However, detecting acceleration is difficult because of (i) interannual variability in GMSL largely driven by changes in terrestrial water storage (TWS)(7 ⇓ — 9), (ii) decadal variability in TWS (10), thermosteric sea level, and ice sheet mass loss (11) that might masquerade as a long - term acceleration over a 25 - y record, (iii) episodic variability driven
by large volcanic eruptions (12), and (iv) errors in the altimeter data, in particular, potential drifts in the instruments over time (13).
The ability of models to simulate ocean heat uptake, including variations imposed
by large volcanic eruptions, adds confidence to their use in assessing the global energy budget and simulating the thermal component of sea level rise.
A few years ago, he was trying to get people to take to his idea of how to mitigate global warming by pumping sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, mirroring the cooling effect caused
by large volcanic eruptions.
This may imply that the levels had earlier been boosted
by a large volcanic eruption.
You can also experience the desolation and beauty of the Valley of 10,000 smokes while at Katmai to see a wondrous area left
by the largest volcanic eruption of the last century.
Katmai was established as a Preserve in 1918 to protect the region surrounding Mount Katmai and the Valley of Ten Thousand Smokes that was devastated
by the largest volcanic eruption of the 20th Century.
They think that the only way for global - average temperatures to change is for the climate system to be forced «externally»... by a change in the output of the sun, or
by a large volcanic eruption.
Not exact matches
Th experiment suggests that enhanced UV - B at the end of the Permian, caused
by ozone depletion from
volcanic eruptions, could have contributed to Earth's
largest mass extinction.
That is the headline finding of an international team, led
by geochemists from Trinity College Dublin, who discovered that
large impacts can be followed
by intense, long - lived, and explosive
volcanic eruptions.
By conducting a number of numerical simulations of this process, the research team showed that these
large reservoirs are crucial to generating the
largest volcanic eruptions on Earth.
In a new study, an international team of scientists claim that the most powerful
volcanic eruptions, dubbed «super-
eruptions», are triggered
by a slow and steady drip feed of magma from
large reservoirs deep within Earth's crust into smaller reservoirs closer to the surface.
Large quantities of mercury are also released
by natural processes such as
volcanic eruptions, forest fires and erosion.
One of the
largest colonies of gentoo penguins in Antarctica was decimated
by volcanic eruptions several times during the last 7,000 years according to a new study.
Researchers have now found an explanation for what triggered the
largest volcanic eruption witnessed
by humankind.
By simulating past summers — instead of relying solely on observations — the scientists established a
large range of temperatures that could have occurred naturally under the same conditions, including greenhouse gas concentrations and
volcanic eruptions.
This would open up
large areas of airspace that would otherwise be closed during a
volcanic eruption, which would benefit passengers
by minimising disruption.
The short - term variations are dominated
by ENSO but also can be influenced
by large tropical
volcanic eruptions (such as occurred in 1963, 1982 and, markedly, 1991), so the years after those
eruptions are anomalously cool.
What is your level of confidence in the prediction made
by GISS: «barring the unlikely event of a
large volcanic eruption, a record global temperature clearly exceeding that of 2005 can be expected within the next 2 - 3 years.»
Some are of course external —
large volcanic eruptions block incoming solar radiation from reaching and being absorved
by Earth's surface.
A hurricane is the most horrendous force of nature, often exceeding the havoc caused
by volcanic eruptions and earthquakes, creating destruction over a far
larger territory.
Lake Toba (Danau Toba in Indonesian) is the
largest volcanic lake in the world, formed
by a cataclysmic
eruption around 70,000 years ago.
The
largest eruption of the 20th Century inspired a
large amount of research on the connection between
volcanic eruptions and the Earth's atmosphere in the 12 years since that
eruption, as exemplified
by the chapters in this book.
I've sometimes thought that global cataclysms like the
largest volcanic eruptions would disrupt the glacial records
by many years, like Oruanui
eruption c. 26500bp, as these would induce unrecorded behavior in weather and other things, f.e. the huge ash deposits might decrease the albedo so much a local melting event happens.
Indeed, one complicating issue is that many
volcanic eruptions are shortly followed
by large El Nino events (e.g. Emile - Geay argue strongly for such a response to the AD 1258
eruption).
I chose the 1997/98 El Niño because that event wasn't opposed
by a
volcanic eruption and it was
large enough to overwhelm the background noise.
«Barring a major
volcanic eruption, most 15 - year global mean surface temperature trends in the near - term future will be
larger than during 1998 - 2012,» according to the 127 - page Technical Summary dated June 7 and obtained
by Reuters.
Scientists at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and the Bonneville Power Administration think underground porous rocks produced
by volcanic eruptions could be used as a
large battery system.
It could be a relatively cheap, effective and quick way to cool the planet
by mimicking the natural effects on climate of
large volcanic eruptions, but scientists concede there could be dramatic and dangerous side effects that they don't know about.
The 1991
volcanic eruptions (Pinatubo, Hudson) injected 23 Megatonnes of SO2 into the stratosphere, leaving a sulfurous cloud that circled the globe for about 2 years before finally settling out (together with a
large quantity of fine particulate matter which rapidly settled out) The sulfurous cloud caused average global temperatures to drop
by 0.55 deg.
«Since 1997, when Pinatubo's aerosol settled out, the stratosphere has been exceptionally clear... Half or more of the warming since 1995 may due to the lack of
large volcanic eruptions... That's about 0.13 °C... The remaining climate change is presumably caused
by other forces, such as solar variability, El Nino, Atlantic AMO warming in 1995, lower Albedo and maybe even a little greenhouse gas.»
I excluded years which were strongly influenced
by the El Chichón (1983 — 1985) and Mount Pinatubo (1992 — 1994)
volcanic eruptions (because
large eruptions release particulates into the atmosphere which cause a strong short - term cooling), and looked at the temperature trends in each of the three categories (Figure 1).
If you look at the average global response to
large volcanic eruptions, from Krakatoa to Pinatubo, you would see that the global temperature decreased
by only about 0.1 °C while the hypersensitive climate models give 0.3 to 0.5 °C, not seen in reality.
By 1962, man burning fossil fuels was adding SO2 to the atmosphere at a rate equivalent to one «
large»
volcanic eruption each 1.7 years.
92) If one factors in non-greenhouse influences such as El Nino events and
large volcanic eruptions, lower atmosphere satellite - based temperature measurements show little, if any, global warming since 1979, a period over which atmospheric CO2 has increased
by 55 ppm (17 per cent).
The short - term variations are dominated
by ENSO but also can be influenced
by large tropical
volcanic eruptions (such as occurred in 1963, 1982 and, markedly, 1991), so the years after those
eruptions are anomalously cool.
They range from mimicking the effects of
large volcanic eruptions by releasing sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere, to deploying giant mirrors in space to deflect the sun's rays.
Then throw in massive
volcanic eruptions and huge continent wide brush fires caused
by volcanoes or meteor showers (both theories I have seen in the literature) and you have many events that could cause climate disruption on a
large scale.
Large volcanic eruptions increase the number of small particles in the stratosphere that reflect sunlight, leading to short - term surface cooling lasting typically two to three years, followed
by a slow recovery.