The GTFM is determined mainly
by confidence indicators such as credit spreads, the yield curve, the relative strength of the banking sector and inflation expectations, although it also takes into account the US dollar's exchange rate and the general commodity - price trend.
Not exact matches
Analysts said they weren't reading too much into what they described as a «backward - looking
indicator» and were hopeful about the economic prospects given an upturn in recent
indicators such as
confidence and machinery orders, not to mention efforts
by Japan's new government to revive growth.
«The decline in
confidence was fueled
by a somewhat less optimistic outlook for business and job prospects in the coming months,» Lynn Franco, Director of Economic
Indicators at The Conference Board, said in a statement.
And we are not talking just about the recent rise in lipstick sales at Estée Lauder, which is considered
by some to be a hot - red
indicator of economic trouble (at least on slow news days) on the horizon because consumers tend to turn to less expensive indulgences when losing
confidence in the future.
Consumption
indicators over the last few months were mixed with retail sales volumes rising in the third quarter, in spite of declining in September, while seasonally adjusted consumer
confidence measured
by the GfK / EC survey rose modestly in October.
In the third quarter, there were fewer foreclosures, increased credit - card and auto lending (
indicators of rising consumer
confidence), and an overall drop in our collective debt load, led
by decreasing mortgage debt.
Confidence in gross findings can be developed
by replication,
by averaging results over several time periods, and
by using several measures of the development of human capital — not tests alone, but also attendance rates, dropout rates, and promotion rates (a very high - quality assessment will track
indicators of human capital such as post-secondary school earnings and higher - education outcomes as well).
The PE ratio has meaning, and therefore analytical value, it is an
indicator of
confidence of maintaining earnings, but if you make buy and sell decisions based on the PE ratio all you are doing is letting yourself be lead
by the market (be it directly or inversely).
In the third quarter, there were fewer foreclosures, increased credit - card and auto lending (
indicators of rising consumer
confidence), and an overall drop in our collective debt load, led
by decreasing mortgage debt.
[Update: The Times polling unit does not have
confidence in the automated polling methods used
by Rasmussen Reports; A couple of independent experts tracking public opinion on climate said other
indicators mesh with the finding above.]
The results revealed (1) «strong
indicators of user satisfaction of the users using a ROSS - supported toolset with respect to the usability, presentation of search results, and inclusion of relevant authorities within the search results»; (2) «high levels of
confidence in the ability of the tool to identify all authorities relevant to the matter» and ultimately (3) «[i] n nearly all cases, the responses indicated
by participants using ROSS and another tool often exceeded those of organizations using only Boolean search or only Natural Language search
by at least a full point.»
Analysts are encouraged
by indicators that are on a positive trend, such as consumer
confidence and jobs; however, dire housing inventory levels are making the market track unevenly.