It's very clear (thanks to Steve M, Willis etc) that there are issues with both but given the current hyped claim by the «warmers» that the past effects of man - caused global warming have largely been masked
by the warming of the oceans and that unless we reduce CO2 emissions now that we won't be able to mitigate future global warming when this «stored heat» eventually comes back out of the oceans and leads to catastrophic effects, I'm very interested in getting to the punchline of this debate on SSTs.
This has been accompanied
by warming of the ocean, a rise in sea level, a strong decline in Arctic sea ice, and many other associated climate effects.
This is the frequently cited extra forcing estimated at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), and this is where some of the assumptions made above don't quite hold (the picture is correct for a planet in equilibrium, but during a transition the planet is no longer in an equilibrium) and extra energy is taken up
by warming of the oceans and surface.
Not exact matches
Experts say the bleaching has been triggered
by global
warming and El Nino, a
warming of parts
of the Pacific
Ocean that changes weather worldwide.
Blessed with
warm sunny weather all year round (roughly 300 days
of sunshine a year), ringed
by the Atlantic
Ocean on one side and protected on the other
by the calm, deep - blue waters
of the Tagus River (the longest river in the Iberian Peninsula), this traditionally sophisticated city seems to have it all.
According to a big chunk
of ocean surface temperature recorded
by boat, the
oceans were not
warming nearly as quickly as the rest
of the planet.
Great flood: the filly
of a large basin
by raising
oceans during the
warming period after the last ice age.
The quality
of our Temecula Valley wines is made possible
by a unique microclimate that features morning mist,
warm midday sun, cooling
ocean breezes and clear starry nights.
The floods have been triggered
by the weather event known as El Nino, a
warming of surface temperatures in the Pacific
Ocean that wreaks havoc on weather patterns every few years.
Warm and Well Cornwall is led
by the Winter Wellbeing Partnership on behalf
of Cornwall Council and funded
by the
Warm Homes Fund (National Grid / Affordable Warmth Solutions), and social housing providers
Ocean, Coastline, Cornwall Housing, Guinness and DCH.
«The widespread loss
of Antarctic ice shelves, driven
by a
warming ocean or
warming atmosphere, could spell disaster for our coastlines — and there is sound geological evidence that supports what the models are telling us,» said Robert M. DeConto
of the University
of Massachusetts Amherst, a co-author
of the study and one
of the developers
of the ice - sheet model used.
The
warming also indicates that a large amount
of heat is being taken up
by the
ocean, demonstrating that the planet's energy budget has been pushed out
of balance.
The simulations also suggest that the removal
of excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
by natural processes on land and in the
ocean will become less efficient as the planet
warms.
This pattern is consistent with greenhouse gas — induced
warming by the overlying atmosphere: the
ocean warms more slowly because
of its large thermal inertia.
Scientists can measure how much energy greenhouse gases now add (roughly three watts per square meter), but what eludes precise definition is how much other factors — the response
of clouds to
warming, the cooling role
of aerosols, the heat and gas absorbed
by oceans, human transformation
of the landscape, even the natural variability
of solar strength — diminish or strengthen that effect.
Driven
by stronger winds resulting from climate change,
ocean waters in the Southern Ocean are mixing more powerfully, so that relatively warm deep water rises to the surface and eats away at the underside of the
ocean waters in the Southern
Ocean are mixing more powerfully, so that relatively warm deep water rises to the surface and eats away at the underside of the
Ocean are mixing more powerfully, so that relatively
warm deep water rises to the surface and eats away at the underside
of the ice.
For each degree
of ocean warming, oxygen concentration goes down
by 2 percent.
Global
warming could seriously mess with fisheries in a few ways: Carbon dioxide in the air contributes to
ocean acidification, sea level rise could change the dynamics
of fisheries, and cold water fish like salmon could be pushed out
by warming streams.
A new study led
by the University
of Maryland's Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC) suggests that a
warmer Atlantic
Ocean could substantially boost the destructive power
of a future superstorm like Sandy.
Scientific observations show that in the Arctic,
warming temperatures have led to a 75 % loss in sea ice volume since the 1980s, and recent reports suggest the Arctic
Ocean will be nearly free
of summer sea ice
by 2050, said Sullivan.
Still, there are definitely mechanisms
by which this rift could be linked to climate change, most notably through
warmer ocean waters eating away at the base
of the shelf.»
In one study published in Geophysical Research Letters in 2007, scientists at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany, estimated the mass redistribution resulting from
ocean warming would shorten the day
by 120 microseconds, or nearly one tenth
of a millisecond, over the next two centuries.
Lead author, Dr Huw Griffiths from BAS says: «While a few species might thrive at least during the early decades
of warming, the future for a whole range
of invertebrates from starfish to corals is bleak, and there's nowhere to swim to, nowhere to hide when you're sitting on the bottom
of the world's coldest and most southerly
ocean and it's getting
warmer by the decade.»
Ocean warming is exacerbating flooding caused
by the melting
of glaciers and other ice.
According to the new findings, Earth may be able to significantly reduce global
warming by releasing some
of the heat through a «vent» in the cloud cover over the Pacific
Ocean.
