Sentences with phrase «by other climate models»

Those numbers caused a stir, because they were substantially higher than HFC warming forecasts made by other climate models, including those underpinning the massive reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Not exact matches

But in the current climate adaptation is key, and politicians have yet to acknowledge the need to reform and / or to accept being overtaken by other socio - economic models more in tune with reality.

Other crowdsourced projects include labeling aerial photos of Mongolia in a quest to find Genghis Khan's tomb and improving climate models by poring over World War I ship logs for weather information.

Many other studies on black carbon's climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Climate Change.

Using statistically modeled maps drawn from satellite data and other sources, U.S. Geological Survey scientists have projected that the near - surface permafrost that presently underlies 38 percent of boreal and arctic Alaska would be reduced by 16 to 24 percent by the end of the 21st century under widely accepted climate scenarios.

USGS looked at the likely effects of climate change using two models, one where the temperature rises 2 degrees Fahrenheit by 2099 and the other where it climbs 7 degrees by century's end.

The massive projects needed now — such as devising a model of climate change detailed enough to be truly predictive or batteries efficient enough to compete with gasoline — can not wait or depend on chancy funding, he believes.He added that a strong national commitment to goal - centered basic science could help solve other important problems by drawing America's talented young people into scientific work and providing them with better opportunities for aspiring researchers to build careers with a realistic chance of making both a significant scientific contribution and a decent living.

RICE, alongside other models, is used by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to determine the potential effects of different climate policies.

An interdisciplinary team of researchers led by ETH climate scientist Joeri Rogelj used several models to calculate how the climatic effects of CO2 and SLCF break down and how they relate to each other.

On the other hand, statistical analysis of the past century's hurricanes and computer modeling of a warmer climate, nudged along by greenhouse gases, does indicate that rising ocean temperatures could fuel hurricanes that are more intense.

A new integrated climate model developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and other institutions is designed to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions as it bridges Earth systems with energy and economic models and large - scale human impact data.

To make mortality estimates, the researchers took temperature projections from 16 global climate models, downscaled these to Manhattan, and put them against two different backdrops: one assuming rapid global population growth and few efforts to limit emissions; the other, assuming slower growth, and technological changes that would decrease emissions by 2040.

«Climate changes predicted by the global circulation models would cause several percent of the Mexican population to move north [if] all other factors are held constant.»

Such offices shall engage in cooperative research, development, and demonstration projects with the academic community, State Climate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory ComClimate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory ComClimate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Committee.

Some climate models suggest that, at current CO2 emissions levels, 80 percent of Arctic waters could prove corrosive to clams, pteropods and other species at the base of the polar food chain by 2060, the new statement said.

Improvements in these areas look promising in a DOE - sponsored, next - generation climate model being developed by scientists at PNNL and other collaborative research institutions.

The scientists carefully evaluated many aspects of the climate in the four simulations, using measurements taken from the area, data pulled together from other studies, and data produced by the model.

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

Leung emphasized the estimate's conservativeness, noting that the climate projections of warming devised by the U.S. Department of Energy and the National Center for Atmospheric Research are on the low end compared to most other models.

The development of the beta version of other Aerosol Modeling Testbed was sponsored by PNNL's Laboratory Directed Research and Development program through the Aerosol Climate Initiative.

And parents don't know that our district will be the model for all others — because we do it best — we will collect SSP data in the form of social and emotional surveys, we will change our curriculum to socially engineer our children with social and emotional instruction without parents suspecting a thing, we will assess and survey up the wazoo about academics, school climate, cyberbullying, etc. while willing parents stand by, we will enhance our teacher evaluation program and refine it into a well - oiled teacher manipulation machine, and since our kids would do well no matter what because we have uber - involved parents, it will look like everything the Administrators are doing at the State's recommendation causes the success.

The rest of this particular Outback, a 2013 2.5 i Limited model, costs $ 30,000, and it's notably well - equipped all by itself: Heated and electrically adjustable leather front seats and no fewer than eight cupholders; plentiful airbags and other passive safety systems; a push - button electronic parking brake, dual - zone automatic climate control and even a wiper de-icer.

The pension metrics system will give Wells Fargo Institutional Retirement and Trust the flexibility to offer clients live modeling updates by changing assumptions and other factors, generating a living document that matches today's volatile investment climate.

After reading in a wide variety of the climate science literature, I realized that computer modeling is far beyond any other field to the extent it depends upon tacit knowledge... by which I mean important knowledge not documented in peer - reviewed publications, nor even in textbooks and gray literature like conference proceedings, but widely shared.

Such close linkages between CO2 concentration and climate variability are consistent with modelling results suggesting with high confidence that glacial — interglacial variations of CO2 and other greenhouse gases [CH4, N2O] explain a considerable fraction of glacial — interglacial climate variability in regions not directly affected by the northern hemisphere continental ice sheets (Timmermann et al., 2009; Shakun et al., 2012).

The recent paper by Kate Marvel and others (including me) in Nature Climate Change looks at the different forcings and their climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modelingClimate Change looks at the different forcings and their climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modelingclimate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modeling study.

Climate models have passed a broad range of validation tests — e.g. a 30 - year warming trend, response to perturbations like ENSO and volcanic eruptions... On the other hand, in a statistical model, parameters of the model are determined by a fit to the model.

In order to understand the potential importance of the effect, let's look at what it could do to our understanding of climate: 1) It will have zero effect on the global climate models, because a) the constraints on these models are derived from other sources b) the effect is known and there are methods for dealing the errors they introduce c) the effect they introduce is local, not global, so they can not be responsible for the signal / trend we see, but would at most introduce noise into that signal 2) It will not alter the conclusion that the climate is changing or even the degree to which it is changing because of c) above and because that conclusion is supported by multiple additional lines of evidence, all of which are consistent with the trends shown in the land stations.

