If the oscillation is ENSO - PDO, which is what I think it is, then the rates, which end just after 2000 on th graph, would dip a bit for the years
called the warming hiatus, and then spike to higher levels.
Whether the 2014 record, if confirmed, means the end of the so -
called warming hiatus is unclear, WMO's Michel Jarraud told reporters this morning during a teleconference.
Not exact matches
In June 2015, NOAA researchers led by Thomas Karl published a paper in the journal Science comparing the new and previous NOAA sea surface temperature datasets, finding that the rate of global
warming since 2000 had been underestimated and there was no so -
called «
hiatus» in
warming in the first fifteen years of the 21st century.
Dr Cowtan added: «Recent studies suggest that the so -
called «
hiatus» in
warming is in part due to challenges in assembling the data.
These earlier years, mainly El Nino years, average 11.5 years earlier than the projected recent hottest four, perhaps suggesting a rough calculation of the recent rate of AGW of at +0.16 ºC / decade, this of course the
warming trend of peak years through the so -
called «
hiatus» years and being «peak years», it is a rate which assumes cooler years will be coming along soon.
The error is small enough to have confidence that the ocean heat content has been increasing in the past 15 years, during the so
called «
hiatus» in global
warming.
Dan Barrie, program manager at NOAA,
called the research «compelling» and said: «[It] provides a powerful illustration of how the remote eastern tropical Pacific guides the behaviour of the global ocean - atmosphere system, in this case exhibiting a discernible influence on the recent
hiatus in global
warming.»
Let's see how much longer they will insist on
calling it «the current
warming hiatus».
From 1998 to 2013, the rate of global mean surface
warming slowed, which some
call the «global
warming hiatus.»
The widespread mainstream media focus on the slowed global surface
warming has led some climate scientists like Trenberth and Fasullo to investigate its causes and how much various factors have contributed to the so -
called «pause» or «
hiatus.»
People in the climate community are scratching their heads trying to understand the so
called hiatus in the
warming.
The reason they returned to the 1.5 to 4.5 range is because there was virtually no global
warming since 2000 (the so
called «
hiatus»), which is embarrassingly inconsistent with a large climate sensitivity.
Only by being forced to explain better and more accurately because of the so -
called and non-existent «
hiatus» in
warming is the pedagogy here finally being improved.
That said, the
hiatus since 1998 is
warmer than the previous two
hiatus periods (the so
called stair step), so this brings us back to wondering about «coming out» of the Little Ice Age.
But Peter Wadhams, a professor of ocean physics at the University of Cambridge, UK,
called the study careful and persuasive, and said: «I think it shows clearly that the so -
called «
hiatus» does not exist and that global
warming has continued over the past few years at the same rate as in earlier years.»
LONDON, 13 December, 2015 — The so -
called, and much debated,
hiatus in global
warming may never have happened, according to new research
LONDON, 12 May, 2017 — Just as one group of European scientists has defined the «so -
called global
warming hiatus» as an illusion, a second group has brought it back to tenuous reality — this time as a problem of definition.
LONDON, 7 June, 2015 − Forget about the so -
called «
hiatus» in global
warming.
What do you
call the mental process which allows a man to say «What's firmly established is that the climate is
warming» while also holding that «There's been a burst of worthy research aimed at figuring out what causes the stutter - steps in the process — including the current
hiatus / pause / plateau [in
warming] ``?
There have been attempts in the scientific literature to correct some misconceptions, such as a myth regarding an alleged recent «slow - down» in global
warming, a so -
called hiatus.
The so -
called «grand
hiatus» was a period from 1945 to 1975 where the world stopped
warming, and even cooled slightly, despite carbon dioxide emissions rapidly rising.
Only one (Meehl) voluntarily mentioned the pause,
calling it a «
hiatus» during which «
warming was not very large over last decade or so».
There is still no empirical - statistical evidence for the alleged «pause» /»
hiatus» /» stop», or whatever you want to
call it, of global
warming.
The whistleblower - scientist, John Bates, claimed that NOAA broke its own rules for scientific integrity when it published a noteworthy scientific study debunking the so -
called «
hiatus» in global
warming.
Now for other reasons, I believe it may turn out to be a real event, which is why I say my bet is that in fifteen years or so we will look back and say that the rate of
warming over those fifteen years was higher than the so
called hiatus.
If
warming restarts then we might reframe the discussion accordingly, but
calling the present cessation in surface
warming a
hiatus is assuming that future
warming will resume.