Even the US government National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's 2012 US National Assessment Report had a higher estimate of 2 meters as its «worst -
case sea level rise scenario for 2100,» Masters says.
Not exact matches
Silver Award: Alex Kuffner The Providence Journal «
Rising seas, rising stakes» Nov. 20, 2016 «Losing ground» March 19, 2017 «On the brink» July 9, 2017 Judges praised Alex Kuffner for his comprehensive look at the risks facing Rhode Island communities from either a once - in - a-century hurricane or a sea level rise of seven feet by the end of the century, as projected in a worst - case scenario by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (
Rising seas,
rising stakes» Nov. 20, 2016 «Losing ground» March 19, 2017 «On the brink» July 9, 2017 Judges praised Alex Kuffner for his comprehensive look at the risks facing Rhode Island communities from either a once - in - a-century hurricane or a sea level rise of seven feet by the end of the century, as projected in a worst - case scenario by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (
rising stakes» Nov. 20, 2016 «Losing ground» March 19, 2017 «On the brink» July 9, 2017 Judges praised Alex Kuffner for his comprehensive look at the risks facing Rhode Island communities from either a once - in - a-century hurricane or a
sea level rise of seven feet by the end of the century, as projected in a worst -
case scenario by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
«Regional
sea -
level scenarios: Helping US Northeast plan for faster - than - global
rise: Global
sea level could
rise by as much as 8 feet by 2100 in a worst -
case scenario.»
Moreover, in a worst -
case scenario, global
sea level could
rise by about 8 feet by 2100.
The report provides a range of possible
scenarios, from at least 1 foot of global
sea -
level rise by 2100 to a worst -
case rise that's 1.6 feet higher than a
scenario in a key 2012 study that the report updates.
Rising sea levels and human activities are fast creating a «worst
case scenario» for Native Americans of the Mississippi Delta who stand to lose not just their homes, but their irreplaceable heritage, to climate change.
Given that we now have several years more data, we can essentially «test» the IPCC predictions and we arrive at the conclusion (i.e., message 1) that the climate system is tracking the «worst
case scenario» (or worse in the
case of ice melt and
sea -
level rise) presented by the IPCC.
Consequences of global
sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst -
case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models
The consequences of global
sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst -
case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models, which don't fully account for the fast breakup of ice sheets and glaciers, NASA scientists said today (Aug. 26) at a press briefing.
Worst
case scenarios of ice sheet melting and sliding lead to estimates of
sea -
level rise of the worrying 4 to 6 m.
Even in the best -
case scenario, if we make drastic cuts in emissions soon,
sea levels will
rise by anything from 10 metres to 25 metres over the next few thousand years.
Thus, I would suggest that decision makers use these «best - available» distributions but also consider the consequences for their decisions of «worst -
case»
sea -
level rise scenarios (e.g., about 2.5 m globally in the course of the century according to Kopp et al., 2014).
«Up to 8.5 feet of global
sea level rise is possible by 2100» in a worst -
case emissions
scenario.
Worse
case scenario: if the ice covering all of Antarctica melted,
sea level could
rise 10 times that much (160 feet).
Paul D... As a part - time alarmist I would answer that with a little bit of extrapolation added to some warnings of climate scientists I guess the worst
case scenario at least includes the total collapse of the WAIS, creating tsunamis at least all over the Pacific rim, the subsequent
sea level rise of c. 7m will destroy most of the remaining harbours, communication centers near coasts, next up would be the melting of the collapsed ice in the southern ocean altering the climate of the entire southern hemisphere, making it near - impossible to guess what areas are good for similar agriculture as before, leading to massive movements of people.
Some people want to say that because we're not sure, [the] worst
case would be that
sea levels could
rise much more, but the fundamental point of the film is exactly that worst -
case scenarios are great for scares but very poor for making good policy.
Even the worst -
case scenarios of
sea level rise suggest that it will take many years, perhaps decades, to have truly catastrophic effects (e.g. to displace tens of millions of people in coastal areas).
Jim has made his actually worst
case scenarios abundantly clear in many interviews, in the Washington Post for instance: «
sea level rise that can be measured by feet more than inches», and in the ERL papers itself «measured in meters», and in the quote you picked up on.
You have «What is the likelihood that global average
sea level will
rise more during this century than the current worst -
case scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change?»
Another, possibly best
case scenario, shows that if global warming did not exceed the 2 degree Celsius benchmark, the millennial
sea -
level rise from the melting of Antarctic ice could likely be restricted to a few meters.
That conclusion, based on a new, sophisticated computer model, makes the worst -
case scenario of
sea level rise — an increase of 6 feet or so, on average, by 2100 — look less likely to play out.
