Not exact matches
Regardless of what climate
models find, investigating these long - distance links in
weather could also pay off
by improving risk prediction and
forecasts.
This
model is widely used
by both UK and international groups for research into ocean circulation, climate and marine ecosystems, and operationally as part of the UK Met Office's
weather forecasting.
A ClimateWire investigation into the origins of the flood disaster uncovered evidence that points to a calamity caused
by man, the cumulative effect of erratic
weather forecast by climate change
models, massive deforestation, and lax attention to infrastructure maintenance and engineering standards.
By pulling together the maximum possible computer resource, and running these
weather forecast models thousands of times — and for alternative carbon dioxide levels — a picture can be built of how often severe storms can be expected.
The project may involve the following topics: — Interaction of the solar wind with magnetised and unmagnetised planets — Space
weather forecasts — Numerical (HPC) and analytical
modelling of MHD wave processes and jets in solar and astrophysical plasma — MHD wave observations and solar magneto - seismology — Application of advanced data analysis to solar system science — Physics of collisionless shocks (including planetary and interplanetary shocks)-- Analysis of multi-point measurements made
by space missions, e.g Cluster (ESA), THEMIS (NASA), MMS (NASA)
For example, the United Kingdom's Met Office sells
weather forecasts driven
by its climate
model.
The researchers compared predictions of 22 widely used climate «
models» — elaborate schematics that try to
forecast how the global
weather system will behave — with actual readings gathered
by surface stations,
weather balloons and orbiting satellites over the past three decades.
It would involve looking at the current
weather map for the planet and iterating forward, hour
by hour, using
weather forecasting models, for twenty years.
The
forecast evolved rather suddenly once the
weather system moving southeast from Canada was more fully sampled
by observing networks, and computer
models came around to a more threatening solution.
This suggests that ongoing improvements in
model formulation driven primarily
by the needs of
weather forecasting may lead also to more reliable climate predictions.
These
weather systems must be well
modelled by meteorologists since they have a pretty good record of short term
forecasting.
Just
by using the analog patterns of how these drivers of the
weather repeat in an interacting interlaced method, results in a long range
forecast with greater accuracy than the best
models get out past 7 days.
I now work at the Met Office in Exeter where I am assessing how the accuracy of
weather forecasts for the next season is affected
by how well the stratosphere is represented in the computer
model of the climate system we use to make
forecasts.
Traditionally numerical
weather prediction has advanced progressively
by improving single, «deterministic»
forecasts with an increasing
model accuracy and decreasing initial condition errors.
The fourth question «How robust are the
models used
by the Met Office for
weather forecasting, climate predictions, atmospheric dispersion and other activities?»
The impact of low shortwave fluxes came out well in two - week
forecasts of a semi-empirical break - up
model forced with output from a long - range
weather forecast (contribution
by Petrich and Eicken).
Their methodology combines information from
weather observations with background information provided
by a
forecast model.
This study examines the horizontal distribution of cirrus clouds
by means of satellite imagery analyses and numerical
weather prediction
model forecasts.
This is successfully achieved
by using sophisticated short term
forecasting models that interpret
weather information as it affects the wind farm in real time.»
The technique was originally developed to examine the storm tracks produced
by atmospheric general circulation
models (GCMs), but it is directly applicable to other gridded SLP datasets, such as those derived in
weather forecasts or reanalysis projects.
And like its bigger cousin, the Sandwich Tern — already threatened with coastal development and severe
weather — is
forecast by Audubon's climate
model to fare poorly in the face of climate change.