Charlie's research told him that during El Niño weather cycles, the surface seawaters in the Great Barrier Reef lagoon, already heated to unusually high levels
by greenhouse gas — induced
warming, were being pulsed from a mass
of ocean water known as the Western Pacific
Warm Pool onto the reef's delicate living corals.
Since the end
of last El Niño
warming event
of 1997 to 1998, the tropical Pacific
Ocean has been in a relatively cool phase — strong enough to offset the
warming created
by greenhouse gas emissions.
Southern
Ocean seafloor water temperatures are projected to
warm by an average
of 0.4 °C over this century with some areas possibly increasing
by as much as 2 °C.
They must also deal with a host
of challenges tied directly to the environment and potentially amplified
by climate change, including
warming waters, increasing
ocean acidity and the spread
of diseases that can decimate shellfish stocks.
This newest threat follows on the heels
of overfishing, sediment deposition, nitrate pollution in some areas, coral bleaching caused
by global
warming, and increasing
ocean acidity caused
by carbon emissions.
His discoveries have also revealed how
warming ocean temperatures and acidification
of ocean water caused
by climate change lead to coral bleaching and death.
The opposite occurred in 1997 and 1998, when
warm surface waters in the Pacific
Ocean brought about
by El Niño pushed rainfall systems north, leaving parts
of the southern and eastern Amazon forest dry and prone to fires.
«However,
ocean warming cancelled this benefit
of elevated carbon dioxide
by causing stress to the animals, making them less efficient feeders and preventing the extra energy produced
by the plants from travelling through the food web to the fish.
The oscillation is a pattern
of climate variability akin to El Niño and La Niña — weather patterns caused
by periodic
warming and cooling
of ocean temperatures in the Pacific — except it is longer - lived.
We've narrowed the uncertainty in surface
warming projections
by generating thousands
of climate simulations that each closely match observational records for nine key climate metrics, including
warming and
ocean heat content.»
The rapid northerly shifts in spawning may offer a preview
of future conditions if
ocean warming continues, according to the new study published in Global Change Biology
by scientists from the Pacific States Marine Fisheries Commission, Oregon State University and NOAA Fisheries» Northwest Fisheries Science Center.
As Stephen C. Riser and M. Susan Lozier note in their February 2013 Scientific American article, «Rethinking the Gulf Stream,» «A comparison
of the Argo data with
ocean observations from the 1980s, carried out
by Dean Roemmich and John Gilson
of the Scripps Institution
of Oceanography, shows that the upper few hundred meters
of the
oceans have
warmed by about 0.2 degree C in the past 20 years.
Professor Williams, Chair in
Ocean Sciences at Liverpool, added: «This study is important
by providing a narrower window
of how much carbon we may emit before reaching 1.5 °C or 2 °C
warming.
A study led
by researchers at the University
of Washington and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration connects the unprecedented West Coast toxic algal bloom
of 2015 that closed fisheries from southern California to northern British Columbia to the unusually
warm ocean conditions — nicknamed «the blob» — in winter and spring
of that year.
Over the past 60 years, winter temperatures in the northwestern part
of the peninsula have soared
by 11 degrees F. Year - round temperatures have risen
by 5 degrees F and the surrounding
ocean is
warming.
Starting from the same kernel
of scientific truth as did The Day After Tomorrow — that global
warming could disrupt
ocean currents in the North Atlantic — a study commissioned
by the Pentagon,
of all organizations, concluded that the «risk
of abrupt climate change... should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a U.S. national security concern.»
That
warming has a built - in delay
of about fifty years, caused largely
by the thermal inertia
of the
oceans.
Extreme weather does not prove the existence
of global
warming, but climate change is likely to exaggerate it —
by messing with
ocean currents, providing extra heat to forming tornadoes, bolstering heat waves, lengthening droughts and causing more precipitation and flooding.
In the most extreme scenarios, with the planet
warming by almost 10 °C, the
oceans could be starved
of oxygen for 8000 years.
Retreating sea ice in the Iceland and Greenland Seas may be changing the circulation
of warm and cold water in the Atlantic
Ocean, and could ultimately impact the climate in Europe, says a new study
by an atmospheric physicist from the University
of Toronto Mississauga (UTM) and his colleagues in Great Britain, Norway and the United States.
The next step was see how those factors were influenced
by ENSO; while El Niños and La Niñas are defined
by how much
warmer or colder than normal tropical Pacific
ocean waters are, they trigger a cascade
of reactions in the atmosphere that can alter weather patterns around the globe.
«Our research indicates that as global
warming continues, parts
of East Antarctica will also be affected
by these wind - induced changes in
ocean currents and temperatures,» Dr Jourdain said.
A new study
by NOAA researchers suggests future
warming of ocean waters off the Northeastern U.S. may be greater and occur at an even faster rate than previously projected.
According to the study, the models project that
ocean warming will be even more pronounced than suggested
by coarser models under increasing concentrations
of atmospheric CO2.
The
warm waters give up their heat in the bitterly cold regions monitored
by OSNAP, become denser, and sink, forming
ocean - bottom currents that return southward, hugging the perimeter
of the
ocean basins.