Politicians on all sides are steered
by polls suggesting low public support for raising benefits, especially for the unemployed (about 15 % believe they should get more).
Cameron's task isn't helped, however,
by polls suggesting voters expect him to win and to win big.
Ed Miliband hopes of seizing power next year were rocked last night
by a poll suggesting Labour faces a wipeout in Scotland.
Not exact matches
A
poll commissioned
by Google and released in May
suggested only 20 per cent of Canadians had ever made a mobile purchase and only 16 per cent expected to boost their mobile shopping in the following year.
Wells
suggests all this is happening because more voters are appearing at the ballot box who are not detected
by opinion
polls.
A September
poll conducted
by the Harrison Group and American Express Publishing
suggests this nightmare could come true: nearly 70 % of respondents with $ 100,000 or more in discretionary income said the recession had changed their spending priorities.
However,
polls suggested that if the SPD's members had rejected the deal and effectively triggered fresh elections, the party would have been thoroughly thrashed
by the electorate.
Even in France,
polling suggests people think Greece should stay in the eurozone only
by a thin margin.
Every payday, almost half of Canadians feel hard done
by, with a recent
poll suggesting that 46 % of Canadians believe they're underpaid.
A new
poll by the Military Times
suggests American troops are most likely to vote for Donald Trump.
This week,
polls suggest the opposite: people do not think that the executive actions will reduce the number of people killed
by gun, but they solidly support the proposals.
Steinmeier's intervention
suggests he regards a new election - desired
by half of Germany's voters according to a
poll - as a last resort.
The release of new opinion
polls in Greece
suggests a small lead
by the New Democracy party, backed
by 25.3 percent of voters, versus the 25 percent who favor Syriza.
And a new Forum Research
poll taken since Saturday's election call gives the Conservatives 41 per cent, Liberals 24 per cent and NDP 19 per cent —
suggesting a seat count in which the Tories win 19 new seats for a majority with 162 seats, the Liberals lose 17 to 61, the Bloc rises
by seven to 51 and the NDP drops two to 24.
A new opinion
poll by the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada would
suggest — at least where it comes to attitudes toward Asia and Canada's engagement with the region — that there may be more to this generation than avocado - toast - fuelled narcissism.
This is not simply because Harper is better liked
by Canadians who prefer to steer an SUV while sipping their Starbucks (though
polls suggest he is); this is because Conservative candidates finished within a few percentage points of winning quite a few of those suburban ridings in 2006.
by Silvio Cascione, Sumanta Dey and Vuyani Ndaba (Reuters)- The U.S. dollar is likely to set new records against emerging market currencies this year, although its climb may be slower than in 2015 and possibly hampered
by more frequent bouts of volatility, a Reuters
poll suggested.
A recent
poll by the Financial Planning Standards Council
suggests that a large number of women lack money skills and knowledge.
This summer, the New York Times concluded a lengthy series on the perceptions of race among Americans
by saying: «The series has portrayed a stubbornly enduring racial divide, and the
poll suggested that even as the rawest forms of bigotry have receded they have often been replaced
by remoteness and distrust in places of work, learning and worship.»
An exit
poll published after last year's US Presidential election
by the Pew Research Center
suggested that 81 - per - cent of people identifying as «white, born - again, evangelical Christians» chose Mr Trump over Hillary Clinton.
A
poll conducted in 2009
by Investor's Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence
suggested that physicians are not nearly as uniform in their approval as Obama would like us to think.
A recent
poll suggests 90 percent of Native Americans are not offended
by the nickname of Washington's NFL franchise, but that's not going to change my opinion on this hot - button, societal issue
As an issue, football isn't going to be crucial to the coming election: most
polls suggest that the electorate are more exercised
by such trifling matters as the health service and the state of the economy.
Despite what has happened over the last fortnight,
polls carried out
by various Italian publications would
suggest that supporters are ready to forgive Donnarumma if he opts to stay.
More than half of Britons would support some kind of passenger profiling
by the security services, a new
poll suggests.
