Sentences with phrase «by each pollster in»

Taking the most recent poll published by each pollster in the last week, we calculate the proportion showing a Conservative lead over Labour of more than 6 points as the pseudo-probability of a Conservative majority, but we allow polls with exactly a 6 point lead to contribute a 0.5 to the average.

Not exact matches

Pollsters first began tracking Americans» confidence in their major institutions — such as the church and the Supreme Court — as a result of the rancor caused by the Vietnam War and Watergate.

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid.

Polling done a year ago by another well - known pollster, Abacus Data, indicated similarly high levels of support and an identical level of opposition for the Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion project that currently dominates news coverage in both Alberta and British Columbia.

«For the first time tonight, same - sex marriage has been passed by popular vote in Maine and Maryland,» said Robert P. Jones, a Washington - based pollster who specializes in questions about politics and religion.

Such conservatives, estimated by pollster Daniel Yankelovich as one American in five, are actually somewhat marginal to the mainstream of national life, have few polished spokespersons, and are given to unsophisticated and vehement expression of their resentment about assaults on their convictions and values.

In every poll conducted by eight major national pollsters this year, opposition to the Affordable Care Act outweighs support.»

Veteran Israeli politicians expect the Obama administration to give Israel an ultimatum later this year to make peace with the Palestinian Authority» that is, with a political entity that is kept alive on the West Bank by an American - trained militia and the Israeli Army, and that is headed by a prime minister, Salam Fayyad, whose party won 2 percent of the vote in the last elections and who faces a constituency two - thirds of which tells pollsters that it doesn't want any deal with a Jewish state.

A jump in the computers would be likely, with pollsters perhaps being swayed by the Buckeyes being on a bye (pollsters do that sometimes).

The top three fall in line with the recently released Coaches Poll; however, Florida State is ranked 7th by the pollsters and 4th by the oddsmakers.

The information is typically protected by data protection rules and is zealously guarded by political parties, who do not like pollsters and journalists sniffing around their membership for changes in mood.

Pollsters predict another hung parliament in May this year, which is also likely to be characterized by a more complex constellation of political forces than its predecessor.

«After his lopsided victory in the Republican primary, Paladino is now better known by New York voters — but not necessarily better liked, other than by Republican and conservative voters,» said Siena pollster Steve Greenberg.

Holtzman was encouraged to get into the AG's race this year by a poll conducted by Doug Schoen (Mayor Bloomberg's pollster) that found she had the strongest name recognition of any of the Democratic contenders — particularly in NYC, where the bulk of the primary vote originates.

... That line comes compliments of the every - quotable Q pollster Mickey Carroll, who's out with a new survey today that found New Yorkers prefer Gov. Andrew Cuomo's charm offensive in hopes of getting lawmakers to support his budget to the all - out assault approach preferred by former Gov. Eliot «Steamroller» Spitzer.

The Ashanti Region is the traditional stronghold of the New Patriotic Party but political analysts and pollsters have indicated that the infrastructural and developmental projects instituted in the region by President Mahama is most likely a factor that was going to shore up the fortunes of the NDC in the upcoming elections.

As acknowledged by the polling company Panelbase, «all pollsters are in pretty unchartered territory.»

A press notice out by Channel 4 about the show stated: «From political strategists and pollsters to disrupters and provocateurs — the decisions taken and platforms set out during those eight weeks in the summer of 2016 have had reverberations throughout British politics and across the globe like no other event since the fall of the Berlin Wall.

On election night, Clinton, buoyant in the hopes of a much - predicted win embellished by the major pollsters, political pundits and social media soothsayers, chose to hold her victory celebrations at Manhattan's Jacob Javits Centre where there is a gigantic, transparent ceiling — a dramatic way to consummate her victory.

Labour is currently trailing the Conservatives in the polls by 12 - 17 percentage points (depending on the pollster), an extraordinary position for a party seven years in opposition.

In a November 2006 press release issued by his firm, Braynard boasted that, thanks to his patented «Braynard Precision Survey Method,» he was the only pollster to correctly predict the wide victory margin for Democrat Ben Cardin in his Maryland Senate race that year against Republican Michael SteelIn a November 2006 press release issued by his firm, Braynard boasted that, thanks to his patented «Braynard Precision Survey Method,» he was the only pollster to correctly predict the wide victory margin for Democrat Ben Cardin in his Maryland Senate race that year against Republican Michael Steelin his Maryland Senate race that year against Republican Michael Steele.

In an all - party primary, Republican state Assemblyman Katcho Achadijan would take the first - place spot with 24 percent, followed by Schneider with 16 percent, Carbajal with 11 percent and GOP businessman Justin Fareed with 10 percent, according to a poll paid for by Schneider's campaign and conducted by top Democratic pollster Celinda Lake.

But Labour's wipeout in Scotland was the only bit of this election accurately predicted by the pollsters, although even here the scale of our defeat was underestimated.

In 2010, they were the least reliable pollster by some margin.

«With millions being spent by the campaigns and the parties to woo voters and nearly six weeks left, this race is far from over but Brooks will not have an easy job in trying to unseat a popular incumbent,» said Siena pollster Steve Greenberg.

