«The impact of el Nino is characterized by the Multivariate el Nino index (MEI), that of volcanic aerosols
by Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), and solar output by Total Solar Irradiance (TSI).»
Not exact matches
After allowing for humidity and rainfall, they found that «
aerosol optical thickness» — a measure of the concentration of atmospheric particles — decreased
by only 10 to 15 per cent compared with the same periods in 2002 to 2007 (Geophysical Research Letters, in press).
Geoengineering activities are mimicked in the models
by modifying the volcanic
aerosol radiative inputs, applied as variations in stratospheric
optical depth over four zonal bands bounded
by the equator, 30degreesN and 30degreesS.
New VICS publication
by Matthew Toohey and Michael Sigl on volcanic stratospheric sulfur injections and
aerosol optical depth from 500 BCE to 1900 C https://www.earth-syst-sci-data.net/9/809/2017/essd-9-809-2017.html …
Their belief came about because the
optical physics of
aerosols, originating from Sagan and introduced to climate modelling
by his ex-students, Lacis and Hansen in 1974 at GISS / NAS, predicts the cloud part of «global dimming», the increase of albedo
by aerosols supposed to hide present CO2 - AGW.
The degree of spatial heterogeneity can be seen
by considering the
aerosol optical depth for a number of
aerosol species as shown
by model results in Figure 4 - 1.
Kiehl et al. (2000) improve the treatment of relative humidity compared to Kiehl and Briegleb (1993) and Kiehl and Rodhe (1995)
by improving the relative humidity dependence of the
aerosol optical properties and
by using interactive GCM relative humidities rather than monthly mean ECMWF analyses, resulting in a larger normalised radiative forcing.
FIGURE 4 - 1 Annual mean
aerosol optical depth predicted
by an
aerosol chemical transport model due to sulfate, mineral dust, sea salt, and organic and black carbon
aerosols.
«The overall slow decrease of upwelling SW flux from the mid-1980's until the end of the 1990's and subsequent increase from 2000 onwards appear to caused, primarily,
by changes in global cloud cover (although there is a small increase of cloud
optical thickness after 2000) and is confirmed
by the ERBS measurements... The overall slight rise (relative heating) of global total net flux at TOA between the 1980's and 1990's is confirmed in the tropics
by the ERBS measurements and exceeds the estimated climate forcing changes (greenhouse gases and
aerosols) for this period.
Foster and Rahmstorf characterize ENSO
by using the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI),
aerosol optical thickness data (AOD) for volcanic activity, and solar irradiance data (from PMOD) to characterize solar activity.
You get that
by correcting Sagan's incorrect
aerosol optical physics which the warmists use to claim increased cloud albedo is hiding CO2 - AGW.
It all goes back to Sagan who was misled
by mistaken
aerosol optical physics.
Aerosols may influence climate in several ways: directly through scattering and absorbing radiation (see
Aerosol — radiation interaction) and indirectly
by acting as cloud condensation nuclei or ice nuclei, modifying the
optical properties and lifetime of clouds (see
Aerosol — cloud interaction).
The mean physical and
optical properties of regional haze dominated
by biomass burning
aerosol measured from the C - 130 aircraft during SAFARI 2000.
shows that natural VOC induced
aerosols above the boundary layer are mostly of natural origin (7:1), and comprise a 2:1 up to > 10:1 amount, compared to SOx (SO2 + sulfate)
aerosols in the 0.5 - 10 km free troposphere, or 10 % of the total
aerosol optical depth measured
by satellites... Add to that the effect below the boundary layer and the effect of other natural
aerosols (natural fires, sea salt, sand dust, DMS, NOx), good for some 38 % of the < 1 micron fraction of total
aerosols (according to IPCC estimates)...
Compute the surface radiative forcing and its amplification
by the atmospheric warming in a manner following Myhre and Stordal 1997, using gridded global fields of of the input variables obtained from observations (e.g. the ECMWF reanalysis, ISCCP clouds, satellite ozone, some sort of
aerosol optical depth from satellite.