Most academic studies of market capitalization sort stocks
by deciles (10 percent) and review how an investment in each fares over time.
Calculating BMDEV for the 3500 or so existing funds during that period, ranking
them by decile within peer group, and then assessing subsequent bear market performance provides an encouraging result... funds with the lowest bear market deviation (BMDEV) well out - performed funds with the highest bear market deviation, as depicted below.
If we sorted the database
by decile, each decile would be made up of 818 stocks.
Also, in an earlier post you show the results of a P / TB broken out
by decile here (https://greenbackd.com/2010/10/29/donald-g-smith-in-the-fall-2010-graham-and-doddsville-newsletter/).
Not exact matches
According to one limited partner who has been involved in every Founders Fund pool since 2007, performances have ranked in the «top quartile, if not the top
decile» of all VC funds of their vintage (i.e., the category determined
by the year the fund closed), with annual returns in the 35 % to 45 % range.
What is most striking about income sources in the third
decile is the prominent role of incomes generated
by the first two pillars — especially pillar 1.
Ranks stocks into tenths (
deciles) separately
by prior - day change in tweets and market capitalization.
You'll notice that the overvaluation at the 2000 peak was really dominated
by extreme valuation in the top
decile of price / revenue ratios.
For each
decile, we've subtracted the 1986 - 2016 average price / revenue ratio for that
decile, dividing the result
by the standard deviation of valuations in that
decile (again from 1986 - 2016).
They then use additional regressions and a ranking of funds into tenths (
deciles)
by fee to analyze relationships between alphas and fees.
In other words, they pick stocks for portfolios 3 and 4
by first sorting into
deciles based on prior - month return and then sorting each of these
deciles into nested
deciles sorted based on share turnover.
Wes et al have set up an experiment comparing the performance of the stocks selected
by the investors on the VIC — arguably the best 250 special situation investors in the US — and the top
decile of stocks selected
by the Magic Formula over the period March 1, 2000 through to the end of last year.
«
By the end of July 1932 - the month the Dow Jones Industrials bottomed out - 80 % of all NYSE stocks in the bottom
decile had bid prices less than or equal to $ 1 per share, while the bid - ask spread for these prices averaged 135 % of the bid price (e.g., bid 1/2, ask 1-1/8).
The following chart shows that the best
decile of stocks based on the value composite have underperformed the average investment
by over -11 % over the last twelve months.
As a percentage of income
by income
decile (the purple line) this means that the property tax isregressive — the poorest four
deciles pay a larger percentage of their annual incomes (on average) than do the richest six
deciles.
«The modernisation of Kitimat will transform its performance, moving it from the third quartile to the first
decile of the industry cost curve, and cut greenhouse gas emissions
by about half,» said Jacynthe Côté, chief executive of Rio Tinto Alcan.
We first examined bees waggle dancing for natural food sources that received stop signals elicited
by unknown natural causes (SS naturally elicited): 42 % of these waggle dances ended with a stop signal in the last two
deciles of the dance (significantly different from a uniform distribution, χ92 = 33, p = 0.0001).
For example, those in the bottom
decile (lowest 10 percent) improved
by more than half a standard deviation, about a year and one half worth of improvement.
Drawing on a study
by Stanford education professor Sean Reardon, Ladd says that the gap in reading achievement between students from families in the lowest and highest income
deciles is larger for those born in 2001 than for those born in the early 1940s.
AB 47
by Assemblyman Jared Huffman, D - San Rafael, would delete the 10 percent exception and require that the open enrollment list be reflective of those schools that ranked in
decile one of the state's most recent Academic Performance Index.
Table 3: Percentage of New York City Students Failing to Meet Proficiency on Achievement Exams
by Test and Poverty
Decile, 2000 and 2005
Throughout our analysis we characterize students
by their math aptitude as measured
by their performance on the required 8th grade math end of grade test, with performance divided into
deciles from low to high.
SB 1458 also requires the State Superintendent of Public Instruction (SPI) to present alternatives to the current
decile ranking system to the Legislature
by October 1st, 2013.