The shadow cabinet was recently given a presentation by Greg Cook, the Labour party's veteran in - house pollster, about why they lost the election.

Emails obtained by The Post show that while building her Gracie Mansion résumé, McCray consulted in early 2015 with de Blasio's main campaign pollster, Anna Greenberg, of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, in Washington, DC.

Siena pollster Stevse Greenberg noted the three districts surveyed, which also includes the 43rd currently held by GOP Sen. Roy McDonald, who lots his September primary bid for the GOP line, are seen as among the key races in the Democrats» attempt to retake the Senate majority.

With a «toss - up» of a race, Levy, the Siena pollster, said the winner will be dictated by «turnout, turnout, turnout» in an election that is likely to draw low participation because there are no state or federal races at play.

Pollster Steven Greenberg said Gipson and Serino are running even among people 55 and older in the 41st Disrict butthat Serino is leading by 25 points with younger voters.

According to HuffPost Pollster's aggregation, Clinton leads Trump by less than 2 points in the state, which voted for Obama in 2008 and Romney in 2012.

«A majority of Democrats, independents, voters from every region and race agree that the Attorney General and not local district attorneys should have authority in cases where unarmed civilians are killed by police officers, although Democrats, New York City voters, blacks and Latinos feel most strongly about this,» Siena College pollster Steve Greenberg said.

There is virtually no gender gap in this race between a Democratic woman and a Republican man, as Amedore leads with men by 14 points and he leads with women by nine points, according to Siena pollster Steve Greenberg.

According to the polls conducted by Jan R van Lohuizen (former President George W. Bush's pollster for his 2004 re-election) for the American Unity PAC, Hanna led Tenney by 52 - 31 among likely primary voters in early May, and by the end of the month was ahead 61 - 20.

The pollsters found that seven in 10 Britons want to keep the Trident nuclear deterrent, as supported by Cameron.

Also — while I appreciate their outsized sense of our influence — this poll was conducted by an outside pollster (GQRR in this case).

http://ghanapoliticsonline.com Pollsters are also usually analytical about the chances of candidates elected by their parties to contest the Presidential and Parliamentary elections in the country.

George Eaton in the New Statesman has done us a service by revisiting the informative audit of the 2010 election by the Tory pollster Lord Ashcroft, entitled Minority Verdict, which throws new relevant light on the likely outcome of the present election campaign.

In a survey underwritten by a group trying to bring a casino to the former Nevele hotel resort in Ulster County, pollsters asked if the casino would be built in a resort destination outside of any city, 69 per cent replied in favoIn a survey underwritten by a group trying to bring a casino to the former Nevele hotel resort in Ulster County, pollsters asked if the casino would be built in a resort destination outside of any city, 69 per cent replied in favoin Ulster County, pollsters asked if the casino would be built in a resort destination outside of any city, 69 per cent replied in favoin a resort destination outside of any city, 69 per cent replied in favoin favor.

«Due to the dire economic and financial conditions of New York State and the very weak ratings of incumbent State Comptroller Tom DiNapoli, as long as he has sufficient resources to get his message out, Harry Wilson is very likely to win this election,» pollster John McLaughlin wrote in the memo, which was forwarded by Wilson's campaign manager Chapin Fay.

The survey, conducted by Murphy's former pollster and paid for by an unnamed Murphy supporter, bucks the commonly held notion that centrism — including a Murphy unity ticket with former Republican Rep. David Jolly — has no place in a partisan Democratic primary in Florida.

She leads by 24 points in New York City and 32 points in the downstate suburbs, while only leading by eight points upstate,» said Siena College pollster Steve Greenberg.

«Heaney's job in winning the primary is considerably harder when he's viewed unfavorably by a 16 - point margin and Faso is viewed favorably by a 17 - point margin,» Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said.

«These are four of the many Senate districts political insiders are watching, and the two currently held by Democrats appear to be very much in play,» said Siena pollster Steve Greenberg.

It requires you to believe that, on the one hand, Charles's local reputation is so strong that he is unbeatable no matter what the national circumstances, and — at the same time — that even after 32 years as their MP nobody in his constituency will remember his name unless reminded by a pollster.

«Early on, this race looked like it was going to be one of the closest in the state, a former Democratic City Council member taking on an embattled incumbent Republican under federal indictment in a district that is, at least by enrollment, dominated by Democrats,» Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement.

While private pollsters have reached a broad near - consensus on many of the causes of error in the 2016 presidential election, their public counterparts — typically run by news outlets and colleges — have not changed much about their approach.

Grant partnered with Remington Research Group, a pollster that made its name, in part, by predicting a Donald Trump in 2016 win when others wouldn't.

In their second ever national poll, pollsters Survation raised eyebrows by placing Ukip on 11 %, just one point behind the Liberal Democrats and up seven points from the eurosceptic party's showing in their first surveIn their second ever national poll, pollsters Survation raised eyebrows by placing Ukip on 11 %, just one point behind the Liberal Democrats and up seven points from the eurosceptic party's showing in their first survein their first survey.

Walsh pulled off his unlikely victory by peeling off a large number of Democratic voters in the left - leaning college town, according to Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg.