-- Some aspects of complex systems may be approximated
by simple models (many caveats).
Markram is correct that real neurons have many complexities that are not captured
by simple models.
One example is the THC «shutdown», which was «predicted»
by simpler models, but tends not to occur in the more sophisticated models, coupled AOGCMs.
Fifteen of these pathways are plotted in figure 1, alongside their resulting warming trajectories as simulated
by the simple model outlined below.
Not exact matches
This recommendation comes from finance professor Anat Admati, who says: «Economists tend to think that beliefs and behavior are guided
by incentives and rational processing of information, but I know that there is more to it than this
simple model, and that other disciplines have much to say.
Universal, recurring consumer demand, sophisticated operating system, little organized competition, platform developed
by a global leader - it all adds up to a refreshingly
simple, yet powerful,
model.
To make things easier for you, start
by understanding two
simple approaches to marketing communications: the PESO
Model and the NICE
Model.
We'll put put specific numbers on that bluebird view
by creating a
simple model that involves moving a few decimal points: Let's say that FAANG Inc's share price is $ 24 (based on $ 24 trillion valuation) and that it earns 80 cents (that's the $ 80 billion, many decimal points to the left), so it's selling at the FAANGs combined PE of 30.
It's
simple —
by going against the evaluation - driven, centralized
model that much of the Western world uses.
Furthermore, Musk, who has long been hyping a
Model Y architecture aimed at rapid and
simple manufacturing, doubled down on the hype
by saying that it will be «a manufacturing revolution».
My plan follows the
simple model employed
by a friend of mine, who established the website barackswatch.com to sell the distinctive Secret Service watch worn
by President Obama.
The paper's authors apply a
simple model of the world oil market to reach their conclusions, which are driven
by the potential for the pipeline to increase global oil supply, thus lowering oil prices and increasing consumption.
The
simple model under - predicts consumer spending in the 1990s, probably because of wealth effects spun off
by the housing bubble, and over predicts in this recovery, but tracks consumer spending — 70 percent of the US economy — pretty well.
This is based on a
simple economic
model that states not all production (financial services in this case) will relocate to the large economy (the EU) as the small economy (UK) is able make up for its lack of competitiveness
by having a weaker currency.
The results are consistent with a
simple experience good
model where biomedical misconceptions decrease consumers» ability to infer quality, which retailers exploit
by selling lower quality medicines.»
For those of you not familiar with the SAFT, or «
Simple Agreement for Future Tokens,» this is an option agreement
modelled after something called a SAFE (
Simple Agreement for Future Equity) used
by Y Combinator to reduce the complexity of early - stage raises (say, $ 2 million - ish), staking out a position in a investment prospect's cap table in a legally - binding way without going through the trouble of doing a full - bore Series A process of diligence, docs & raise.
Hotel aggregators have a
simple model: They connect a guest with a hotel
by listing hotels on their website.
While «operating earnings» are not even defined under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, and «forward operating earnings» only surfaced as a creature of Wall Street in the early 1980's, it's
simple enough to impute historical values of forward operating earnings because they are almost completely explained
by observable earnings and employment data — see Long - term Evidence on the Fed
Model and Forward Operating Earnings.
SunTrust is just one of dozens of small and midsize regional banks that have continued to thrive in the wake of one financial bust after another for the past century
by remaining faithful to a
simple business
model that nationwide «money center» banks like Citibank and Bank of America are just too big to copy.
Any suggestion here of an overly
simple piety or optimistic works - righteousness is blocked
by an insistence upon the ideality of the
model just constructed.
Naive realism is untenable if
models are not literal pictures of reality and if the history of science is characterized
by major paradigm shifts rather than
by simple cumulation or convergence.
It is currently playing out in the live animal export sector, where the demise of local processing opened the door for a live export sector, which in turn through its
simple business
model has compromised livestock welfare and alienated many consumers, reduced employment in Top End towns which once had abattoirs, and added risk to cattle business profitability
by providing only one market outlet.
Our
model is
simple to setup, easy to run and can be supported
by a small staff.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed
by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean
by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position -
by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those
simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business
model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated
by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business
model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke
model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
Power up your gratitude muscle
by a few
simple actions, and
model the change you wish to see in your kids.
Since this is a basic
model, they decided to keep it
simple and light
by not including some of the features like recline.
Inspired
by Creative Play Central's cool play dough pictures and a fashion
model colouring / drawing book my girls got for Christmas, I decided to make some very
simple play dough mats this afternoon.