Gavin implicitly agrees about model uncertainty and states that climate change is also proven by other lines of eivdence — like paleoclimatology.

Regarding climate change effects in the WHO results, according to the UK's Hadley Center climate model (HadCM2 — IS92a scenario) climate - change induced disease risks could double by the year 2030 — all other factors held constant.

I wonder if there is a non-equilibrium quasi steady state non-reproducible thermodynamic system, one with a vast number of internal degrees of freedom (other than the terrestrial climate system), which is successfully described by a computational model.

Permafrost modeling studies typically indicate a potential release of in the neighborhood ~ 200 PgC as carbon dioxide equivalent by 2100, though poorly constrained, but comparable to other biogeochemical and climate - ecosystem related feedbacks, such as the additional CO2 released by the warming of terrestrial soils.

Some of them are optimal fingerprint detection studies (estimating the magnitude of fingerprints for different external forcing factors in observations, and determining how likely such patterns could have occurred in observations by chance, and how likely they could be confused with climate response to other influences, using a statistically optimal metric), some of them use simpler methods, such as comparisons between data and climate model simulations with and without greenhouse gas increases / anthropogenic forcing, and some are even based only on observations.

OK, AJC and others (climateprediction.net) are claiming there is some possibility of a large climate sensitivity above what is generally accepted by the climate modelling community, 6 degrees C perhaps as opposed to a more standard range of 2.5 C to 4C.

Pearce makes the assertion (that I've also seen advanced by other authors) that IPCC models (that is, those upon which it bases its reports along with study reviews) do not adequately represent non-linearities in the climate system, & in particular do not correctly represent the potential for abrupt & rapid phase transitions.

I believe that I was harassed by my supervisor and others in NWS for over a year after the suspension, related to my concerns on climate and hydrologic change as that can affect hydrologic modeling which NWS river forecast centers uses for flood and water supply forecasting.

Or it may be caused by any other mechanism (like the influence of solar changes on the jet stream position) which enhance the simple direct insolation change which is incorporated in several current climate models...

DeBuys finds that things will be fine for the 3.5 million people who currently depend on this water for daily use as long as (1) predictions of climate change models prove groundless, (2) the kind of droughts documented by tree rings and other records of past climate disruptions don't occur, and (3) the cities of central Arizona don't grow so much that they consume their agricultural buffer, their main protection against uncertain years ahead.

The issue with the Mauritsen and Stevens piece is that it tries to go well beyond a «what if» modeling experiment, and attempts to make contact with a lot of other issues related to historical climate change (the hiatus, changes in the hydrologic cycle, observed tropical lapse rate «hotspot» stuff, changes in the atmsopheric circulation, etc) by means of what the «iris» should look like in other climate signals.

6) Rit Carbone at NCAR (a mesoscale and radar meteorologist expert) has raised the question about whether the environmental conditions might change in ways to greatly reduce the strong summer half year diurnal cycle and associated storms, by dealing with other details not resolved by climate models.

Part of the story here is that it is this very sort of very careful work done by John Kennedy and Phil Jones and other colleagues working on these datasets that has allowed us to start challenging the models and our understanding in such a detailed way — in some ways it is quite remarkable that the observational data is now good enough to identify this level of detail in how the climate varies and changes.

Finally I attempt a suggestion that perhaps one solution to the problem that the solar impact on climate is underestimated by models might be because EBM and GCM, like GISS, do not contain CO2 and CH4 cycle mechanisms that might be partially effected by the Sun, and other mechanisms are missing or uncertain (water vapor, cloud cover, vegetation, bacteria respiration, UV radiation, cosmic ray effects etc.).

[It must have been the «intentions» that caused the stasis, because all other possibilities have been eliminated by the climate models.]

Additionally, unlike most other ducks Audubon's climate model predicts that this species» winter range will contract, and by over one half.

Other studies of the Amazon climate tipping point The existence of an Amazonian climate tipping point is confirmed by other model studies, including the above - mentioned Climatic Change publication from 2008 — that suggests a large - scale die - back (70 percent) from about 3 degrees onwards, starting in the South of the bOther studies of the Amazon climate tipping point The existence of an Amazonian climate tipping point is confirmed by other model studies, including the above - mentioned Climatic Change publication from 2008 — that suggests a large - scale die - back (70 percent) from about 3 degrees onwards, starting in the South of the bother model studies, including the above - mentioned Climatic Change publication from 2008 — that suggests a large - scale die - back (70 percent) from about 3 degrees onwards, starting in the South of the basin.

This graph shows the forcings (CO2, and other stuff) used by Hansen in the model runs for each of his three future scenarios, plotted alongside the actual climate forcings that were observed.

In another study, a multi-year time series of surface radiative fluxes and other atmospheric properties measured by a DOE climate program are being used at AER to evaluate radiative fluxes and to validate forecasts of surface temperature and other properties in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional model.

Since none of the four models considered by the Mediterranean study consistently out - performed the others in simulating present - day climate, the researchers combined their results to produce a single composite scenario for each climate variable.2 To prevent the GCM with the greatest sensitivity from dominating the scenarios, they first had to standardise the model results.

So far the hypothesis of CAGW is not yet been shown to be repeatable by others, the models have yet to produce any valid predictions, and there are many areas of investigation into the workings of the climate system that have been ignored.

A Global Climate Model (GCM) can provide reliable prediction information on scales of around 1000 by 1000 km covering what could be a vastly differing landscape (from very mountainous to flat coastal plains for example) with greatly varying potential for floods, droughts or other extreme events.