO (S).
For BNO (S) alone in its last quarter cycle 2000 - 14 (for which we have the best data
OHC) the ΔOHC 0 - 2000m record is 4x larger and of opposite sign (contradicting the assumption of BNO = AGW
by suggesting AGW is 5x bigger in magnitude than BNO (S) for this period if BNO (S) did exist using 0 - 2000m ocean storage).
What I have shown in those posts is that the rise in
OHC from 1955 to present can be explained
by natural factors that have resulted in upward shifts in
OHC, not a monotonous rise.
The largest energy reservoir
by far is the ocean and
OHC doesn't increase or decrease uniformly from top to bottom.
No amount of change in Ocean Heat Content (
OHC)
by itself will have any effect on that.
OHC can not be dismissed
by appealing to model complexities.
Then, when combined with the number of measurements and uncertainties induces
by thermal eddies and ocean mixture, it is seems unlikely to me that measurements can tease out the true
OHC.
All temperature indexes are troubled
by noise,
OHC is better in that respect, but temperature is what people observe, and temperature is what has direct influence on all life.
HadCRUT4 may well be better correlated with
OHC than an index calculated
by adding to the calculation of the index the estimated warming of polar regions.
Temperatures measured
by the ARGO floats and the XBTs before them are rising in the raw data, and the ocean heat content (
OHC) is simply observed temperature change scaled
by the thermal mass of the ocean layer in question - not some kind of complex model.
They take the
OHC in Joules at the end minus beginning and divide
by time to get this number.
The number that I consider perhaps most informative is the average rate of increase in
OHC divided
by the area of Earth including also land areas, because that number tells in more familiar way about that rate.
capt. dallas, you probably know that
OHC can only change
by energy inputs, and its change is mostly in the direction of increasing.
The GHG would also decrease as the
OHC increased to normal, whatever that is, but the additional CO2 would increase that conditional equilibrium
by some amount.
The yellow is the 3.7 for CO2 plus 0.8 Watts for
OHC recovery which would be the approximate error if the sea surface temperature where under estimated
by 0.2 C.
DK12 compounded their erroneous analysis
by attempting to calculate the net climate feedback based solely on their estimated 2002 - 2008
OHC increase for the uppermost 700 meters, and only considering the CO2 and solar radiative forcings, ignoring the significant aerosol forcing, for example.
When the rate of
OHC decreases, more warming would be measured in the atmosphere, like the 1998 El Nino peak, followed
by the lower 2005 El Nino peak, followed
by the lower 2010 El Nino peak, which indicate a change in the rate of OH uptake.
One has to remember that
OHC is a cumulative measure and it is not impacted
by yearly fluctuations in forcing as much as a non-cumulative temperature measure.
The «noise level,» that is, the amplitude of internal variability, approximated here
by the standard deviation (σ) of the
OHC time series after the linear trend is removed, amounts to 0.77 × 1022 J from 2004 to 2015 (Table 1).
By contrast, the
OHC and sea level increased steadily during this period, providing clear and convincing evidence that global warming continued.
Unless you can account for the increase in
OHC by another mechanism, this is where we are, like it or not.
The fact that the
OHC is rising decade on decade means we have an imbalance and all the warming so far has not been enough for the forcing change that is dominated
by the GHG increase.
This is demonstrated
by the observed increase in * deep ocean *
OHC as well as upper ocean
OHC.
See figure 4, although anyone who can get a global 69 % increase in
OHC over the period with the SH increasing
by 62 % and the NH
by 68 % needs watching.
Ideally the zero point would be modulated
by ocean heat content and / or ssts, since it is the comparison between energy into the oceans vs. energy radiated back out that determines warming or cooling, but we don't have much historical
ohc or sst data so a fixed zero point would seem to be the best that can be done.
If you can't see the problem where the measured
OHC level has suddenly become adjusted to the same trend as Agenda based pre-2003 models, then you obviously have both eyes blinded
by too much AGW kool - aide.
I have to say it's a remarkable finding
by the Schuckmann paper to find
OHC increasing when
OHC is declining at the 700m mark;
As for that Fig. 4 in your 2000 Levitus paper, that is not 69 % «increase in
OHC» — that is the «percent variance accounted for
by this trend» (see Figure caption).
The planetary heat content — and therefore
OHC — must follow the changes in TOA radiant flux
by the first law of thermodynamics.