This piece, written
by the man who led the independent inquiry into last year's
polling debacle which was released this week,
suggested it was more about unrepresentative samples than it was to do with «shy Tories».
In recent weeks they have been buoyed
by opinion
polls which
suggest the race has narrowed.
However, recent reports
suggest that thousands of EU citizens living in the UK have been mistakenly sent
polling cards
by local authorities.
Electoral and
polling evidence from across Europe
suggests that women are less likely to be attracted
by identity politics and nationalism.
The opinion
polls are putting the Tories roughly ten points below their
poll ratings in 2009, which
suggests that there are ten per cent of voters to be picked up
by the other parties.
An online
poll by civil liberties group Big Brother Watch also
suggested that as few as 12 % of people thought the bill would represent good value for money at a cost of nearly # 2 billion over ten years.
Some analysts have provided interesting evidence to
suggest that online
polls could be significantly overstating support for Leave through the way they handle undecided voters and
by failing to represent more socially liberal voters who are harder to reach.
Recent
polls commissioned
by the Evening Standard have
suggested that Labour's next batch of candidates are nowhere near as well known.
Ekiti purportedly — purportedly because, latter information
suggests that
poll was manipulated
by the then extant powers — jettisoned the noble exertion of the Kayode Fayemi years, for a journey to nowhere, which Ayodele Fayose's present government -
by - impulse
suggests.
A newly - released
poll by Remington Research Group
suggests LG Kathy Hochul is in a tight primary battle with her Democratic challenger, Brooklyn Councilman Jumaane Williams.
And the latest
poll won't have helped: an Ipsos Mori
poll for STV, the latest to come out, puts Labour behind
by 28 points,
suggesting the SNP could take 55 of Scotland's 59 seats.
Many have blamed Jeremy Corbyn for Labour's low
poll ratings and one Labour peer recently
suggested that his party would would win the next election «
by a mile» with Balls as leader.
Shortly after the 2014 conference, private
polling conducted
by James Morris and Stan Greenberg showed Labour doing slightly — but not dramatically — worse than published
polls suggested.
But to dismiss Miliband himself as a failure as leader, as centre - right commentators and Blairite backbenchers tend to do, is bizarre when the only metrics we have (
by - elections, opinion
polls, increasing numbers of party members)
suggest that Labour is on the road to recovery.
A recent Channel 4 News / YouGov
poll suggested otherwise, reporting that potentially 9 Labour and 2 Lib Dem seats could saved from the SNP
by tactical voting between unionist parties.
By coincidence, today also sees the publication of a
poll from YouGov for the Times newspaper which
suggests voters think Cameron is shifting to the right.
Consistency of the pre-election day
polls suggests that the pollsters were reporting what they were told
by the electorate.
They also said Mr Cameron would not be swayed
by findings of another
poll that
suggested only 7 % of voters backed his stance and that 69 % of Tory supporters were among the 74 % of voters who think he should have sacked Mrs Miller.
The
poll suggests Romney has consolidated support among Republicans since winning the first nominating contest in Iowa
by a slim margin last week.
For a variety of reasons (including the impact of high levels of undecided voters in a specific
poll), the actual result of an election contest may vary from the figures
suggested by an opinion
poll, even if the
poll is carried out relatively close to election day, or on election day itself as in the case of exit
polls, but the likelihood of such variation is not something that can be factored into this model.
In order to address the question, I estimate what the party first preference votes would be in the different constituencies, assuming similar (proportional) changes in party vote shares in all constituencies to those that are being
suggested by a particular opinion
poll, or — in this case — an average of the most recent
polls.
After the election, one post-election
poll suggested that turnout amongst 18 - 24 year old went up
by as much as 16 percentage points in 2017, with another
suggesting an increase of 12 points.
Even
by recent
polling standards, the figures for the EURef have been unusually varied but current online
polling puts the race within a few points either way, while telephone
polls suggest a single - figure Remain lead.
Within twelve hours a new opinion
poll of members was released
suggesting Corbyn is set to win the Labour leadership
by a landslide, with none of his rivals even coming close.
Recent marginal
polling by Lord Ashcroft
suggest that this could already be happening.