Those policies will cause inflation and U.S. interest rates to rise, which in turn will pull
capital out of emerging markets.»
Not exact matches
Emerging markets also account for over 50 %
of world GDP, and have been responsible for the lion's share
of global growth ever since the 2008 financial crisis, but
capital has flooded
out of them as the Federal Reserve has tightened its monetary policy and the limits
of China's economic model have become apparent.
«While one month's data do not make a trend, we think this could be the first sign that China's recovery is starting to run
out of steam following the withdrawal
of policy support,» Neil Shearing, chief
emerging markets economist at
Capital Economics, warned.
As the Fed tightens under a hawkish Janet Yellen, a big chunk
of the $ 4 trillion
of foreign
capital that has flowed into
emerging markets since 2009 will come
out again.
It now appears likely that more
capital will flow
out of emerging markets and less will flow in than has been the case in recent years.
That adds to a downside bias since 2013's «taper tantrum» that sparked
capital flows
out of emerging markets and into the U.S. as investors began to grasp that the post-financial crisis era
of ultra-low U.S. interest rates was drawing to a close.