Many students, particularly those at the higher
deciles, were already taking four math courses
by the time the minimum number was increased, so the new requirement presumably had no direct effect on them.
But in eight of the 10
deciles we observed greater - than - expected increases in the share of students who, using the proxy we had (whether a student had taken Algebra II
by 11th grade), were in a position to meet the new four - course standard.
I think that your readers divided into
deciles by investable assets would show that most of them, with limit orders and patience, could utilize a small / micro / nano cap strategy.
-LSB-...] the value
decile of each (measured
by the enterprise multiple or EBITDA / enterprise value — overview of the research on the enterprise multiple here).
They are perhaps best known for the Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk paper, which, among other things, analyzed low price - to - book value stocks in
deciles (an approach possibly suggested
by Roger Ibbotson's study
Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984).
The table below shows the constituents of the energy sector's cheapest
decile as ranked
by earnings yield.
I assume that the 8th
decile — the
decile highlighted
by Mebane — is the
decile in which the market presently sits (although it's right on the threshold between the 8th and the 9th
decile).
One such monthly time series represents the returns of ten portfolios formed
by sorting the universe
by each stock's ratio of book equity to market value and splitting them evenly into
deciles.
In this instance, Professor Oppenheimer's study speaks to the return on the Near Graham Net Net Portfolio, as Roger Ibbotson's
Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984 (1986), Werner F.M. DeBondt and Richard H. Thaler's Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality (1987), Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny's Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk (1994) as updated
by The Brandes Institute's Value vs Glamour: A Global Phenomenon (2008) speak to the return on the Ultra-low Price - to - book Portfolio.
Can we improve performance
by seeking higher quality stocks in the value
decile, rather than equal weighting the two factors?
First, there is no evidence that any long - term average is consistently better than any other, measured either on the raw performance to the value
decile, or
by the value premium created.
The yellow dotted line shows the average returns to the ten
decile portfolios of stocks ranked
by price - to - book value from 1968 to 2012.
The first chart shows the top and bottom ranked
deciles by EBIT / EV for the US (although other countries tell a similar story).
I quote:
By marrying the two and buying the 25 stocks from
decile 1 of Value Factor Two with the best six - month price appreciation, average annual returns jump to an eye - popping 21.19 percent, turning $ 10,000 into $ 69,098,587 between 1964 and 2009.»
But there are occasionally long periods (5 years or more) when the glamour
decile outperforms, and
by a wide margin (the late 1990s for example).
Stocks that paid dividends were sorted
by yield and split into 10 groups called
deciles.
LSV (among others) examined P / B in their Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk paper, and found that it was predictive (Of course this finding needs to be tempered
by O'Shaugnessy's observation that the smaller
deciles are uninvestable because they are too small).
To see how tough it has been for value investors, and the impact of the Magic Formula effect, I backtested the performance of four indexes against the value
decile of each (measured
by the enterprise multiple or EBITDA / enterprise value — overview of the research on the enterprise multiple here).
Again, though the value
decile outperformed
by a wide margin over the full period, it only beat the Russell 2000 index in 3 out of 7 years, less than half the time.
The following chart shows the returns to each of the
deciles sorted
by dividend yield (Updated to include non-dividend payers).
Here we find that the value
decile generate 17.8 percent per year compound, outperforming the index
by 5.6 percent per year compound over the full period (and
by 7.5 percent on average).
Table 4 - 9 shows the largest stock
by market capitalization for each of the
deciles ranked
by price - to - book value.
The stocks were sorted
by price volatility
deciles, so you had to pick some volatile stocks and tame stocks.
-LSB-...] value stocks in
deciles (an approach possibly suggested
by Roger Ibbotson's study
Decile Portfolios of the New York Stock Exchange, 1967 — 1984).
The first option is to simply always remain fully invested in the value
decile (measured
by price - to - book value).
The value
decile returned 19.8 percent compound over the full period, beating its corresponding index
by 7.0 percent per year compound (and
by 10.7 percent on average).
The shelter offered
by the value
decile in the Dot Com Bust was missing in the Credit Crisis.