Finally,
by flattening the yield curve, the Fed's purchases have harmed commercial banks, the profits of which come mainly from borrowing short, lending long, and pocketing the difference.
Not exact matches
The
flattening of the
yield curve could be exacerbated
by Chinese sales of 5 - year Treasury notes.
As a result, the
yield curve
flattened and
by the end of December was near inversion for the first time in a decade.
Should our ongoing bull market go from strength to strength, we can anticipate that the
yield curve will validate this message
by flattening or even rising further, with shorter term
yields rising more quickly than longer term
yields.
These changes also caused the
yield curve to
flatten by over 70 bps as the year progressed.
By mid - 2006, they raised the Fed Funds rate to 5.25 %,
flattening to invert the
yield curve, which collapsed the leverage in the economy in a disorderly way.
-LRB-...) A recent research paper
by Claudio Borio at the Bank for International Settlements argues that bank profitability is damaged in a non linear way when interest rates fall and
yield curves
flatten, and that applies in spades when rates go negative.
When the Fed decides to change course
by nudging the fed funds rate higher, it is possible that interest rates in general will rise, and / or that the
yield curve may
flatten out.
Yields on 10 - year Treasurys were largely unaffected
by this dramatic increase in short - term rates,
flattening and eventually inverting the
yield curve.
In 2001 when the smoothed
yield curve
flattened, but didn't invert, World EPS again declined
by more than 10 percent.
Perhaps more important is the
flattening yield curve, as measured
by the spread between 10 - year
yield and 2 - year
yield, which reached its flattest level since 2007.
Over the same tightening cycle that ended in 2006, the impact on the 10 - Year U.S. Treasury Bond
yield was 60 bps higher, driving the 1 - Year / 10 - Year slope to
flatten by 265 bps (see Exhibit 1).
It remains to be seen if this trend continues after the U.S. curve has
flattened by 52 basis points as measured
by the
yield of the S&P / BGCantor Current 30 Year U.S. Treasury Index.
Despite a typical hiking cycle causing a
flattening of the
yield curve, we are potentially embarking on a path where
yield curves may steepen significantly, as the Fed may be concluding that financial conditions (i.e. stock prices) can only be impacted
by engineering a steeper
yield curve and higher term premium.
No doubt, the slope of the
yield curve, as measured
by the spread between two - and 10 - year government bonds, has been
flattening since 2014 in both Canada and the United States, and the trend has recently intensified: as we headed into December, the curve sat at its flattest level since the Great Recession.
By mid - 2006, they raised the Fed Funds rate to 5.25 %,
flattening to invert the
yield curve, which collapsed the leverage in the economy in a disorderly way.
At the pace the
yield curve is
flattening, it will be inverted
by August or September.
As a result, the
yield curve
flattened and
by the end of December was near inversion for the first time in a decade.
The Canadian
yield curve
flattened by a similar amount.
Two - year
yields rose
by twenty basis points,
flattening the
yield curve further.
This leads to the second scenario identified
by Straus» and his team: «Contra - indicative
yield curve
flattening and / or inversion.»
By contrast, squares are
flattened in Block Party (2013), maxing out the picture plane and
yielding only slivers of a mid-afternoon sky blue surrounding large fields of hot - brick red and a summery white - gray.
Despite the recent interest rate hikes
by FOMC, rates are still at historical lows and the
yield curve is
flattening, driving lender behavior in the search for
yield.