While it's possible to purchase a wall - mounted
model, you can actually build your own fold - out table
by following
simple online instructions.
Try to
model a conversational back - and - forth
by asking
simple questions («Where is the dog?»)
In short, for a very
simple model, it fits the data remarkably well, explaining 88.5 % of the variance in English
by - election results (an R2 of 0.885 in stats parlance).
But I tried to avoid any discussion of whether it is or is not a good idea for voters to select based on religion
by considering simply «a class that shares an opinion on any particular issue», and show that this
simple model was already enough to explain non-proportional representation, before discussing any more complex
model.
Although the two systems differ greatly in their relaxation time, they are described
by the same set of laws, which can be understood from a relatively
simple hydrodynamic
model.
The researchers from Wageningen University & Research, Bogor Agricultural University in Indonesia, University of East Anglia and the Center for International Forestry Research analysed the spatially distributed pattern of hydrological drought, that is the drought in groundwater recharge, in Borneo using a
simple transient water balance
model driven
by monthly climate data from the period 1901 - 2015.
Previously, Jungwirth's team tested the strategy
by modeling the relatively
simple interaction between calcium and chloride ions.
Three approaches were used to evaluate the outstanding «carbon budget» (the total amount of CO2 emissions compatible with a given global average warming) for 1.5 °C: re-assessing the evidence provided
by complex Earth System
Models, new experiments with an intermediate - complexity
model, and evaluating the implications of current ranges of uncertainty in climate system properties using a
simple model.
By studying liquid plugs in
simple glass tubes, he developed a mathematical
model describing liquid transport process in each generation of the airway tree.
For the study «Doubling of coastal erosion under rising sea level
by mid-century in Hawaiʻi,» published this week in Natural Hazards, the research team developed a
simple model to assess future erosion hazards under higher sea levels — taking into account historical changes of Hawaiʻi shorelines and the projected acceleration of sea level rise reported from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
By continuously adjusting λ, they simulated a set of phase diagrams to
model what happens when a «
simple» liquid becomes progressively more water - like.
The researchers, including postgraduate students Miaolin Chen at Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Deborah Devis at the University of Adelaide's Waite campus, performed a genome - wide analysis of potential pollen allergens in two
model plants, Arabidopsis thaliana (thale cress) and rice
by comparing those results among 25 species of plants ranging from
simple alga to complex flowering plants.
The most important quality was... that he recognised that while building
simple models is important... we can only answer the deeper questions about the complexity of the brain
by modelling the complexity.»
Unlike older,
simpler models, this one's compartmentalized architecture (indicated
by the multicolored rings) simulates the regions of the brain, and the chemically neutral protein allows neurons to connect realistically.
«We built 12 prototypes, starting with
simple five - pound (2.3 kilograms) foam
models and then 25 - pound (11.3 kilograms), highly modified fiberglass hobby airplane kits all leading up to the 55 - pound (24.9 kilograms), high quality, carbon fiber GL - 10 built in our
model shop
by expert technicians,» said aerospace engineer David North.
He says the relatively
simple computer
model provided an excellent basis for planning the experiments
by enabling the researchers to change the components rapidly and thereby identify important aspects.
The leading
models, designed
by the Dutch Engineering firm FDN Group, range from
simple chains of floating tanks to a full barrier that dampens the effects of oncoming swells.
In a 2012 paper in Neuron, based on meetings organized
by the Oxnard, California - based Kavli Foundation, Yuste and colleagues laid out a plan to progress gradually from mapping the brain activity of
simple model organisms such as the fruit fly to charting the brains of creatures that contain roughly 1 million neurons, such as the Etruscan shrew.
For example, the
simple inflationary
models that predict observable levels of gravitational waves also suggest that hints of these waves should have been seen in the temperature fluctuations observed
by the European Space Agency's Planck satellite.
They used these factors to derive a
simple model for resulting temperature change caused
by the carbon dioxide and methane released
by a particular plant.
«
By using mathematical
modeling, we've found a
simple, but ingenious, mechanism allows the gecko to switch back and forth between being sticky or not.
By comparison, today's
simple cycle power plants (gas turbine generator only) operate with efficiencies ranging between 33 and 44 percent depending on the size and
model.
The algorithm used
by a computer
model called the Boltzmann machine, invented
by Geoffrey Hinton and Terry Sejnowski in 1983, appears particularly promising as a
simple theoretical explanation of a number of brain processes, including development, memory formation, object and sound recognition, and the sleep - wake cycle.