The draft's authors suggest that under the worst -
case emissions
scenario the modelers considered, global
sea levels could
rise by up to 1 meter by the end of the century, about two centimeters higher than the top of the range offered in 2007.
These changes would certainly help stave off some of the worst -
case scenarios for
sea -
level rise, but researchers have also found that that
rise is unlikely to end by the year 2100.
Authorities from the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council are constantly observing how
sea level rise could impact the region and are planning worst -
case scenario projections.
Imagine if Waxman - Markey had passed within the envelope of both major ocean circulations going negative...... Grand recession / solar minima / end extreme eccentricity minima interglacial or not, we could be sitting around now, swilling non-carbonated champagne, patting each other on the back, celebrating the FACT that we had quelled the heathen devil promulgated
sea level rising to the AR4 worst
case scenario of 0.59 meters, only to watch it go +6 M etc,.
Most experts agree the Maldives have plenty to worry about: In the worst -
case scenario, if global
sea levels rise higher and faster than expected, the islands may indeed be swallowed up.
For California, this increased melting, particularly in the Antarctic, could create something of a worst -
case scenario, greatly increasing the amount of
sea -
level rise along its coast.
Under the worst -
case scenario investigated, if pollution continues unabated, and if
seas respond to ongoing warming by
rising at the fastest rates considered likely,
sea levels could
rise more than 4 feet this century alone, wiping out coastal infrastructure and driving communities inland.
By preparing for the worst
case scenario, the planners have the flexibility to slow down the development if
sea level rise is actually slower.
Vanity Fair published a «worst -
case scenario» photo illustration of Manhattan drowned by an 80 - foot
sea -
level rise, the skyscrapers poking up from what has become part of the Atlantic Ocean.
The research also finds that
sea levels will
rise between 2.3 and 4 feet by 2300 even under best -
case scenarios.
Some of the scientific literature going into IPCC reports has actually increased uncertainty about our understanding of worst -
case scenarios for
sea -
level rise and other effects.
The disintegration of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets is speeding up, providing more evidence we are headed for the worst -
case scenario of
sea level rise — three to six feet (or more) by 2100 — unless total warming is limited to «well below 2 °C,» as Paris envisions.
The new study prompted a lapse into Ciceronian prose from the New York Times and an instant revision to
sea level rise projection maps for coastal cities worldwide, with many observers noting that, at current effort
levels, humanity is veering dangerously close to the worst -
case scenario.
Last August, I wrote about what that near - term worse
case scenario might look like: Should its melt rate continue to trend above previous estimates, Antarctica may produce an extra foot of
sea level rise by 2100, which would pose a threat to low - lying coastal areas worldwide.
The leaked summary said the IPCC believed a worst
case scenario could see
sea levels rising by as much as three feet (90 centimeters) by the year 2100.
If today's worst -
case global warming
scenarios of catastrophic melting of glaciers and ice sheets come to pass,
sea levels could
rise rapidly, wreaking all sorts of geological havoc «comparable with the most rapid increases in
sea level that we've seen in the last 15,000 years,» McGuire said.
According to that report, although a
sea level rise of 1.6 feet or more would negatively affect large portions of the City, the «worst -
case scenario» for
sea level rise projects a 1.6 foot increase to be reached in 2047 assuming no mitigation or adaptation efforts... Furthermore, even assuming a 2 - foot
sea level rise, only 0.1 square miles of land in the City that isn't potentially protected by levees or other flood control structures is below two feet of elevation.»
Vaughan, perhaps I am wrong, If the rate of
sea level rise happens according to one of Hanson's many imagined worst
case scenarios, then I think the best course of action will be to hand out 50 million pairs of slightly too short pants.
via: Reuters Mekong Delta map: Wikipedia Global Climate Change Effects Nile Delta Poised to Be Sunk by
Sea Level Rise - Groundwater Salinity a Growing Problem
Sea Level Rise Best
Case Scenario: 50 cm
Rise, 10 % of World Population Hit Bangladesh Tries Working With Nature to Stave Off
Sea Level Rise
When it comes to
sea level rise predictions, it's long been known and acknowledged that the IPCC numbers are too low; and, by and large the worst -
case scenarios presented three years ago are coming to pass.
«worst -
case scenario due to
sea level rise would be that some or even all of our islands would become uninhabitable and we would have to look for alternative places for Maldivians to live.»
More: A Reporter's Field Notes on the Coverage of Climate Change Global Climate Change 41 % of Americans Think the Media Exaggerate Climate Change Seriousness, Too Bad That Perception in Wrong Worst
Case IPCC Climate Change Trajectories Are Being Realized: Copenhagen Climate Congress Concludes
Sea Level Rise Best
Case Scenario: 50 cm
Rise, 10 % of World Population Hit